Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLB | Caleb Durbin 10 games | BOS vs BAL@BOS | TB | 1.5 | +185 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +1 | 74 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2 | MLB | Nick Gonzales 10 games | PIT vs PIT@HOU | R | 0.5 | +155 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +1 | 74 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 3 | MLB | Nick Gonzales 10 games | PIT vs PIT@HOU | TB | 1.5 | +153 | 3.4 | +1.9 | 4/5 | +2.3 | 73 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 4 | MLB | Nick Kurtz 10 games | ATH vs Athletics@ | TB | 1.5 | +119 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 73 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 5 | MLB | Justin Wrobleski 9 games | LAD vs LAD@ARI | K | 3.5 | -113 | 5 | +1.5 | 4/5 | +1.8 | 70 | C | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 6 | MLB | Matt Olson 10 games | ATL vs TOR@ATL | TB | 1.5 | +125 | 3 | +1.5 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 70 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 7 | MLB | Oneil Cruz 10 games | PIT vs PIT@HOU | R | 0.5 | +135 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 5/5 | +0.8 | 68 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 8 | MLB | Ben Rice 10 games | NYY vs CLE@NYY | TB | 1.5 | +100 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 3/5 | +-0 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 9 | MLB | JT Ginn 10 games | vs Athletics@ | K | 3.5 | -166 | 5.8 | +2.3 | 4/5 | +1.2 | 67 | C | 8.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 10 | MLB | Oneil Cruz 10 games | PIT vs PIT@HOU | RBI | 0.5 | +188 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 11 | MLB | Oneil Cruz 10 games | PIT vs PIT@HOU | TB | 1.5 | +155 | 3 | +1.5 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 67 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 12 | MLB | Bryce Eldridge 10 games | SF vs SFG@MIL | H | 0.5 | -129 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | -0.2 | 66 | C | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 13 | MLB | Pete Crow-Armstrong 10 games | CHC vs Athletics@ | TB | 1.5 | -110 | 3.4 | +1.9 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 66 | C | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 14 | MLB | Brandon Lowe 10 games | PIT vs PIT@HOU | R | 0.5 | +103 | 1 | +0.5 | 5/5 | +0.2 | 65 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 15 | MLB | Nick Gonzales 10 games | PIT vs PIT@HOU | H | 0.5 | -210 | 2 | +1.5 | 5/5 | +0.8 | 65 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 16 | MLB | Nick Kurtz 10 games | ATH vs Athletics@ | RBI | 0.5 | +162 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 5/5 | +0.4 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 17 | MLB | Shohei Ohtani 10 games | LAD vs LAD@ARI | TB | 1.5 | -130 | 3 | +1.5 | 4/5 | +1.3 | 65 | C | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 18 | MLB | Ceddanne Rafaela 10 games | BOS vs BAL@BOS | TB | 1.5 | +103 | 2 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.7 | 64 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 19 | MLB | Freddie Freeman 10 games | LAD vs LAD@ARI | RBI | 0.5 | +151 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 20 | MLB | Jackson Chourio 10 games | MIL vs SFG@MIL | RBI | 0.5 | +155 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 64 | D | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 21 | MLB | Jared Jones 1 games | PIT vs PIT@HOU | K | 5.5 | -104 | 6 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 64 | D | 4.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 22 | MLB | Michael Massey 10 games | KC vs KCR@MIN | RBI | 0.5 | +219 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 64 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 23 | MLB | Michael Massey 10 games | KC vs KCR@MIN | TB | 1.5 | +165 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +1.2 | 64 | D | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 24 | MLB | Paul Goldschmidt 10 games | NYY vs CLE@NYY | RBI | 0.5 | +195 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +0.8 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 25 | MLB | Paul Goldschmidt 10 games | NYY vs CLE@NYY | TB | 1.5 | +143 | 3 | +1.5 | 3/5 | +1.2 | 64 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 26 | MLB | Pete Alonso 10 games | BAL vs BAL@BOS | TB | 1.5 | +100 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +0.8 | 64 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 27 | MLB | Shohei Ohtani 10 games | LAD vs LAD@ARI | H | 1.5 | +165 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +1.1 | 64 | D | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 28 | MLB | Tristan Gray 10 games | MIN vs KCR@MIN | RBI | 0.5 | +230 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +1.2 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 29 | MLB | Ben Rice 10 games | NYY vs CLE@NYY | H | 0.5 | -235 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | -0.2 | 62 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 30 | MLB | Charles McAdoo 2 games | TOR vs TOR@ATL | H | 0.5 | -113 | 1 | +0.5 | 2/2 | +0 | 62 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 31 | MLB | Ernie Clement 10 games | TOR vs TOR@ATL | H | 0.5 | -249 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.4 | 62 | D | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 32 | MLB | Michael Busch 10 games | CHC vs Athletics@ | H | 0.5 | -220 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0 | 62 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 33 | MLB | Nick Kurtz 10 games | ATH vs Athletics@ | H | 0.5 | -200 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.1 | 62 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 34 | MLB | Tyler Soderstrom 10 games | ATH vs Athletics@ | H | 0.5 | -190 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | -0.1 | 62 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 35 | MLB | Bryan Reynolds 10 games | PIT vs PIT@HOU | R | 0.5 | +125 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.1 | 61 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 36 | MLB | Caleb Durbin 10 games | BOS vs BAL@BOS | RBI | 0.5 | +225 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.1 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 37 | MLB | Chris Sale 9 games | ATL vs TOR@ATL | K | 7.5 | +120 | 8.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +0.1 | 61 | D | 6.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 38 | MLB | Jake Mangum 10 games | PIT vs PIT@HOU | H | 0.5 | -183 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +1.4 | 61 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 39 | MLB | Jarren Duran 10 games | BOS vs BAL@BOS | R | 0.5 | -115 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 40 | MLB | Jarren Duran 10 games | BOS vs BAL@BOS | TB | 1.5 | +102 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | -0.2 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 41 | MLB | Jorge Mateo 10 games | ATL vs TOR@ATL | R | 0.5 | +175 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 42 | MLB | Jorge Mateo 10 games | ATL vs TOR@ATL | RBI | 0.5 | +243 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.1 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 43 | MLB | Michael Massey 10 games | KC vs KCR@MIN | H | 0.5 | -160 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +0.9 | 61 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 44 | MLB | Pete Alonso 10 games | BAL vs BAL@BOS | RBI | 0.5 | +115 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 45 | MLB | Jackson Chourio 10 games | MIL vs SFG@MIL | H | 0.5 | -350 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 5/5 | +0.6 | 59 | D | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 46 | MLB | Jung Hoo Lee 10 games | SF vs SFG@MIL | H | 0.5 | -212 | 2.2 | +1.7 | 5/5 | -0.6 | 59 | D | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 47 | MLB | Tristan Gray 10 games | MIN vs KCR@MIN | H | 0.5 | -125 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 59 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 48 | MLB | Bryce Eldridge 10 games | SF vs SFG@MIL | TB | 1.5 | +180 | 3 | +1.5 | 3/5 | -0.8 | 58 | D | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 49 | MLB | Fernando Tatis Jr. 10 games | SD vs SDP@PHI | H | 0.5 | -218 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | -0.4 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 50 | MLB | Fernando Tatis Jr. 10 games | SD vs SDP@PHI | TB | 1.5 | +137 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | -0.5 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.