Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLB | Pete Crow-Armstrong 10 games | CHC vs SFG@CHC | TB | 1.5 | +125 | 4.4 | +2.9 | 4/5 | +1.7 | 79 | B | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2 | MLB | Lars Nootbaar 2 games | STL vs CIN@STL | TB | 1.5 | +140 | 3.5 | +2 | 2/2 | +0 | 77 | B | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 3 | MLB | Cade Cavalli 10 games | WSH vs WSN@ARI | K | 3.5 | -300 | 6.8 | +3.3 | 5/5 | +1 | 76 | B | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 4 | MLB | Cade Cavalli 10 games | WSH vs WSN@ARI | K | 4.5 | -108 | 6.8 | +2.3 | 4/5 | +1 | 75 | B | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 5 | MLB | Noah Cameron 9 games | KC vs KCR@MIN | K | 3.5 | -375 | 5.6 | +2.1 | 5/5 | +1.6 | 74 | C | 7.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 6 | MLB | Lars Nootbaar 2 games | STL vs CIN@STL | RBI | 0.5 | +188 | 1.5 | +1 | 2/2 | +0 | 71 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 7 | MLB | Brandon Marsh 10 games | PHI vs CHW@PHI | TB | 1.5 | +130 | 3.4 | +1.9 | 4/5 | +1.2 | 70 | C | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 8 | MLB | Cade Cavalli 10 games | WSH vs WSN@ARI | K | 5.5 | +180 | 6.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +1 | 70 | C | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 9 | MLB | Isaac Paredes 10 games | HOU vs Athletics@ | RBI | 0.5 | +160 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0.7 | 70 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 10 | MLB | Isaac Paredes 10 games | HOU vs Athletics@ | TB | 1.5 | +140 | 3.2 | +1.7 | 4/5 | +1.3 | 70 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 11 | MLB | Jhonny Pereda 10 games | SEA vs SEA@DET | H | 0.5 | -130 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.6 | 69 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 12 | MLB | Kyle Higashioka 10 games | TEX vs CLE@TEX | H | 0.5 | -120 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0 | 68 | C | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 13 | MLB | Brandon Valenzuela 10 games | TOR vs BAL@TOR | TB | 1.5 | +220 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +2.3 | 67 | C | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 14 | MLB | Dillon Dingler 10 games | DET vs SEA@DET | RBI | 0.5 | +181 | 2 | +1.5 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 15 | MLB | Gleyber Torres 10 games | DET vs SEA@DET | TB | 1.5 | +160 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 16 | MLB | Jack Flaherty 10 games | DET vs SEA@DET | K | 4.5 | -375 | 7.2 | +2.7 | 4/5 | +1.3 | 67 | C | 7.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 17 | MLB | Jordan Walker 10 games | STL vs CIN@STL | TB | 1.5 | +115 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +2.5 | 67 | C | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 18 | MLB | Kazuma Okamoto 10 games | TOR vs BAL@TOR | H | 0.5 | -140 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +0.8 | 67 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 19 | MLB | Kody Clemens 10 games | MIN vs KCR@MIN | TB | 1.5 | +130 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +1.5 | 67 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 20 | MLB | Matt Chapman 10 games | SF vs SFG@CHC | RBI | 0.5 | +241 | 2.2 | +1.7 | 3/5 | +2.1 | 67 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 21 | MLB | Shohei Ohtani 10 games | LAD vs LAA@LAD | TB | 1.5 | +120 | 3.4 | +1.9 | 4/5 | -0.3 | 67 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 22 | MLB | Victor Caratini 10 games | MIN vs KCR@MIN | TB | 1.5 | +185 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +1.8 | 67 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 23 | MLB | Willson Contreras 10 games | BOS vs BOS@NYY | TB | 1.5 | +143 | 3 | +1.5 | 3/5 | +2.4 | 67 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 24 | MLB | Yordan Alvarez 10 games | HOU vs Athletics@ | TB | 1.5 | +103 | 3.2 | +1.7 | 4/5 | -0.5 | 67 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 25 | MLB | Shane Baz 10 games | BAL vs BAL@TOR | K | 4.5 | -145 | 6 | +1.5 | 4/5 | +1.6 | 66 | C | 3.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 26 | MLB | Bryce Eldridge 10 games | SF vs SFG@CHC | H | 0.5 | -160 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.5 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 27 | MLB | Jack Flaherty 10 games | DET vs SEA@DET | K | 5.5 | -135 | 7.2 | +1.7 | 4/5 | +1.3 | 65 | C | 7.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 28 | MLB | Jake Mangum 10 games | PIT vs PIT@ATL | H | 0.5 | -200 | 2 | +1.5 | 5/5 | +0.8 | 65 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 29 | MLB | Nick Gonzales 10 games | PIT vs PIT@ATL | R | 0.5 | +155 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 5/5 | -0.1 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 30 | MLB | Pete Crow-Armstrong 10 games | CHC vs SFG@CHC | H | 0.5 | -225 | 2 | +1.5 | 5/5 | +0.5 | 65 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 31 | MLB | Alec Burleson 10 games | STL vs CIN@STL | TB | 1.5 | +110 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +1.3 | 64 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 32 | MLB | Brice Turang 10 games | MIL vs MIL@COL | TB | 1.5 | -120 | 3 | +1.5 | 3/5 | +2 | 64 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 33 | MLB | Ernie Clement 10 games | TOR vs BAL@TOR | TB | 1.5 | +140 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +1.2 | 64 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 34 | MLB | Jake Mangum 10 games | PIT vs PIT@ATL | TB | 1.5 | +170 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +0.7 | 64 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 35 | MLB | Riley Greene 10 games | DET vs SEA@DET | TB | 1.5 | +143 | 3 | +1.5 | 4/5 | -0.7 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 36 | MLB | Willy Adames 10 games | SF vs SFG@CHC | TB | 1.5 | +150 | 3.2 | +1.7 | 3/5 | +1.1 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 37 | MLB | Alec Burleson 10 games | STL vs CIN@STL | H | 0.5 | -300 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.5 | 62 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 38 | MLB | Brandon Marsh 10 games | PHI vs CHW@PHI | H | 0.5 | -220 | 2 | +1.5 | 5/5 | -0.1 | 62 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 39 | MLB | Gage Jump 2 games | ATH vs Athletics@ | K | 3.5 | -425 | 5 | +1.5 | 2/2 | +0 | 62 | D | 3.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 40 | MLB | Jung Hoo Lee 10 games | SF vs SFG@CHC | H | 0.5 | -220 | 2 | +1.5 | 5/5 | +0 | 62 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 41 | MLB | Lars Nootbaar 2 games | STL vs CIN@STL | H | 0.5 | -200 | 1.5 | +1 | 2/2 | +0 | 62 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 42 | MLB | Lars Nootbaar 2 games | STL vs CIN@STL | R | 0.5 | -120 | 1 | +0.5 | 2/2 | +0 | 62 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 43 | MLB | Nick Gonzales 10 games | PIT vs PIT@ATL | H | 0.5 | -237 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | -0.1 | 62 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 44 | MLB | Yordan Alvarez 10 games | HOU vs Athletics@ | H | 0.5 | -246 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | -0.4 | 62 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 45 | MLB | Blake Dunn 10 games | CIN vs CIN@STL | H | 0.5 | -225 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +1 | 61 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 46 | MLB | Blake Dunn 10 games | CIN vs CIN@STL | TB | 1.5 | +135 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 3/5 | +1.9 | 61 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 47 | MLB | Freddie Freeman 10 games | LAD vs LAA@LAD | TB | 1.5 | +135 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | -0.5 | 61 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 48 | MLB | Gleyber Torres 10 games | DET vs SEA@DET | H | 0.5 | -190 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 49 | MLB | Hunter Goodman 10 games | COL vs MIL@COL | TB | 1.5 | -120 | 3.2 | +1.7 | 4/5 | -0.7 | 61 | D | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 50 | MLB | Isaac Paredes 10 games | HOU vs Athletics@ | R | 0.5 | +115 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.3 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.