Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLB | Tim Tawa 10 games | AZ vs STL@ARI | TB | 1.5 | +190 | 4.2 | +2.7 | 4/5 | +2.7 | 79 | B | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2 | MLB | Ryan Jeffers 3 games | MIN vs MIN@CHC | TB | 1.5 | +125 | 2.7 | +1.2 | 3/3 | +0 | 71 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 3 | MLB | Chase DeLauter 10 games | CLE vs PIT@CLE | TB | 1.5 | +125 | 3 | +1.5 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 70 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 4 | MLB | Jonathan Aranda 10 games | TB vs TBR@BOS | TB | 1.5 | +115 | 3 | +1.5 | 4/5 | +1 | 70 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 5 | MLB | Tim Tawa 10 games | AZ vs STL@ARI | RBI | 0.5 | +260 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 70 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 6 | MLB | Ian Seymour 10 games | TB vs TBR@BOS | K | 4.5 | -142 | 6.8 | +2.3 | 3/5 | +3.1 | 69 | C | 4.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 7 | MLB | Austin Hedges 10 games | CLE vs PIT@CLE | H | 0.5 | -110 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 5/5 | +0.6 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 8 | MLB | Brayan Rocchio 10 games | CLE vs PIT@CLE | TB | 1.5 | +147 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 67 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 9 | MLB | Casey Schmitt 10 games | SF vs SFG@SEA | TB | 1.5 | +160 | 3 | +1.5 | 4/5 | +0 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 10 | MLB | Curtis Mead 10 games | WSH vs WSN@Athlet | TB | 1.5 | +125 | 3.4 | +1.9 | 3/5 | +1.9 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 11 | MLB | Taj Bradley 10 games | MIN vs MIN@CHC | K | 6.5 | +140 | 7.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +2.4 | 67 | C | 6.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 12 | MLB | Yainer Diaz 10 games | HOU vs BAL@HOU | TB | 1.5 | +160 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 13 | MLB | Yandy Diaz 10 games | TB vs TBR@BOS | TB | 1.5 | -108 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 66 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 14 | MLB | Tim Tawa 10 games | AZ vs STL@ARI | H | 0.5 | -135 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +1 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 15 | MLB | Austin Hedges 10 games | CLE vs PIT@CLE | TB | 1.5 | +280 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +0.9 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 16 | MLB | Colson Montgomery 10 games | CWS vs CHW@TOR | R | 0.5 | +120 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 17 | MLB | James Wood 10 games | WSH vs WSN@Athlet | TB | 1.5 | -103 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 3/5 | -1.4 | 63 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 18 | MLB | Casey Schmitt 10 games | SF vs SFG@SEA | H | 0.5 | -165 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.1 | 62 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 19 | MLB | Bryan Reynolds 10 games | PIT vs PIT@CLE | R | 0.5 | +135 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.1 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 20 | MLB | Curtis Mead 10 games | WSH vs WSN@Athlet | H | 0.5 | -220 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 21 | MLB | Enmanuel Valdez 10 games | PIT vs PIT@CLE | R | 0.5 | +130 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 22 | MLB | Esmerlyn Valdez 10 games | PIT vs PIT@CLE | R | 0.5 | +135 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 23 | MLB | Geraldo Perdomo 10 games | AZ vs STL@ARI | R | 0.5 | +100 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 24 | MLB | Jake Mangum 10 games | PIT vs PIT@CLE | R | 0.5 | +150 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 25 | MLB | James Wood 10 games | WSH vs WSN@Athlet | RBI | 0.5 | +126 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 26 | MLB | Miguel Vargas 10 games | CWS vs CHW@TOR | R | 0.5 | +110 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 27 | MLB | Nolan Arenado 10 games | AZ vs STL@ARI | R | 0.5 | +175 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.3 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 28 | MLB | Ryan Jeffers 3 games | MIN vs MIN@CHC | RBI | 0.5 | +169 | 1.7 | +1.2 | 2/3 | +0 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 29 | MLB | Yainer Diaz 10 games | HOU vs BAL@HOU | R | 0.5 | +170 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +-0 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 30 | MLB | Braden Montgomery 10 games | CWS vs CHW@TOR | RBI | 0.5 | +242 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 2/5 | +1.9 | 60 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 31 | MLB | Jake Mangum 10 games | PIT vs PIT@CLE | TB | 1.5 | +141 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 2/5 | +1.8 | 60 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 32 | MLB | Junior Caminero 10 games | TB vs TBR@BOS | TB | 1.5 | -110 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +-0 | 60 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 33 | MLB | Joey Ortiz 10 games | MIL vs MIA@MIL | H | 0.5 | -125 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 59 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 34 | MLB | Andrew Benintendi 10 games | CWS vs CHW@TOR | R | 0.5 | +140 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +1 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 35 | MLB | Curtis Mead 10 games | WSH vs WSN@Athlet | R | 0.5 | +105 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | +1 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 36 | MLB | Curtis Mead 10 games | WSH vs WSN@Athlet | RBI | 0.5 | +169 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.9 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 37 | MLB | Henry Davis 10 games | PIT vs PIT@CLE | R | 0.5 | +210 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.5 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 38 | MLB | J.T. Realmuto 10 games | PHI vs NYM@PHI | RBI | 0.5 | +192 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | +0.9 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 39 | MLB | James Wood 10 games | WSH vs WSN@Athlet | TB | 2.5 | +170 | 3.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | -1.4 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 40 | MLB | Joey Ortiz 10 games | MIL vs MIA@MIL | TB | 1.5 | +220 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | +1.1 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 41 | MLB | Jonathan Aranda 10 games | TB vs TBR@BOS | H | 0.5 | -260 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 42 | MLB | Tim Tawa 10 games | AZ vs STL@ARI | R | 0.5 | +155 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 43 | MLB | Ty France 10 games | SD vs SDP@KCR | R | 0.5 | +105 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +1.2 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 44 | MLB | Francisco Alvarez 10 games | NYM vs NYM@PHI | H | 0.5 | -135 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 56 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 45 | MLB | Josh Naylor 10 games | SEA vs SFG@SEA | H | 0.5 | -190 | 1 | +0.5 | 5/5 | +0.1 | 56 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 46 | MLB | Xavier Edwards 10 games | MIA vs MIA@MIL | H | 0.5 | -200 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 5/5 | +0.1 | 56 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 47 | MLB | Yainer Diaz 10 games | HOU vs BAL@HOU | H | 0.5 | -180 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 5/5 | +0.2 | 56 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 48 | MLB | Yandy Diaz 10 games | TB vs TBR@BOS | R | 0.5 | -125 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +-0 | 56 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 49 | MLB | Austin Hedges 10 games | CLE vs PIT@CLE | RBI | 0.5 | +280 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | -0.2 | 55 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 50 | MLB | Brayan Rocchio 10 games | CLE vs PIT@CLE | RBI | 0.5 | +214 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 3/5 | -0.3 | 55 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.