Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLB | Drake Baldwin 10 games | ATL vs SDP@ATL | TB | 1.5 | +110 | 4 | +2.5 | 3/5 | +3.9 | 76 | B | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2 | MLB | Harry Ford 2 games | WSH vs WSN@COL | TB | 1.5 | -101 | 3.5 | +2 | 2/2 | +0 | 76 | B | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 3 | MLB | Tim Tawa 10 games | AZ vs Athletics@ | TB | 1.5 | +165 | 4.2 | +2.7 | 4/5 | +1 | 76 | B | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 4 | MLB | Drake Baldwin 10 games | ATL vs SDP@ATL | RBI | 0.5 | +160 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +1.6 | 73 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 5 | MLB | Harry Ford 2 games | WSH vs WSN@COL | RBI | 0.5 | +135 | 2 | +1.5 | 2/2 | +0 | 71 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 6 | MLB | Bryce Eldridge 10 games | SF vs SFG@KCR | TB | 1.5 | +100 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +1.3 | 70 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 7 | MLB | Shea Langeliers 10 games | ATH vs Athletics@ | TB | 1.5 | +105 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +1.4 | 70 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 8 | MLB | Tim Tawa 10 games | AZ vs Athletics@ | RBI | 0.5 | +210 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 9 | MLB | Hunter Goodman 10 games | COL vs WSN@COL | TB | 1.5 | -105 | 3.2 | +1.7 | 3/5 | +2 | 66 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 10 | MLB | Elly De La Cruz 10 games | CIN vs CIN@SEA | H | 0.5 | -235 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +0.7 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 11 | MLB | Steven Kwan 10 games | CLE vs MIN@CLE | H | 0.5 | -185 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +1.1 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 12 | MLB | Tyler Locklear 1 games | AZ vs Athletics@ | R | 0.5 | +130 | 1 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 13 | MLB | Tyler Locklear 1 games | AZ vs Athletics@ | RBI | 0.5 | +188 | 1 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 14 | MLB | Austin Riley 10 games | ATL vs SDP@ATL | R | 0.5 | +120 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +1 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 15 | MLB | Braxton Ashcraft 10 games | PIT vs PIT@NYY | K | 6.5 | -118 | 7.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | -0.2 | 64 | D | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 16 | MLB | Cole Young 10 games | SEA vs CIN@SEA | TB | 1.5 | +185 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +1.2 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 17 | MLB | Drake Baldwin 10 games | ATL vs SDP@ATL | H | 0.5 | -250 | 2.2 | +1.7 | 4/5 | +1.8 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 18 | MLB | Elly De La Cruz 10 games | CIN vs CIN@SEA | TB | 1.5 | +115 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +1 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 19 | MLB | Griffin Conine 10 games | MIA vs MIA@HOU | TB | 1.5 | +195 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +0.7 | 64 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 20 | MLB | Kyle Freeland 9 games | COL vs WSN@COL | K | 4.5 | +120 | 6 | +1.5 | 3/5 | +1.1 | 64 | D | 4.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 21 | MLB | Nick Gonzales 10 games | PIT vs PIT@NYY | R | 0.5 | +145 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 22 | MLB | Nolan Arenado 10 games | AZ vs Athletics@ | RBI | 0.5 | +135 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 23 | MLB | Steven Kwan 10 games | CLE vs MIN@CLE | TB | 1.5 | +165 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +1.1 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 24 | MLB | Tyler Soderstrom 10 games | ATH vs Athletics@ | RBI | 0.5 | +181 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +1.1 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 25 | MLB | Austin Riley 10 games | ATL vs SDP@ATL | TB | 1.5 | +138 | 3.2 | +1.7 | 2/5 | +3 | 63 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 26 | MLB | Jacob deGrom 9 games | TEX vs CHW@TEX | K | 6.5 | -140 | 7.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +1.2 | 63 | D | 6.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 27 | MLB | Jake Mangum 10 games | PIT vs PIT@NYY | H | 0.5 | -260 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +0 | 62 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 28 | MLB | Andrew Benintendi 10 games | CWS vs CHW@TEX | R | 0.5 | +190 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +-0 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 29 | MLB | Carter Jensen 10 games | KC vs SFG@KCR | TB | 1.5 | +105 | 2 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +1.9 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 30 | MLB | Cole Young 10 games | SEA vs CIN@SEA | R | 0.5 | +135 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 31 | MLB | Colson Montgomery 10 games | CWS vs CHW@TEX | R | 0.5 | +150 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.3 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 32 | MLB | Curtis Mead 10 games | WSH vs WSN@COL | RBI | 0.5 | +124 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 33 | MLB | Drake Baldwin 10 games | ATL vs SDP@ATL | H | 1.5 | +180 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | +1.8 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 34 | MLB | Fernando Tatis Jr. 10 games | SD vs SDP@ATL | TB | 1.5 | +100 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 3/5 | +2.2 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 35 | MLB | Gabriel Moreno 10 games | AZ vs Athletics@ | R | 0.5 | +105 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.3 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 36 | MLB | Jake Mangum 10 games | PIT vs PIT@NYY | TB | 1.5 | +138 | 3 | +1.5 | 3/5 | +0.1 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 37 | MLB | A.J. Ewing 10 games | NYM vs NYM@MIL | H | 0.5 | -109 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 60 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 38 | MLB | Geraldo Perdomo 10 games | AZ vs Athletics@ | R | 0.5 | -105 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | -0.3 | 60 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 39 | MLB | Jeffrey Springs 9 games | ATH vs Athletics@ | K | 3.5 | -104 | 4.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 60 | D | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 40 | MLB | Tim Tawa 10 games | AZ vs Athletics@ | H | 0.5 | -150 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0 | 60 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 41 | MLB | Tyler Stephenson 10 games | CIN vs CIN@SEA | TB | 1.5 | +170 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 2/5 | +1.6 | 60 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 42 | MLB | Alex Bregman 10 games | CHC vs DET@CHC | RBI | 0.5 | +152 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | -0.5 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 43 | MLB | Dylan Cease 8 games | AL vs TBR@TOR | K | 7.5 | +110 | 8.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | -0.7 | 58 | D | 7.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 44 | MLB | Fernando Tatis Jr. 10 games | SD vs SDP@ATL | RBI | 0.5 | +182 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | +1.3 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 45 | MLB | Griffin Conine 10 games | MIA vs MIA@HOU | RBI | 0.5 | +230 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.7 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 46 | MLB | Shea Langeliers 10 games | ATH vs Athletics@ | RBI | 0.5 | +140 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.7 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 47 | MLB | Spencer Steer 10 games | CIN vs CIN@SEA | TB | 1.5 | +145 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 3/5 | +1 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 48 | MLB | Tommy Edman 10 games | LAD vs LAD@PHI | TB | 1.5 | +149 | 2 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +1 | 58 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 49 | MLB | Tyler Locklear 1 games | AZ vs Athletics@ | H | 0.5 | -150 | 1 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 50 | MLB | Tyler Soderstrom 10 games | ATH vs Athletics@ | R | 0.5 | +105 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.6 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.