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MLB Picks, Player Props, Projections & Edge Analysis

💪 Strong Plays 🏆 Top Plays 📈 Trend Plays 📋 Prop Plays
⚾ MLB Scoreboard
← Sep 23 Sep 24 📅 Sep 25 →
Final
Cardinals
1
Pirates
2
PNC Park
Final
White Sox
9
Royals
1
Kauffman Stadium
Final
Marlins
1
Cubs
2
Wrigley Field
Final
Mets
1
Rangers
3
Globe Life Field
Final
D-backs
12
Rockies
8
Coors Field
Final
Brewers
5
Phillies
1
Citizens Bank Park
Final
Guardians
1
Red Sox
0
Fenway Park
Final
Rays
4
Yankees
6
Yankee Stadium
Final
Reds
7
Braves
6
Truist Park
Final
Astros
7
Athletics
5
Sutter Health Park
Final
Angels
6
Mariners
4
T-Mobile Park
Final
Padres
4
Dodgers
2
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
📊 MLB Projection Matchups
12 games with data Full Matchups →
STL @ PIT
Box Score →
STL SP
Kyle Leahy (R)
Weak · ERA 3.65
PIT SP
Paul Skenes (R)
Weak · ERA 3.91
STL
2.8
vs
PIT
8.1
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
STL (Away)
H12.6 HR37.3 RBI12.1 R2.8 TB14.4 K3.3
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
JJ Wetherholt 1.9 5.3 1.7 0.5 2.1 –
Alec Burleson 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.4 –
Jordan Walker 1.9 5.3 1.8 0.4 2.0 –
Thomas Saggese 1.8 5.3 1.7 0.4 2.2 –
Masyn Winn 1.7 5.3 1.7 0.4 1.7 –
TOTAL 12.6 37.3 12.1 2.8 14.4 3.3
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Kyle Leahy (R) Weak 3.94 1.55 6.7 5.0 0.282 3.3
PIT (Home)
H32.9 HR96.1 RBI31.3 R8.1 TB37.8 K8.8
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Oneil Cruz 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.1 –
Konnor Griffin 2.0 5.3 1.8 0.6 2.1 –
Brandon Lowe 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.1 –
Ryan O'Hearn 1.7 5.3 1.5 0.5 2.1 –
Nick Gonzales 2.0 5.3 1.8 0.5 2.1 –
TOTAL 32.9 96.1 31.3 8.1 37.8 8.8
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Paul Skenes (R) Weak 3.82 1.12 10.3 5.4 0.227 5.5
CWS @ KC
Box Score →
CWS SP
David Sandlin (R)
ERA 6.29
KC SP
Randy Dobnak (R)
ERA 3.08
CWS
5.1
vs
KC
9.7
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
CWS (Away)
H16.9 HR49.2 RBI15.9 R5.1 TB19.3 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Miguel Vargas 2.0 5.6 1.9 0.7 2.2 –
Munetaka Murakami 1.8 5.6 1.9 0.7 2.0 –
Kyle Teel 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.2 –
Sam Antonacci 2.0 5.3 1.8 0.6 2.1 –
Colson Montgomery 1.6 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.0 –
TOTAL 16.9 49.2 15.9 5.1 19.3 3.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
David Sandlin (R) 6.29 – – – – 3.5
KC (Home)
H33.5 HR98.1 RBI32.0 R9.7 TB38.6 K7.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Carter Jensen 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.7 2.5 –
Bobby Witt Jr. 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.7 2.3 –
Miguel Vargas 2.0 5.6 1.9 0.7 2.2 –
Munetaka Murakami 1.8 5.6 1.9 0.7 2.0 –
Kyle Teel 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.2 –
TOTAL 33.5 98.1 32.0 9.7 38.6 7.0
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Randy Dobnak (R) 3.08 – – – – 3.5
MIA @ CHC
Box Score →
MIA SP
Tyler Phillips (R)
ERA 3.45
CHC SP
Matthew Boyd (L)
ERA 4.06
MIA
2.8
vs
CHC
7.9
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
MIA (Away)
H13.5 HR45.9 RBI14.0 R2.8 TB15.2 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Jakob Marsee 2.6 5.6 4.6 – 2.6 –
Otto Lopez 1.9 5.3 1.7 0.4 2.1 –
Kyle Stowers 1.8 5.3 1.8 0.4 2.0 –
Javier Sanoja 1.9 5.3 1.8 0.4 2.7 –
Agustín Ramírez 1.7 5.3 1.7 0.4 1.9 –
TOTAL 13.5 45.9 14.0 2.8 15.2 3.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Tyler Phillips (R) 3.45 – – – – 3.5
CHC (Home)
H32.4 HR99.4 RBI31.5 R7.9 TB35.9 K8.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Jakob Marsee 2.6 5.6 4.6 – 2.6 –
Miguel Amaya 0.8 – – – – –
Pete Crow-Armstrong 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.7 2.2 –
Seiya Suzuki 1.9 5.3 1.8 0.6 2.1 –
Heriberto Hernandez 1.8 5.6 1.7 0.5 2.5 –
TOTAL 32.4 99.4 31.5 7.9 35.9 8.0
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Matthew Boyd (L) 4.06 – – – – 4.5
NYM @ TEX
Box Score →
NYM SP
Zac Thornton (L)
ERA 3.40
TEX SP
Kumar Rocker (R)
ERA 4.47
NYM
4.4
vs
TEX
9.1
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
NYM (Away)
H16.5 HR47.9 RBI14.2 R4.4 TB18.1 K4.1
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Mark Vientos 1.0 – – – 0.9 –
Juan Soto 1.9 5.6 1.5 0.7 2.1 –
Francisco Lindor 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.7 2.2 –
Carson Benge 1.9 5.3 1.8 0.5 2.1 –
Bo Bichette 2.0 5.3 1.8 0.5 2.1 –
TOTAL 16.5 47.9 14.2 4.4 18.1 4.1
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Zac Thornton (L) 3.40 – – – – 4.1
TEX (Home)
H33.0 HR96.8 RBI30.3 R9.1 TB37.8 K8.6
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Mark Vientos 1.0 – – – 0.9 –
Juan Soto 1.9 5.6 1.5 0.7 2.1 –
Francisco Lindor 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.7 2.2 –
Corey Seager 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.2 –
Justin Foscue 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.1 –
TOTAL 33.0 96.8 30.3 9.1 37.8 8.6
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Kumar Rocker (R) 4.47 – – – – 4.5
AZ @ COL
Box Score →
AZ SP
Eduardo Rodriguez (L)
Average · ERA 2.89
COL SP
Tanner Gordon (R)
ERA 6.01
AZ
5.6
vs
COL
10.8
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
AZ (Away)
H18.2 HR44.6 RBI14.7 R5.6 TB18.8 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Ketel Marte 2.7 5.6 1.6 0.8 2.5 –
Lars Nootbaar 2.6 5.6 1.8 0.8 2.3 –
Corbin Carroll 2.3 5.6 2.0 0.8 2.5 –
Gabriel Moreno 2.7 5.6 1.9 0.7 2.5 –
Geraldo Perdomo 2.1 5.3 1.9 0.7 2.3 –
TOTAL 18.2 44.6 14.7 5.6 18.8 4.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Eduardo Rodriguez (L) Average 2.89 1.24 6.8 5.9 0.240 4.5
COL (Home)
H37.9 HR98.1 RBI31.2 R10.8 TB40.8 K8.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Adael Amador 0.9 – – – 0.9 –
Ketel Marte 2.7 5.6 1.6 0.8 2.5 –
Lars Nootbaar 2.6 5.6 1.8 0.8 2.3 –
Corbin Carroll 2.3 5.6 2.0 0.8 2.5 –
Gabriel Moreno 2.7 5.6 1.9 0.7 2.5 –
TOTAL 37.9 98.1 31.2 10.8 40.8 8.0
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Tanner Gordon (R) 6.01 – – – – 3.5
MIL @ PHI
Box Score →
MIL SP
TBD
PHI SP
Andrew Painter (R)
ERA 5.59
MIL
4.3
vs
PHI
8.7
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
MIL (Away)
H15.6 HR47.9 RBI14.5 R4.3 TB19.9 K0.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Jackson Chourio 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Garrett Mitchell 1.9 5.3 1.7 0.5 2.4 –
William Contreras 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.7 –
Jake Bauers 1.7 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.2 –
Brice Turang 1.9 5.3 1.8 0.5 2.4 –
TOTAL 15.6 47.9 14.5 4.3 19.9 –
PHI (Home)
H29.3 HR94.1 RBI25.9 R8.7 TB36.3 K4.8
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Kyle Schwarber 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.7 2.7 –
Bryce Harper 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Trea Turner 2.0 5.3 1.8 0.6 2.2 –
Jackson Chourio 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Garrett Mitchell 1.9 5.3 1.7 0.5 2.4 –
TOTAL 29.3 94.1 25.9 8.7 36.3 4.8
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Andrew Painter (R) 5.59 – – – – 4.8
CLE @ BOS
Box Score →
CLE SP
Daniel Espino (R)
ERA 4.73
BOS SP
Ranger Suarez (L)
Average · ERA 3.27
CLE
2.7
vs
BOS
7.6
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
CLE (Away)
H11.4 HR36.3 RBI10.3 R2.7 TB13.4 K0.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Steven Kwan 2.0 5.3 1.7 0.5 2.4 –
Jo Adell 1.9 5.3 1.8 0.4 2.4 –
Chase DeLauter 1.9 5.3 1.8 0.4 2.1 –
Brayan Rocchio 1.6 5.3 1.4 0.4 2.0 –
Travis Bazzana 0.8 4.6 0.3 0.4 0.8 –
TOTAL 11.4 36.3 10.3 2.7 13.4 –
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAA
Daniel Espino (R) 4.73 – – – –
BOS (Home)
H32.1 HR98.7 RBI31.3 R7.6 TB37.4 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Willson Contreras 2.7 5.6 4.6 – 2.7 –
Roman Anthony 1.9 5.3 1.7 0.5 2.4 –
Jose Ramirez 1.9 5.3 1.8 0.5 2.5 –
Steven Kwan 2.0 5.3 1.7 0.5 2.4 –
Wilyer Abreu 1.8 5.3 1.8 0.5 2.7 –
TOTAL 32.1 98.7 31.3 7.6 37.4 4.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Ranger Suarez (L) Average 3.15 1.16 9.6 5.4 0.232 4.5
TB @ NYY
Box Score →
TB SP
Ian Seymour (L)
ERA 4.38
NYY SP
Cam Schlittler (R)
Ace · ERA 1.94
TB
2.9
vs
NYY
7.5
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
TB (Away)
H13.8 HR42.9 RBI13.8 R2.9 TB16.4 K6.3
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Junior Caminero 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.4 –
Jonathan Aranda 1.8 5.3 1.7 0.4 2.0 –
Victor Mesa Jr. 1.7 5.6 1.7 0.4 1.9 –
Chandler Simpson 1.9 5.3 1.7 0.4 2.6 –
Liam Hicks 1.7 5.3 1.7 0.3 2.0 –
TOTAL 13.8 42.9 13.8 2.9 16.4 6.3
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Ian Seymour (L) 4.38 – – – – 6.3
NYY (Home)
H29.6 HR96.1 RBI27.5 R7.5 TB35.0 K12.8
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Paul Goldschmidt 1.0 5.6 0.3 0.5 1.3 –
Cody Bellinger 1.7 5.6 1.4 0.5 2.1 –
Ben Rice 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.0 –
Junior Caminero 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.4 –
Spencer Jones 2.1 5.6 2.5 0.4 3.0 –
TOTAL 29.6 96.1 27.5 7.5 35.0 12.8
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Cam Schlittler (R) Ace 1.95 0.92 11.1 5.9 0.185 6.5
CIN @ ATL
Box Score →
CIN SP
Brady Singer (R)
Replacement · ERA 5.67
ATL SP
Tyler Mahle (R)
Replacement · ERA 3.81
CIN
3.3
vs
ATL
9.1
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
CIN (Away)
H12.4 HR37.3 RBI11.0 R3.3 TB13.2 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Elly De La Cruz 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.1 –
JJ Bleday 1.7 5.6 1.7 0.4 1.9 –
Sal Stewart 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.4 2.4 –
Carlos Jorge 1.8 5.3 1.7 0.4 2.0 –
Tyler Stephenson 1.8 5.3 1.8 0.4 2.0 –
TOTAL 12.4 37.3 11.0 3.3 13.2 3.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Brady Singer (R) Replacement 5.67 1.56 7.3 5.1 0.290 3.5
ATL (Home)
H34.4 HR102.7 RBI33.5 R9.1 TB37.5 K9.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Ha-Seong Kim 2.7 5.6 4.6 – 2.8 –
Ronald Acuna Jr. 2.0 5.6 1.5 0.7 2.2 –
Drake Baldwin 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.7 2.2 –
Matt Olson 2.0 5.6 1.9 0.7 2.3 –
Michael Harris II 2.0 5.6 1.9 0.6 2.3 –
TOTAL 34.4 102.7 33.5 9.1 37.5 9.0
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Tyler Mahle (R) Replacement 6.10 1.57 9.4 5.1 0.294 5.5
HOU @ ATH
Box Score →
HOU SP
Peter Lambert (R)
ERA 3.70
ATH SP
Mason Barnett (R)
ERA 7.16
HOU
6.7
vs
ATH
5.5
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
HOU (Away)
H17.4 HR48.6 RBI13.9 R6.7 TB18.5 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Yordan Alvarez 2.7 5.6 2.0 1.0 2.0 –
Jose Altuve 2.1 5.6 1.9 0.9 2.3 –
Isaac Paredes 2.0 5.6 1.9 0.8 2.2 –
Yainer Diaz 2.7 5.6 2.0 0.7 2.4 –
Christian Walker 1.8 5.6 1.6 0.7 2.2 –
TOTAL 17.4 48.6 13.9 6.7 18.5 4.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Peter Lambert (R) 3.70 – – – – 4.5
ATH (Home)
H17.5 HR48.2 RBI15.9 R5.5 TB19.8 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Henry Bolte 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.7 2.2 –
Lawrence Butler 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.7 2.1 –
Shea Langeliers 2.0 5.6 1.9 0.7 2.3 –
Zack Gelof 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.2 –
Jeff McNeil 2.0 5.3 1.8 0.5 2.1 –
TOTAL 17.5 48.2 15.9 5.5 19.8 3.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Mason Barnett (R) 7.16 – – – – 3.5
LAA @ SEA
Box Score →
LAA SP
Grayson Rodriguez (R)
ERA 5.96
SEA SP
Bryan Woo (R)
Average · ERA 3.92
LAA
2.8
vs
SEA
7.6
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
LAA (Away)
H13.4 HR42.9 RBI13.3 R2.8 TB15.3 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Mike Trout 1.7 5.6 1.7 0.4 1.9 –
Zach Neto 1.7 5.6 1.7 0.4 2.0 –
Vaughn Grissom 1.6 5.3 1.4 0.3 2.0 –
Wade Meckler 1.8 5.3 1.7 0.3 2.0 –
Josh Lowe 1.6 5.3 1.7 0.3 1.9 –
TOTAL 13.4 42.9 13.3 2.8 15.3 4.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Grayson Rodriguez (R) 5.96 – – – – 4.5
SEA (Home)
H31.4 HR97.5 RBI31.0 R7.6 TB35.4 K11.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Randy Arozarena 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.1 –
Cal Raleigh 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.0 –
J.P. Crawford 1.9 5.3 1.7 0.6 2.1 –
Dominic Canzone 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.1 –
Julio Rodriguez 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.1 –
TOTAL 31.4 97.5 31.0 7.6 35.4 11.0
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Bryan Woo (R) Average 4.01 1.10 9.1 5.8 0.231 6.5
SD @ LAD
Box Score →
SD SP
Nick Pivetta (R)
Weak · ERA 3.30
LAD SP
Tyler Glasnow (R)
Ace · ERA 3.46
SD
3.8
vs
LAD
8.8
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
SD (Away)
H15.8 HR48.9 RBI15.7 R3.8 TB17.6 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.2 –
Manny Machado 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.0 –
Jackson Merrill 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.0 –
Ty France 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.0 –
Dustin Harris 1.8 5.3 1.7 0.4 1.9 –
TOTAL 15.8 48.9 15.7 3.8 17.6 4.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Nick Pivetta (R) Weak 4.50 1.13 13.5 4.0 0.200 4.5
LAD (Home)
H32.2 HR98.8 RBI31.6 R8.8 TB36.0 K11.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Shohei Ohtani 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.7 2.3 –
Mookie Betts 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.2 –
Will Smith 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 1.9 –
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.2 –
Max Muncy 1.7 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.1 –
TOTAL 32.2 98.8 31.6 8.8 36.0 11.0
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAAK Line
Tyler Glasnow (R) Ace 2.72 0.83 11.1 5.6 0.149 6.5
🏆 Top Performers Sep 24
Hits
4
3
3
3
3
Home Runs
3
2
1
1
1
RBIs
5
3
3
3
3
Runs
3
3
3
3
3
Stolen Bases
2
2
2
1
1
Strikeouts
11
8
8
8
8
Plays: 💪 Strong Plays 🏆 Top Plays 📈 Trend Plays 📋 Prop Plays
About PlayTakers MLB

MLB research on PlayTakers is built around the starting-pitcher matchup and the batter props it creates — hits, total bases, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks and pitcher strikeouts. Projections update daily once lineups post, pitcher rankings highlight the best and worst matchups of the slate, and the bet log tracks every graded pick so you can see exactly how the model is performing over time.

MLB — Frequently Asked Questions
▸What MLB props does PlayTakers project?

MLB coverage includes batter hits, total bases, runs, RBIs, home runs, walks and stolen bases, plus pitcher strikeouts and outs. You can view all props by game on the MLB Projections page and compare lines across books.

▸How do starter matchups factor in?

MLB projections lean heavily on the starting pitcher: handedness, recent command and workload, plus park factors. Each batter's projection adjusts for that specific matchup before we compare to the sportsbook line.

▸Where can I see MLB pitcher rankings?

The Pitcher Rankings page groups starters by strikeout upside, run-prevention and recent form so you can quickly spot spots to attack or avoid. It updates daily alongside the MLB projections.

▸When are picks posted each day?

Picks are posted in the morning once the opening lines are up and refreshed through the afternoon as lineups, injuries and odds move. You can always find the latest picks on the Strong Plays and Top Plays pages, and recent graded picks show up on the home page.

▸How do you calculate edge on a player prop?

Edge compares our projection for a player's stat line to the sportsbook total on the same prop, then converts the gap to an implied percentage edge relative to the fair price. Projections blend recent form, season averages, matchup context and pace or game-script signals per sport.