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MLB Picks, Player Props, Projections & Edge Analysis

💪 Strong Plays 🏆 Top Plays 📈 Trend Plays 📋 Prop Plays
📊 MLB Projection Matchups
16 games with data Full Matchups →
WSH @ DET
Box Score →
WSH
3.4
vs
DET
8.4
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
WSH (Away)
H14.1 HR45.0 RBI13.6 R3.4 TB18.2 K0.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
James Wood 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.6 –
Dylan Crews 1.6 5.6 1.4 0.5 2.3 –
Andrés Chaparro 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.4 2.3 –
CJ Abrams 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.4 2.3 –
Brady House 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.4 2.3 –
TOTAL 14.1 45.0 13.6 3.4 18.2 –
DET (Home)
H30.4 HR89.9 RBI28.6 R8.4 TB38.3 K5.4
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Kevin McGonigle 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Riley Greene 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Hao-Yu Lee 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
James Wood 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.6 –
Dillon Dingler 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.2 –
TOTAL 30.4 89.9 28.6 8.4 38.3 5.4
Pitching
PitcherK
Framber Valdez 5.4
TOR @ BAL
Box Score →
TOR
3.5
vs
BAL
8.0
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
TOR (Away)
H18.1 HR45.0 RBI13.7 R3.5 TB24.8 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Brett Bateman 1.1 – – – 1.3 –
Alejandro Kirk 1.1 – – – 1.3 –
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1.1 – – – 1.3 –
Nathan Lukes 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.2 –
Kazuma Okamoto 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.4 –
TOTAL 18.1 45.0 13.7 3.5 24.8 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Max Scherzer 4.5
BAL (Home)
H35.8 HR101.2 RBI31.2 R8.0 TB49.4 K8.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Brett Bateman 1.1 – – – 1.3 –
Alejandro Kirk 1.1 – – – 1.3 –
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1.1 – – – 1.3 –
Pete Alonso 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Dylan Beavers 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.7 –
TOTAL 35.8 101.2 31.2 8.0 49.4 8.0
Pitching
PitcherK
Max Scherzer 4.5
Chris Bassitt 3.5
TOR @ BAL
Box Score →
TOR
3.5
vs
BAL
8.0
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
TOR (Away)
H18.1 HR45.0 RBI13.7 R3.5 TB24.8 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Brett Bateman 1.1 – – – 1.3 –
Alejandro Kirk 1.1 – – – 1.3 –
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1.1 – – – 1.3 –
Nathan Lukes 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.2 –
Kazuma Okamoto 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.4 –
TOTAL 18.1 45.0 13.7 3.5 24.8 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Max Scherzer 4.5
BAL (Home)
H35.8 HR101.2 RBI31.2 R8.0 TB49.4 K8.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Brett Bateman 1.1 – – – 1.3 –
Alejandro Kirk 1.1 – – – 1.3 –
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1.1 – – – 1.3 –
Pete Alonso 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Dylan Beavers 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.7 –
TOTAL 35.8 101.2 31.2 8.0 49.4 8.0
Pitching
PitcherK
Max Scherzer 4.5
Chris Bassitt 3.5
MIN @ SF
Box Score →
MIN
5.2
vs
SF
9.6
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
MIN (Away)
H18.6 HR50.6 RBI17.2 R5.2 TB22.8 K5.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Luke Keaschall 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.2 –
Ryan Jeffers 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Kody Clemens 2.2 5.6 2.5 0.6 3.1 –
Austin Martin 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.2 –
Josh Bell 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.3 –
TOTAL 18.6 50.6 17.2 5.2 22.8 5.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Connor Prielipp 5.5
SF (Home)
H37.1 HR101.2 RBI34.5 R9.6 TB46.1 K9.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Luke Keaschall 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.2 –
Ryan Jeffers 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Kody Clemens 2.2 5.6 2.5 0.6 3.1 –
Austin Martin 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.2 –
Josh Bell 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.3 –
TOTAL 37.1 101.2 34.5 9.6 46.1 9.0
Pitching
PitcherK
Connor Prielipp 5.5
Cesar Perdomo 3.5
STL @ PIT
Box Score →
STL
3.0
vs
PIT
8.7
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
STL (Away)
H12.3 HR39.4 RBI11.9 R3.0 TB15.7 K4.6
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
JJ Wetherholt 1.8 5.6 1.7 0.5 2.4 –
Alec Burleson 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.2 –
Jordan Walker 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.3 –
Thomas Saggese 1.8 5.6 1.7 0.4 2.3 –
Masyn Winn 1.7 5.6 1.7 0.4 1.9 –
TOTAL 12.3 39.4 11.9 3.0 15.7 4.6
Pitching
PitcherK
Matthew Liberatore 4.6
PIT (Home)
H33.7 HR101.2 RBI32.5 R8.7 TB43.0 K4.6
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Konnor Griffin 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Oneil Cruz 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
JJ Wetherholt 1.8 5.6 1.7 0.5 2.4 –
Ivan Herrera 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.5 –
Alec Burleson 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.2 –
TOTAL 33.7 101.2 32.5 8.7 43.0 4.6
Pitching
PitcherK
Matthew Liberatore 4.6
MIL @ PHI
Box Score →
MIL
4.5
vs
PHI
8.2
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
MIL (Away)
H16.7 HR50.6 RBI15.9 R4.5 TB21.4 K5.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Jackson Chourio 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.4 –
Garrett Mitchell 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Jake Bauers 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.3 –
William Contreras 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.3 –
Brice Turang 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.7 –
TOTAL 16.7 50.6 15.9 4.5 21.4 5.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Logan Henderson 5.5
PHI (Home)
H32.4 HR101.2 RBI31.3 R8.2 TB41.7 K11.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Kyle Schwarber 1.7 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.2 –
Jackson Chourio 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.4 –
Garrett Mitchell 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Jake Bauers 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.3 –
William Contreras 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.3 –
TOTAL 32.4 101.2 31.3 8.2 41.7 11.0
Pitching
PitcherK
Aaron Nola 5.5
Logan Henderson 5.5
TB @ NYY
Box Score →
TB
3.4
vs
NYY
7.7
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
TB (Away)
H14.9 HR45.0 RBI14.9 R3.4 TB19.4 K6.3
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Junior Caminero 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.3 –
Jonathan Aranda 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.5 –
Victor Mesa Jr. 1.6 5.6 1.8 0.4 2.3 –
Liam Hicks 1.8 5.6 1.7 0.4 2.3 –
Cedric Mullins 1.6 5.6 1.7 0.3 2.1 –
TOTAL 14.9 45.0 14.9 3.4 19.4 6.3
Pitching
PitcherK
Ian Seymour 6.3
NYY (Home)
H30.8 HR89.9 RBI29.1 R7.7 TB38.4 K11.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Paul Goldschmidt 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.2 –
Cody Bellinger 1.9 5.6 1.4 0.5 2.2 –
Junior Caminero 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.3 –
Ben Rice 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.3 –
Yandy Diaz 1.9 5.6 1.7 0.5 2.2 –
TOTAL 30.8 89.9 29.1 7.7 38.4 11.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Ian Seymour 6.3
Gerrit Cole 5.2
CLE @ BOS
Box Score →
CLE
2.9
vs
BOS
8.6
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
CLE (Away)
H12.7 HR39.4 RBI12.2 R2.9 TB15.9 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Steven Kwan 2.0 5.6 1.7 0.5 2.2 –
Chase DeLauter 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.4 2.2 –
Jo Adell 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.4 2.3 –
Travis Bazzana 1.8 5.6 1.7 0.4 2.3 –
Brayan Rocchio 1.8 5.6 1.7 0.4 2.3 –
TOTAL 12.7 39.4 12.2 2.9 15.9 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Foster Griffin 4.5
BOS (Home)
H31.6 HR84.3 RBI27.6 R8.6 TB38.7 K9.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Willson Contreras 1.0 – 0.4 0.5 1.4 –
Steven Kwan 2.0 5.6 1.7 0.5 2.2 –
Jose Ramirez 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.2 –
Roman Anthony 1.9 5.6 1.7 0.5 2.3 –
Ceddanne Rafaela 1.0 – 0.3 0.5 1.3 –
TOTAL 31.6 84.3 27.6 8.6 38.7 9.0
Pitching
PitcherK
Sonny Gray 4.5
Foster Griffin 4.5
CIN @ ATL
Box Score →
CIN
3.2
vs
ATL
8.5
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
CIN (Away)
H16.4 HR45.0 RBI14.7 R3.2 TB18.5 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Oswaldo Cabrera 0.8 – – – – –
Will Banfield 0.6 – – – – –
Elly De La Cruz 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.0 –
Dane Myers 1.8 5.6 1.7 0.4 2.4 –
Sal Stewart 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.4 2.3 –
TOTAL 16.4 45.0 14.7 3.2 18.5 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Andrew Abbott 3.5
ATL (Home)
H34.6 HR101.2 RBI32.4 R8.5 TB40.8 K11.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Oswaldo Cabrera 0.8 – – – – –
Ronald Acuna Jr. 1.7 5.6 1.5 0.7 2.3 –
Will Banfield 0.6 – – – – –
Drake Baldwin 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Matt Olson 1.9 5.6 1.9 0.6 2.3 –
TOTAL 34.6 101.2 32.4 8.5 40.8 11.0
Pitching
PitcherK
Chris Sale 7.5
Andrew Abbott 3.5
CWS @ KC
Box Score →
CWS
4.6
vs
KC
9.5
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
CWS (Away)
H15.5 HR45.0 RBI14.3 R4.6 TB19.0 K0.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Munetaka Murakami 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.2 –
Miguel Vargas 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.4 –
Sam Antonacci 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Kyle Teel 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.0 –
Colson Montgomery 1.6 5.6 1.4 0.5 2.3 –
TOTAL 15.5 45.0 14.3 4.6 19.0 –
KC (Home)
H33.4 HR95.6 RBI31.3 R9.5 TB41.5 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Bobby Witt Jr. 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.4 –
Carter Jensen 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.7 –
Munetaka Murakami 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.2 –
Miguel Vargas 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.4 –
Sam Antonacci 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
TOTAL 33.4 95.6 31.3 9.5 41.5 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Seth Lugo 4.5
MIA @ CHC
Box Score →
MIA
3.2
vs
CHC
7.9
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
MIA (Away)
H7.9 HR45.0 RBI17.9 R3.2 TB20.3 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Xavier Edwards 0.9 5.6 4.6 – 2.8 –
Kyle Stowers 0.8 5.6 1.7 0.5 2.3 –
Otto Lopez 1.1 5.6 1.7 0.4 2.2 –
Griffin Conine 0.7 5.6 1.7 0.4 2.2 –
Jakob Marsee 0.8 5.6 1.7 0.4 2.3 –
TOTAL 7.9 45.0 17.9 3.2 20.3 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Ryan Gusto 3.5
CHC (Home)
H24.2 HR95.6 RBI33.8 R7.9 TB42.1 K9.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Xavier Edwards 0.9 5.6 4.6 – 2.8 –
Pete Crow-Armstrong 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.7 2.4 –
Seiya Suzuki 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.6 –
Michael Busch 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.6 –
Ian Happ 1.8 5.6 1.4 0.5 2.3 –
TOTAL 24.2 95.6 33.8 7.9 42.1 9.0
Pitching
PitcherK
Kevin Gausman 5.5
Ryan Gusto 3.5
NYM @ TEX
Box Score →
NYM
4.8
vs
TEX
9.0
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
NYM (Away)
H17.9 HR50.6 RBI16.7 R4.8 TB22.6 K5.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Francisco Lindor 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Juan Soto 1.9 5.6 1.5 0.6 2.2 –
Bo Bichette 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.3 –
Carson Benge 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.6 –
Mark Vientos 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.7 –
TOTAL 17.9 50.6 16.7 4.8 22.6 5.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Nolan McLean 5.5
TEX (Home)
H34.0 HR101.2 RBI32.6 R9.0 TB43.6 K8.2
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Francisco Lindor 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Wyatt Langford 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.7 –
Juan Soto 1.9 5.6 1.5 0.6 2.2 –
Corey Seager 1.7 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Bo Bichette 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.3 –
TOTAL 34.0 101.2 32.6 9.0 43.6 8.2
Pitching
PitcherK
Nolan McLean 5.5
Cody Bradford 2.7
AZ @ COL
Box Score →
AZ
5.9
vs
COL
11.8
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
AZ (Away)
H18.0 HR45.0 RBI15.1 R5.9 TB19.4 K3.7
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Ketel Marte 2.7 5.6 1.9 0.9 2.2 –
Lars Nootbaar 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.8 2.4 –
Corbin Carroll 2.6 5.6 2.0 0.8 2.6 –
Gabriel Moreno 2.8 5.6 1.9 0.8 2.6 –
Geraldo Perdomo 2.1 5.6 1.9 0.7 2.4 –
TOTAL 18.0 45.0 15.1 5.9 19.4 3.7
Pitching
PitcherK
Merrill Kelly 3.7
COL (Home)
H36.2 HR89.9 RBI30.6 R11.8 TB40.9 K7.2
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Ketel Marte 2.7 5.6 1.9 0.9 2.2 –
Lars Nootbaar 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.8 2.4 –
Corbin Carroll 2.6 5.6 2.0 0.8 2.6 –
Gabriel Moreno 2.8 5.6 1.9 0.8 2.6 –
Geraldo Perdomo 2.1 5.6 1.9 0.7 2.4 –
TOTAL 36.2 89.9 30.6 11.8 40.9 7.2
Pitching
PitcherK
Merrill Kelly 3.7
Mason Adams 3.5
LAA @ ATH
Box Score →
LAA
5.4
vs
ATH
4.7
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
LAA (Away)
H16.1 HR45.0 RBI14.7 R5.4 TB20.5 K0.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Zach Neto 2.0 5.6 1.9 0.8 2.5 –
Mike Trout 2.0 5.6 1.9 0.7 2.4 –
Vaughn Grissom 2.1 5.6 1.5 0.6 2.4 –
Denzer Guzman 2.0 5.6 1.9 0.6 2.3 –
Jose Siri 1.7 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.7 –
TOTAL 16.1 45.0 14.7 5.4 20.5 –
ATH (Home)
H14.9 HR39.4 RBI13.3 R4.7 TB18.0 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Shea Langeliers 1.9 5.6 1.9 0.6 2.4 –
Henry Bolte 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.2 –
Lawrence Butler 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.4 –
Jeff McNeil 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Zack Gelof 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
TOTAL 14.9 39.4 13.3 4.7 18.0 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Jeffrey Springs 4.5
SD @ LAD
Box Score →
SD
3.7
vs
LAD
9.4
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
SD (Away)
H15.9 HR50.6 RBI15.6 R3.7 TB19.9 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.3 –
Manny Machado 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.3 –
Ty France 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.3 –
Jackson Merrill 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.4 2.0 –
Dustin Harris 1.7 5.6 1.7 0.4 2.2 –
TOTAL 15.9 50.6 15.6 3.7 19.9 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Robbie Ray 3.5
LAD (Home)
H32.4 HR95.6 RBI31.3 R9.4 TB40.3 K10.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Shohei Ohtani 1.0 – 0.5 0.7 1.5 –
Will Smith 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.0 –
Mookie Betts 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Andy Pages 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Teoscar Hernandez 1.8 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
TOTAL 32.4 95.6 31.3 9.4 40.3 10.0
Pitching
PitcherK
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 6.5
Robbie Ray 3.5
HOU @ SEA
Box Score →
HOU
3.5
vs
SEA
8.6
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
HOU (Away)
H16.3 HR45.0 RBI17.2 R3.5 TB19.5 K3.7
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Daulton Varsho 2.7 5.6 4.6 – 2.8 –
Yordan Alvarez 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.4 –
Isaac Paredes 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.5 2.4 –
Yainer Diaz 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.4 2.2 –
Jose Altuve 1.9 5.6 1.8 0.4 2.4 –
TOTAL 16.3 45.0 17.2 3.5 19.5 3.7
Pitching
PitcherK
Ethan Pecko 3.7
SEA (Home)
H34.1 HR101.2 RBI34.6 R8.6 TB42.3 K8.2
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Daulton Varsho 2.7 5.6 4.6 – 2.8 –
Yordan Alvarez 2.0 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.4 –
J.P. Crawford 1.8 5.6 1.4 0.6 2.3 –
Randy Arozarena 1.6 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.3 –
Cal Raleigh 1.7 5.6 1.8 0.6 2.2 –
TOTAL 34.1 101.2 34.6 8.6 42.3 8.2
Pitching
PitcherK
George Kirby 4.5
Ethan Pecko 3.7
0 batters — 2026 Season
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🏆 Top Performers Sep 23
Plays: 💪 Strong Plays 🏆 Top Plays 📈 Trend Plays 📋 Prop Plays
About PlayTakers MLB

MLB research on PlayTakers is built around the starting-pitcher matchup and the batter props it creates — hits, total bases, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks and pitcher strikeouts. Projections update daily once lineups post, pitcher rankings highlight the best and worst matchups of the slate, and the bet log tracks every graded pick so you can see exactly how the model is performing over time.

MLB — Frequently Asked Questions
▸What MLB props does PlayTakers project?

MLB coverage includes batter hits, total bases, runs, RBIs, home runs, walks and stolen bases, plus pitcher strikeouts and outs. You can view all props by game on the MLB Projections page and compare lines across books.

▸How do starter matchups factor in?

MLB projections lean heavily on the starting pitcher: handedness, recent command and workload, plus park factors. Each batter's projection adjusts for that specific matchup before we compare to the sportsbook line.

▸Where can I see MLB pitcher rankings?

The Pitcher Rankings page groups starters by strikeout upside, run-prevention and recent form so you can quickly spot spots to attack or avoid. It updates daily alongside the MLB projections.

▸When are picks posted each day?

Picks are posted in the morning once the opening lines are up and refreshed through the afternoon as lineups, injuries and odds move. You can always find the latest picks on the Strong Plays and Top Plays pages, and recent graded picks show up on the home page.

▸How do you calculate edge on a player prop?

Edge compares our projection for a player's stat line to the sportsbook total on the same prop, then converts the gap to an implied percentage edge relative to the fair price. Projections blend recent form, season averages, matchup context and pace or game-script signals per sport.