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MLB Picks, Player Props, Projections & Edge Analysis

💪 Strong Plays 🏆 Top Plays 📈 Trend Plays 📋 Prop Plays
📊 MLB Projection Matchups
16 games with data Full Matchups →
TB @ NYY
Box Score →
TB
3.8
vs
NYY
4.1
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
TB (Away)
H7.6 HR1.1 RBI3.3 R3.8 TB10.5 K9.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Yandy Diaz 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4
Junior Caminero 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4
Jonathan Aranda 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.2
Victor Mesa Jr. 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.2
Chandler Simpson 1.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 1.2
TOTAL 7.6 1.1 3.3 3.8 10.5 9.0
Pitching
PitcherK
Drew Rasmussen 5.5
Nick Martinez 3.5
NYY (Home)
H7.7 HR1.5 RBI3.4 R4.1 TB11.1 K9.6
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Ben Rice 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4
Cody Bellinger 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.4
Luis Garcia Jr. 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4
Heliot Ramos 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3
Spencer Jones 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.3
TOTAL 7.7 1.5 3.4 4.1 11.1 9.6
Pitching
PitcherK
Max Fried 5.0
Carlos Rodon 4.6
TB @ NYY
Box Score →
TB
3.8
vs
NYY
4.1
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
TB (Away)
H7.6 HR1.1 RBI3.3 R3.8 TB10.5 K9.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Yandy Diaz 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4
Junior Caminero 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4
Jonathan Aranda 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.2
Victor Mesa Jr. 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.2
Chandler Simpson 1.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 1.2
TOTAL 7.6 1.1 3.3 3.8 10.5 9.0
Pitching
PitcherK
Drew Rasmussen 5.5
Nick Martinez 3.5
NYY (Home)
H7.7 HR1.5 RBI3.4 R4.1 TB11.1 K9.6
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Ben Rice 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4
Cody Bellinger 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.4
Luis Garcia Jr. 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4
Heliot Ramos 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3
Spencer Jones 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.3
TOTAL 7.7 1.5 3.4 4.1 11.1 9.6
Pitching
PitcherK
Max Fried 5.0
Carlos Rodon 4.6
WSH @ DET
Box Score →
WSH
4.0
vs
DET
5.3
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
WSH (Away)
H7.7 HR1.1 RBI3.4 R4.0 TB10.9 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
James Wood 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4
Daylen Lile 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.5
CJ Abrams 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4
Dylan Crews 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2
Brady House 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2
TOTAL 7.7 1.1 3.4 4.0 10.9 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Jackson Kent 3.5
DET (Home)
H9.0 HR1.1 RBI4.3 R5.3 TB11.3 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Gleyber Torres 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3
Kevin McGonigle 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.3
Riley Greene 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4
Hao-Yu Lee 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.4
Dillon Dingler 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.3
TOTAL 9.0 1.1 4.3 5.3 11.3 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Drew Anderson 4.5
STL @ PIT
Box Score →
STL
3.7
vs
PIT
4.5
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
STL (Away)
H7.7 HR1.1 RBI3.2 R3.7 TB10.7 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
JJ Wetherholt 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2
Ivan Herrera 1.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3
Alec Burleson 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.4
Leonardo Bernal 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.2
Jordan Walker 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.3
TOTAL 7.7 1.1 3.2 3.7 10.7 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Andre Pallante 3.5
PIT (Home)
H8.8 HR0.9 RBI3.7 R4.5 TB11.3 K5.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Konnor Griffin 1.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4
Brandon Lowe 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.3
Oneil Cruz 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.2
Bryan Reynolds 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3
Nick Gonzales 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3
TOTAL 8.8 0.9 3.7 4.5 11.3 5.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Jared Jones 5.5
MIL @ PHI
Box Score →
MIL
4.3
vs
PHI
4.3
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
MIL (Away)
H8.3 HR1.1 RBI3.6 R4.3 TB10.4 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Jackson Chourio 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.4
Jake Bauers 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.1
Brice Turang 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2
William Contreras 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3
Christian Yelich 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2
TOTAL 8.3 1.1 3.6 4.3 10.4 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Dustin May 3.5
PHI (Home)
H8.1 HR1.1 RBI3.5 R4.3 TB11.1 K6.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Kyle Schwarber 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.3
Trea Turner 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3
Bryce Harper 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3
Alec Bohm 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3
Luis Arraez 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4
TOTAL 8.1 1.1 3.5 4.3 11.1 6.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Zack Wheeler 6.5
CLE @ BOS
Box Score →
CLE
4.1
vs
BOS
3.9
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
CLE (Away)
H8.5 HR1.0 RBI3.5 R4.1 TB10.8 K5.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Jose Ramirez 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.4
Steven Kwan 1.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3
Jo Adell 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.4 1.3
Chase DeLauter 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.3
Angel Genao 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2
TOTAL 8.5 1.0 3.5 4.1 10.8 5.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Parker Messick 5.5
BOS (Home)
H7.6 HR1.1 RBI3.3 R3.9 TB10.8 K5.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Roman Anthony 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4
Willson Contreras 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3
Wilyer Abreu 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3
Jahmai Jones 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.2
Adley Rutschman 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2
TOTAL 7.6 1.1 3.3 3.9 10.8 5.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Payton Tolle 5.5
CIN @ ATL
Box Score →
CIN
4.4
vs
ATL
6.1
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
CIN (Away)
H8.0 HR1.4 RBI3.7 R4.4 TB11.3 K2.7
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Elly De La Cruz 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4
Sal Stewart 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4
JJ Bleday 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.2
Carlos Jorge 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3
Tyler Stephenson 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3
TOTAL 8.0 1.4 3.7 4.4 11.3 2.7
Pitching
PitcherK
Brandon Williamson 2.7
ATL (Home)
H10.2 HR1.7 RBI5.0 R6.1 TB14.4 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Ronald Acuna Jr. 1.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.8
Drake Baldwin 1.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.7
Matt Olson 1.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.6
Ozzie Albies 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 1.5
Austin Riley 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4
TOTAL 10.2 1.7 5.0 6.1 14.4 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
JR Ritchie 4.5
CWS @ KC
Box Score →
CWS
4.9
vs
KC
5.0
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
CWS (Away)
H8.8 HR1.0 RBI4.0 R4.9 TB10.3 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Miguel Vargas 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5
Chase Meidroth 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4
Tommy Pham 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4
Munetaka Murakami 0.7 0.4 0.5
Randal Grichuk 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4
TOTAL 8.8 1.0 4.0 4.9 10.3 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Anthony Kay 3.5
KC (Home)
H9.8 HR1.1 RBI4.2 R5.0 TB11.3 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.6
Carter Jensen 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.3
Jac Caglianone 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.4
Maikel Garcia 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4
Salvador Perez 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.4
TOTAL 9.8 1.1 4.2 5.0 11.3 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Daniel Lynch IV 3.5
MIA @ CHC
Box Score →
MIA
3.5
vs
CHC
4.4
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
MIA (Away)
H7.4 HR0.9 RBI3.1 R3.5 TB9.8 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Heriberto Hernandez 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.2
Otto Lopez 1.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.3
Javier Sanoja 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.3
Kyle Stowers 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.1
Agustín Ramírez 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.0
TOTAL 7.4 0.9 3.1 3.5 9.8 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Janson Junk 3.5
CHC (Home)
H8.3 HR1.0 RBI3.6 R4.4 TB11.4 K5.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Pete Crow-Armstrong 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.8
Seiya Suzuki 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4
Michael Busch 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.2
Ian Happ 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.2
Dansby Swanson 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.2
TOTAL 8.3 1.0 3.6 4.4 11.4 5.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Shota Imanaga 5.5
NYM @ TEX
Box Score →
NYM
4.7
vs
TEX
4.5
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
NYM (Away)
H8.8 HR1.3 RBI3.8 R4.7 TB11.1 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Francisco Lindor 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4
Juan Soto 1.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.4
Bo Bichette 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4
Mark Vientos 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3
Carson Benge 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3
TOTAL 8.8 1.3 3.8 4.7 11.1 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Sean Manaea 4.5
TEX (Home)
H8.1 HR1.6 RBI3.7 R4.5 TB11.7 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Corey Seager 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4
Jake Burger 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4
Justin Foscue 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4
Josh Jung 1.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.5
Wyatt Langford 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3
TOTAL 8.1 1.6 3.7 4.5 11.7 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
MacKenzie Gore 4.5
AZ @ COL
Box Score →
AZ
7.4
vs
COL
5.4
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
AZ (Away)
H12.8 HR1.6 RBI5.9 R7.4 TB17.7 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Ketel Marte 1.5 0.3 0.7 1.0 2.3
Ildemaro Vargas 1.4 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.9
Gabriel Moreno 1.5 0.2 0.6 0.8 2.0
Corbin Carroll 1.3 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.9
Geraldo Perdomo 1.4 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.8
TOTAL 12.8 1.6 5.9 7.4 17.7 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Michael Soroka 4.5
COL (Home)
H10.0 HR1.4 RBI4.5 R5.4 TB12.9 K2.7
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Jake McCarthy 1.3 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.8
Hunter Goodman 1.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.6
Connor Norby 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5
TJ Rumfield 1.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.5
Cole Carrigg 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4
TOTAL 10.0 1.4 4.5 5.4 12.9 2.7
Pitching
PitcherK
Kyle Freeland 2.7
LAA @ ATH
Box Score →
LAA
5.6
vs
ATH
5.0
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
LAA (Away)
H10.0 HR1.5 RBI4.7 R5.6 TB12.7 K5.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Zach Neto 1.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.8
Mike Trout 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.6
Jose Siri 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4
Vaughn Grissom 1.2 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.5
Denzer Guzman 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.5
TOTAL 10.0 1.5 4.7 5.6 12.7 5.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Yusei Kikuchi 5.5
ATH (Home)
H9.0 HR1.4 RBI4.0 R5.0 TB12.4 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Shea Langeliers 1.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.8
Henry Bolte 1.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.5
Zack Gelof 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.5
Lawrence Butler 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4
Jonah Heim 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4
TOTAL 9.0 1.4 4.0 5.0 12.4 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Brady Basso 3.5
HOU @ SEA
Box Score →
HOU
4.7
vs
SEA
4.5
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
HOU (Away)
H8.9 HR1.6 RBI4.1 R4.7 TB12.1 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Yordan Alvarez 1.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.5
Jeremy Pena 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3
Isaac Paredes 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.2
Eddy Alvarez 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.1
Jose Altuve 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2
TOTAL 8.9 1.6 4.1 4.7 12.1 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Cristian Javier 4.5
SEA (Home)
H7.3 HR1.6 RBI3.7 R4.5 TB10.9 K6.4
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Randy Arozarena 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.3
Cal Raleigh 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.3
J.P. Crawford 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2
Dominic Canzone 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4
Julio Rodriguez 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.3
TOTAL 7.3 1.6 3.7 4.5 10.9 6.4
Pitching
PitcherK
Logan Gilbert 6.4
MIN @ SF
Box Score →
MIN
5.4
vs
SF
2.8
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
MIN (Away)
H10.7 HR1.1 RBI4.5 R5.4 TB10.9 K6.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Luke Keaschall 1.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.5
Kody Clemens 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5
Walker Jenkins 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4
Ryan Jeffers 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4
Brooks Lee 1.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.4
TOTAL 10.7 1.1 4.5 5.4 10.9 6.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Taj Bradley 6.5
SF (Home)
H5.5 HR0.8 RBI2.2 R2.8 TB5.6 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Drew Gilbert 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2
Jonah Cox 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3
Brett Harris 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.1
Osleivis Basabe 0.8 0.3 0.4
Drew Cavanaugh 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.0
TOTAL 5.5 0.8 2.2 2.8 5.6 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Anthony Molina 3.5
SD @ LAD
Box Score →
SD
4.9
vs
LAD
4.6
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
SD (Away)
H9.0 HR1.4 RBI4.0 R4.9 TB12.9 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.7
Manny Machado 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4
Ty France 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.4
Austin Hays 1.0 0.4 0.5 1.3
Jackson Merrill 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.4
TOTAL 9.0 1.4 4.0 4.9 12.9 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Michael King 4.5
LAD (Home)
H8.0 HR1.4 RBI3.7 R4.6 TB11.4 K0.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Mookie Betts 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4
Freddie Freeman 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4
Will Smith 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.4
Max Muncy 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.3
Kyle Tucker 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.2
TOTAL 8.0 1.4 3.7 4.6 11.4
TOR @ BAL
Box Score →
TOR
4.5
vs
BAL
4.2
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
TOR (Away)
H9.3 HR1.0 RBI3.6 R4.5 TB11.1 K4.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4
Brett Bateman 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2
Nathan Lukes 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3
George Springer 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3
Kazuma Okamoto 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.2
TOTAL 9.3 1.0 3.6 4.5 11.1 4.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Max Scherzer 4.5
BAL (Home)
H7.6 HR1.5 RBI3.5 R4.2 TB11.2 K3.5
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Pete Alonso 1.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.4
Dylan Beavers 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.3
Gunnar Henderson 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.4
Coby Mayo 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3
Samuel Basallo 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2
TOTAL 7.6 1.5 3.5 4.2 11.2 3.5
Pitching
PitcherK
Chris Bassitt 3.5
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About PlayTakers MLB

MLB research on PlayTakers is built around the starting-pitcher matchup and the batter props it creates — hits, total bases, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks and pitcher strikeouts. Projections update daily once lineups post, pitcher rankings highlight the best and worst matchups of the slate, and the bet log tracks every graded pick so you can see exactly how the model is performing over time.

MLB — Frequently Asked Questions
What MLB props does PlayTakers project?

MLB coverage includes batter hits, total bases, runs, RBIs, home runs, walks and stolen bases, plus pitcher strikeouts and outs. You can view all props by game on the MLB Projections page and compare lines across books.

How do starter matchups factor in?

MLB projections lean heavily on the starting pitcher: handedness, recent command and workload, plus park factors. Each batter's projection adjusts for that specific matchup before we compare to the sportsbook line.

Where can I see MLB pitcher rankings?

The Pitcher Rankings page groups starters by strikeout upside, run-prevention and recent form so you can quickly spot spots to attack or avoid. It updates daily alongside the MLB projections.

When are picks posted each day?

Picks are posted in the morning once the opening lines are up and refreshed through the afternoon as lineups, injuries and odds move. You can always find the latest picks on the Strong Plays and Top Plays pages, and recent graded picks show up on the home page.

How do you calculate edge on a player prop?

Edge compares our projection for a player's stat line to the sportsbook total on the same prop, then converts the gap to an implied percentage edge relative to the fair price. Projections blend recent form, season averages, matchup context and pace or game-script signals per sport.