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MLB Picks, Player Props, Projections & Edge Analysis

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📊 MLB Projection Matchups
5 games with data Full Matchups →
ATL @ HOU
Box Score →
ATL SP
Tyler Mahle (R)
Replacement · ERA 3.81
HOU SP
Peter Lambert (R)
ERA 3.70
ATL (Away)
H1.5 HR0.1 RBI0.0 R0.0 TB1.6 K0.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Elieser Hernández 1.5 0.1 1.6
TOTAL 1.5 0.1 1.6
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAA
Tyler Mahle (R) Replacement 6.10 1.57 9.4 5.1 0.294
HOU (Home)
No data
MIN @ LAA
Box Score →
MIN SP
Connor Prielipp (L)
ERA 4.94
LAA SP
Grayson Rodriguez (R)
ERA 5.96
MIN (Away)
No data
LAA (Home)
H0.3 HR0.1 RBI0.1 R0.2 TB0.5 K0.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Denzer Guzman 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5
Travis d'Arnaud 0.0
TOTAL 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAA
Grayson Rodriguez (R) 5.96
MIA @ SD
Box Score →
MIA SP
Tyler Phillips (R)
ERA 3.45
SD SP
Nick Pivetta (R)
Weak · ERA 3.30
MIA
0.6
vs
SD
1.4
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
MIA (Away)
H3.1 HR0.2 RBI0.5 R0.6 TB5.1 K0.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Otto Lopez 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9
Griffin Conine 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5
Jakob Marsee 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8
Javier Sanoja 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.5
Xavier Edwards 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
TOTAL 3.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 5.1
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAA
Tyler Phillips (R) 3.45
SD (Home)
H2.0 HR0.2 RBI0.2 R1.4 TB3.9 K0.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Xander Bogaerts 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5
Jake Cronenworth 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.8
Jackson Merrill 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6
TOTAL 2.0 0.2 0.2 1.4 3.9
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAA
Nick Pivetta (R) Weak 4.50 1.13 13.5 4.0 0.200
NYY @ AZ
Box Score →
NYY SP
Gerrit Cole (R)
ERA 3.63
AZ SP
Eduardo Rodriguez (L)
Average · ERA 2.89
NYY
0.0
vs
AZ
0.0
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
NYY (Away)
H0.0 HR0.7 RBI0.0 R0.0 TB0.0 K0.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Anthony Volpe 0.1
Austin Wells 0.1
Ben Rice 0.4
Cody Bellinger 0.1
Heliot Ramos 0.1
TOTAL 0.7
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAA
Gerrit Cole (R) 3.63
AZ (Home)
H0.0 HR0.6 RBI0.0 R0.0 TB0.0 K0.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Corbin Carroll 0.4
Gabriel Moreno 0.0
Geraldo Perdomo 0.0
Ketel Marte 0.1
Lars Nootbaar 0.1
TOTAL 0.6
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAA
Eduardo Rodriguez (L) Average 2.89 1.23 6.9 5.9 0.236
SF @ LAD
Box Score →
SF SP
Cesar Perdomo (L)
ERA 3.72
LAD SP
Tyler Glasnow (R)
Ace · ERA 3.51
SF
1.1
vs
LAD
3.3
Projected Runs — sum of player prop lines
SF (Away)
H4.1 HR0.7 RBI1.1 R1.1 TB8.5 K0.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Jung Hoo Lee 0.9 0.3 4.5
Scott Bandura 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9
Brett Harris 0.3 0.1 0.6
Turner Hill 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.5
Drew Gilbert 0.3 0.1
TOTAL 4.1 0.7 1.1 1.1 8.5
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAA
Cesar Perdomo (L) 3.72
LAD (Home)
H9.6 HR1.0 RBI3.0 R3.3 TB13.8 K0.0
PlayerHHRRBIRTBK
Mookie Betts 2.5 0.5 0.9 1.1 5.5
Josue De Paula 1.4 0.1 0.2 1.0 1.4
Alex Call 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.7
Enrique Hernandez 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.8
Kyle Tucker 1.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.5
TOTAL 9.6 1.0 3.0 3.3 13.8
Starting Pitcher
PitcherERAWHIPK/9IP/GSBAA
Tyler Glasnow (R) Ace 2.72 0.83 11.1 5.6 0.149
🏆 Top Performers Sep 18
Plays: 💪 Strong Plays 🏆 Top Plays 📈 Trend Plays 📋 Prop Plays
About PlayTakers MLB

MLB research on PlayTakers is built around the starting-pitcher matchup and the batter props it creates — hits, total bases, home runs, RBIs, runs, walks and pitcher strikeouts. Projections update daily once lineups post, pitcher rankings highlight the best and worst matchups of the slate, and the bet log tracks every graded pick so you can see exactly how the model is performing over time.

MLB — Frequently Asked Questions
What MLB props does PlayTakers project?

MLB coverage includes batter hits, total bases, runs, RBIs, home runs, walks and stolen bases, plus pitcher strikeouts and outs. You can view all props by game on the MLB Projections page and compare lines across books.

How do starter matchups factor in?

MLB projections lean heavily on the starting pitcher: handedness, recent command and workload, plus park factors. Each batter's projection adjusts for that specific matchup before we compare to the sportsbook line.

Where can I see MLB pitcher rankings?

The Pitcher Rankings page groups starters by strikeout upside, run-prevention and recent form so you can quickly spot spots to attack or avoid. It updates daily alongside the MLB projections.

When are picks posted each day?

Picks are posted in the morning once the opening lines are up and refreshed through the afternoon as lineups, injuries and odds move. You can always find the latest picks on the Strong Plays and Top Plays pages, and recent graded picks show up on the home page.

How do you calculate edge on a player prop?

Edge compares our projection for a player's stat line to the sportsbook total on the same prop, then converts the gap to an implied percentage edge relative to the fair price. Projections blend recent form, season averages, matchup context and pace or game-script signals per sport.