Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLB | Jackson Chourio 10 games | MIL vs PHI@MIL | TB | 1.5 | +140 | 4.6 | +3.1 | 4/5 | +1.5 | 84 | B | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2 | MLB | Royce Lewis 10 games | MIN vs STL@MIN | TB | 1.5 | +140 | 4 | +2.5 | 5/5 | +2 | 83 | B | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 3 | MLB | Blaze Jordan 2 games | STL vs STL@MIN | TB | 1.5 | +150 | 4.5 | +3 | 2/2 | +0 | 82 | B | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 4 | MLB | Alejandro Kirk 1 games | TOR vs NYY@TOR | TB | 1.5 | +145 | 4 | +2.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 77 | B | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 5 | MLB | Bryce Eldridge 10 games | SF vs CHC@SFG | TB | 1.5 | +147 | 4 | +2.5 | 4/5 | +1 | 76 | B | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 6 | MLB | Byron Buxton 10 games | MIN vs STL@MIN | TB | 1.5 | -105 | 4.4 | +2.9 | 4/5 | +1.4 | 75 | B | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 7 | MLB | Jackson Chourio 10 games | MIL vs PHI@MIL | RBI | 0.5 | +270 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +0.7 | 74 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 8 | MLB | Alec Burleson 10 games | STL vs STL@MIN | TB | 1.5 | +100 | 3.8 | +2.3 | 4/5 | -0.3 | 73 | C | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 9 | MLB | Pete Alonso 10 games | BAL vs SDP@BAL | TB | 1.5 | +103 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 3/5 | +1.5 | 73 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 10 | MLB | Alejandro Kirk 1 games | TOR vs NYY@TOR | H | 1.5 | +260 | 3 | +1.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 71 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 11 | MLB | Alejandro Kirk 1 games | TOR vs NYY@TOR | RBI | 0.5 | +197 | 2 | +1.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 71 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 12 | MLB | Blaze Jordan 2 games | STL vs STL@MIN | RBI | 0.5 | +202 | 2 | +1.5 | 2/2 | +0 | 71 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 13 | MLB | Jordan Lawlar 1 games | AZ vs ARI@CIN | RBI | 0.5 | +195 | 2 | +1.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 71 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 14 | MLB | Shohei Ohtani 10 games | LAD vs LAD@CHW | TB | 1.5 | -120 | 3.4 | +1.9 | 5/5 | +0.9 | 71 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 15 | MLB | Byron Buxton 10 games | MIN vs STL@MIN | TB | 2.5 | +170 | 4.4 | +1.9 | 4/5 | +1.4 | 70 | C | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 16 | MLB | Christian Walker 10 games | HOU vs HOU@KCR | TB | 1.5 | +135 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +1.2 | 70 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 17 | MLB | Garrett Mitchell 10 games | MIL vs PHI@MIL | H | 0.5 | +115 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0.8 | 70 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 18 | MLB | Garrett Mitchell 10 games | MIL vs PHI@MIL | TB | 1.5 | +325 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 3/5 | +1.5 | 70 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 19 | MLB | Manny Machado 10 games | SD vs SDP@BAL | TB | 1.5 | +107 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +1.4 | 70 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 20 | MLB | Michael Busch 10 games | CHC vs CHC@SFG | TB | 1.5 | +150 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 70 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 21 | MLB | TJ Rumfield 10 games | COL vs COL@Athlet | TB | 1.5 | +100 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0.9 | 70 | C | 7.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 22 | MLB | Zack Gelof 10 games | ATH vs COL@Athlet | TB | 1.5 | -115 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 70 | C | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 23 | MLB | Liam Hicks 10 games | MIA vs MIA@PIT | H | 0.5 | -135 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.7 | 69 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 24 | MLB | Alejandro Kirk 1 games | TOR vs NYY@TOR | H | 0.5 | -200 | 3 | +2.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 68 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 25 | MLB | Casey Mize 6 games | DET vs DET@CLE | K | 2.5 | -500 | 4.8 | +2.3 | 5/5 | -0.5 | 68 | C | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 26 | MLB | Alec Burleson 10 games | STL vs STL@MIN | TB | 2.5 | +200 | 3.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | -0.3 | 67 | C | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 27 | MLB | Bo Bichette 10 games | NYM vs ATL@NYM | TB | 1.5 | +120 | 3 | +1.5 | 3/5 | +2.2 | 67 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 28 | MLB | Ceddanne Rafaela 10 games | BOS vs TEX@BOS | RBI | 0.5 | +196 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +1.8 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 29 | MLB | Ceddanne Rafaela 10 games | BOS vs TEX@BOS | TB | 1.5 | +120 | 3 | +1.5 | 3/5 | +2.3 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 30 | MLB | Dillon Dingler 10 games | DET vs DET@CLE | TB | 1.5 | +130 | 4 | +2.5 | 3/5 | +0.1 | 67 | C | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 31 | MLB | Gavin Sheets 10 games | SD vs SDP@BAL | TB | 1.5 | +160 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +1.5 | 67 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 32 | MLB | Ivan Herrera 10 games | STL vs STL@MIN | R | 0.5 | +100 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 33 | MLB | Jordan Walker 10 games | STL vs STL@MIN | RBI | 0.5 | +150 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 34 | MLB | Juan Soto 10 games | NYM vs ATL@NYM | TB | 1.5 | +100 | 3 | +1.5 | 3/5 | +3 | 67 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 35 | MLB | Luis Arraez 10 games | SF vs CHC@SFG | TB | 1.5 | +118 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +0.1 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 36 | MLB | Noelvi Marte 7 games | CIN vs ARI@CIN | TB | 1.5 | +147 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +1.7 | 67 | C | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 37 | MLB | Paul Goldschmidt 10 games | NYY vs NYY@TOR | TB | 1.5 | +100 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | -0.2 | 67 | C | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 38 | MLB | Pete Crow-Armstrong 10 games | CHC vs CHC@SFG | TB | 1.5 | +117 | 3 | +1.5 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 67 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 39 | MLB | Samad Taylor 7 games | SD vs SDP@BAL | RBI | 0.5 | +233 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 40 | MLB | Yordan Alvarez 10 games | HOU vs HOU@KCR | TB | 1.5 | -107 | 3 | +1.5 | 3/5 | +1.6 | 66 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 41 | MLB | Alec Burleson 10 games | STL vs STL@MIN | R | 0.5 | +100 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 5/5 | +0.1 | 65 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 42 | MLB | Alejandro Kirk 1 games | TOR vs NYY@TOR | R | 0.5 | +140 | 1 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 43 | MLB | Alejandro Kirk 1 games | TOR vs NYY@TOR | RBI | 1.5 | +700 | 2 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 44 | MLB | Blaze Jordan 2 games | STL vs STL@MIN | H | 1.5 | +280 | 2 | +0.5 | 2/2 | +0 | 65 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 45 | MLB | Christian Yelich 10 games | MIL vs PHI@MIL | R | 0.5 | +160 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 5/5 | -0.1 | 65 | C | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 46 | MLB | Connelly Early 10 games | BOS vs TEX@BOS | K | 4.5 | -300 | 6 | +1.5 | 5/5 | +0.9 | 65 | C | 3.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 47 | MLB | Jackson Chourio 10 games | MIL vs PHI@MIL | H | 0.5 | -220 | 2.2 | +1.7 | 5/5 | +0.5 | 65 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 48 | MLB | Jordan Lawlar 1 games | AZ vs ARI@CIN | H | 1.5 | +340 | 2 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 49 | MLB | Jordan Lawlar 1 games | AZ vs ARI@CIN | R | 0.5 | +140 | 1 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 50 | MLB | Jordan Lawlar 1 games | AZ vs ARI@CIN | RBI | 1.5 | +550 | 2 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.