Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLB | Pete Crow-Armstrong 10 games | CHC vs COL@CHC | TB | 1.5 | -105 | 4.8 | +3.3 | 5/5 | +2.4 | 87 | A | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2 | MLB | Reid Detmers 10 games | LAA vs LAA@ARI | K | 5.5 | +128 | 8.8 | +3.3 | 5/5 | +0.2 | 82 | B | 3.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 3 | MLB | Jackson Chourio 10 games | MIL vs CLE@MIL | TB | 1.5 | +103 | 5 | +3.5 | 4/5 | +1.1 | 81 | B | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 4 | MLB | Bo Bichette 10 games | NYM vs NYM@CIN | TB | 1.5 | +106 | 4.4 | +2.9 | 5/5 | +0.2 | 77 | B | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 5 | MLB | Reid Detmers 10 games | LAA vs LAA@ARI | K | 4.5 | -157 | 8.8 | +4.3 | 5/5 | +0.2 | 77 | B | 3.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 6 | MLB | Jackson Chourio 10 games | MIL vs CLE@MIL | TB | 2.5 | +200 | 5 | +2.5 | 4/5 | +1.1 | 76 | B | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 7 | MLB | Byron Buxton 10 games | MIN vs MIN@TEX | TB | 1.5 | -105 | 4.2 | +2.7 | 4/5 | +0.8 | 75 | B | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 8 | MLB | Jackson Chourio 10 games | MIL vs CLE@MIL | RBI | 0.5 | +170 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +0.6 | 74 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 9 | MLB | James Wood 10 games | WSH vs KCR@WSN | TB | 1.5 | +110 | 3.8 | +2.3 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 73 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 10 | MLB | Kazuma Okamoto 10 games | TOR vs TOR@BOS | TB | 1.5 | +135 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +1.7 | 73 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 11 | MLB | Pete Crow-Armstrong 10 games | CHC vs COL@CHC | TB | 2.5 | +140 | 4.8 | +2.3 | 3/5 | +2.4 | 73 | C | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 12 | MLB | Reid Detmers 10 games | LAA vs LAA@ARI | K | 6.5 | +240 | 8.8 | +2.3 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 73 | C | 3.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 13 | MLB | TJ Rumfield 10 games | COL vs COL@CHC | TB | 1.5 | +136 | 3.2 | +1.7 | 4/5 | +1.6 | 73 | C | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 14 | MLB | Willson Contreras 10 games | BOS vs TOR@BOS | TB | 1.5 | +160 | 3.8 | +2.3 | 3/5 | +2.7 | 73 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 15 | MLB | Adrian Houser 9 games | SF vs SFG@ATL | K | 2.5 | -260 | 4.6 | +2.1 | 5/5 | +1.4 | 71 | C | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 16 | MLB | Adrian Houser 9 games | SF vs SFG@ATL | K | 3.5 | +108 | 4.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +1.4 | 70 | C | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 17 | MLB | Byron Buxton 10 games | MIN vs MIN@TEX | TB | 2.5 | +160 | 4.2 | +1.7 | 4/5 | +0.8 | 70 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 18 | MLB | JJ Bleday 10 games | CIN vs NYM@CIN | TB | 1.5 | +125 | 3 | +1.5 | 4/5 | +1 | 70 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 19 | MLB | Noelvi Marte 9 games | CIN vs NYM@CIN | TB | 1.5 | +160 | 3 | +1.5 | 4/5 | +0.7 | 70 | C | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 20 | MLB | Pete Alonso 10 games | BAL vs BAL@SEA | TB | 1.5 | +130 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 3/5 | +0.6 | 70 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 21 | MLB | Nick Kurtz 10 games | ATH vs PIT@Athlet | TB | 1.5 | -110 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 3/5 | +0.5 | 69 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 22 | MLB | Dylan Crews 10 games | WSH vs KCR@WSN | RBI | 0.5 | +180 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 5/5 | +0.8 | 68 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 23 | MLB | Bo Bichette 10 games | NYM vs NYM@CIN | TB | 2.5 | +230 | 4.4 | +1.9 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 67 | C | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 24 | MLB | Bryce Eldridge 10 games | SF vs SFG@ATL | TB | 1.5 | +140 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 3/5 | +-0 | 67 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 25 | MLB | Donovan Walton 10 games | LAA vs LAA@ARI | TB | 1.5 | +185 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +2.5 | 67 | C | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 26 | MLB | Drew Rasmussen 10 games | TB vs TBR@LAD | K | 5.5 | +112 | 6.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +2.7 | 67 | C | 7.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 27 | MLB | Willi Castro 10 games | COL vs COL@CHC | TB | 1.5 | +140 | 3 | +1.5 | 3/5 | +1.7 | 67 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 28 | MLB | James Wood 10 games | WSH vs KCR@WSN | R | 0.5 | -125 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.2 | 66 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 29 | MLB | Andre Pallante 9 games | STL vs SDP@STL | K | 2.5 | -450 | 4.6 | +2.1 | 5/5 | -0.7 | 65 | C | 6.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 30 | MLB | Bo Bichette 10 games | NYM vs NYM@CIN | H | 0.5 | -350 | 2 | +1.5 | 5/5 | +0.8 | 65 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 31 | MLB | Dylan Crews 10 games | WSH vs KCR@WSN | R | 0.5 | +130 | 1 | +0.5 | 5/5 | +0.3 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 32 | MLB | Pete Alonso 10 games | BAL vs BAL@SEA | H | 0.5 | -185 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.6 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 33 | MLB | Pete Crow-Armstrong 10 games | CHC vs COL@CHC | H | 0.5 | -350 | 2.4 | +1.9 | 5/5 | +1.1 | 65 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 34 | MLB | Yordan Alvarez 10 games | HOU vs DET@HOU | H | 0.5 | -250 | 2 | +1.5 | 5/5 | +0.5 | 65 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 35 | MLB | Zack Gelof 10 games | ATH vs PIT@Athlet | R | 0.5 | +110 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 5/5 | +0.3 | 65 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 36 | MLB | Alec Burleson 10 games | STL vs SDP@STL | TB | 1.5 | +125 | 3 | +1.5 | 4/5 | -1 | 64 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 37 | MLB | Bo Bichette 10 games | NYM vs NYM@CIN | H | 1.5 | +171 | 2 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.8 | 64 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 38 | MLB | Ceddanne Rafaela 10 games | BOS vs TOR@BOS | RBI | 0.5 | +247 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +0.8 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 39 | MLB | Ceddanne Rafaela 10 games | BOS vs TOR@BOS | TB | 1.5 | +155 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +1.1 | 64 | D | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 40 | MLB | Christian Yelich 10 games | MIL vs CLE@MIL | R | 0.5 | -110 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 5/5 | -0.1 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 41 | MLB | Cole Carrigg 7 games | COL vs COL@CHC | TB | 1.5 | +175 | 3 | +1.5 | 4/5 | -0.6 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 42 | MLB | Drew Rasmussen 10 games | TB vs TBR@LAD | K | 4.5 | -215 | 6.8 | +2.3 | 3/5 | +2.7 | 64 | D | 7.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 43 | MLB | Juan Soto 10 games | NYM vs NYM@CIN | TB | 1.5 | -120 | 3.2 | +1.7 | 4/5 | +-0 | 64 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 44 | MLB | Kazuma Okamoto 10 games | TOR vs TOR@BOS | RBI | 0.5 | +171 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 45 | MLB | Lawrence Butler 10 games | ATH vs PIT@Athlet | R | 0.5 | +100 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 46 | MLB | Mike Trout 10 games | LAA vs LAA@ARI | TB | 1.5 | +120 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +1.3 | 64 | D | 6.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 47 | MLB | Nick Kurtz 10 games | ATH vs PIT@Athlet | RBI | 0.5 | +125 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +0.9 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 48 | MLB | Paul Goldschmidt 10 games | NYY vs CHW@NYY | TB | 1.5 | +160 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 64 | D | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 49 | MLB | Pete Crow-Armstrong 10 games | CHC vs COL@CHC | H | 1.5 | +180 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +1.1 | 64 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 50 | MLB | Blaze Alexander 10 games | BAL vs BAL@SEA | H | 0.5 | -140 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 63 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.