Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 | MLB | Josh Smith 10 games | TEX vs SDP@TEX | H | 0.5 | -139 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | -0.2 | 54 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 152 | MLB | Matt Shaw 10 games | CHC vs TOR@CHC | TB | 1.5 | +200 | 2 | +0.5 | 2/5 | +2 | 54 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 153 | MLB | Nathan Lukes 10 games | TOR vs TOR@CHC | H | 0.5 | -139 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 54 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 154 | MLB | Willi Castro 10 games | COL vs PIT@COL | RBI | 0.5 | +162 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 2/5 | -0.2 | 54 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 155 | MLB | Yordan Alvarez 10 games | HOU vs CLE@HOU | TB | 1.5 | -105 | 2 | +0.5 | 3/5 | -0.3 | 54 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 156 | MLB | Zach Neto 10 games | LAA vs LAA@Athlet | TB | 1.5 | +105 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 2/5 | +2.1 | 54 | F | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 157 | MLB | Austin Riley 10 games | ATL vs MIL@ATL | H | 0.5 | -120 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.4 | 52 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 158 | MLB | Bobby Witt Jr. 10 games | KC vs STL@KCR | H | 1.5 | +160 | 1.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +0.5 | 52 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 159 | MLB | Bobby Witt Jr. 10 games | KC vs STL@KCR | RBI | 0.5 | +145 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.8 | 52 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 160 | MLB | Brooks Lee 10 games | MIN vs MIN@ARI | H | 0.5 | -180 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 161 | MLB | Bryce Miller 6 games | SEA vs BOS@SEA | K | 6.5 | +240 | 6.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +1.3 | 52 | F | 7.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 162 | MLB | Casey Schmitt 10 games | SF vs SFG@MIA | TB | 1.5 | +145 | 1.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +1.2 | 52 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 163 | MLB | Ceddanne Rafaela 10 games | BOS vs BOS@SEA | H | 0.5 | -180 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0 | 52 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 164 | MLB | CJ Abrams 10 games | WSH vs WSN@TBR | H | 0.5 | -180 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | -0.3 | 52 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 165 | MLB | Colson Montgomery 10 games | CWS vs CHW@DET | HR | 0.5 | +500 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.5 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 166 | MLB | Connor Prielipp 10 games | MIN vs MIN@ARI | K | 2.5 | -525 | 4.4 | +1.9 | 3/5 | +0.2 | 52 | F | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 167 | MLB | Corbin Carroll 10 games | AZ vs MIN@ARI | H | 0.5 | -225 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.1 | 52 | F | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 168 | MLB | Denzer Guzman 9 games | LAA vs LAA@Athlet | H | 0.5 | -173 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0 | 52 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 169 | MLB | Drake Baldwin 10 games | ATL vs MIL@ATL | H | 0.5 | -160 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 170 | MLB | Drake Baldwin 10 games | ATL vs MIL@ATL | RBI | 0.5 | +230 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | -0.6 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 171 | MLB | Fernando Tatis Jr. 10 games | SD vs SDP@TEX | H | 0.5 | -220 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | -0.2 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 172 | MLB | Freddie Freeman 10 games | LAD vs BAL@LAD | H | 0.5 | -250 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 173 | MLB | Geraldo Perdomo 10 games | AZ vs MIN@ARI | H | 0.5 | -234 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 174 | MLB | Henry Bolte 10 games | ATH vs LAA@Athlet | H | 0.5 | -180 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | -0.4 | 52 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 175 | MLB | Hunter Goodman 10 games | COL vs PIT@COL | H | 0.5 | -235 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | -0.2 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 176 | MLB | Ildemaro Vargas 10 games | AZ vs MIN@ARI | R | 0.5 | +155 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.6 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 177 | MLB | Isaac Collins 10 games | KC vs STL@KCR | R | 0.5 | +145 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.5 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 178 | MLB | Isaac Collins 10 games | KC vs STL@KCR | RBI | 0.5 | +230 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.8 | 52 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 179 | MLB | Isaac Paredes 10 games | HOU vs CLE@HOU | TB | 1.5 | +165 | 1.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +1.4 | 52 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 180 | MLB | Jackson Chourio 10 games | MIL vs MIL@ATL | RBI | 0.5 | +157 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 3/5 | -0.5 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 181 | MLB | Jackson Merrill 10 games | SD vs SDP@TEX | H | 0.5 | -165 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +0.1 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 182 | MLB | JJ Wetherholt 10 games | STL vs STL@KCR | H | 1.5 | +195 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.8 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 183 | MLB | JJ Wetherholt 10 games | STL vs STL@KCR | TB | 2.5 | +200 | 2.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +0.8 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 184 | MLB | Jose Caballero 10 games | NYY vs CIN@NYY | H | 0.5 | -158 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.3 | 52 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 185 | MLB | Junior Caminero 10 games | TB vs WSN@TBR | H | 0.5 | -210 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 52 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 186 | MLB | Kameron Misner 5 games | KC vs STL@KCR | H | 0.5 | -160 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | -0.2 | 52 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 187 | MLB | Kevin McGonigle 10 games | DET vs CHW@DET | H | 0.5 | -235 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 52 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 188 | MLB | Kody Clemens 10 games | MIN vs MIN@ARI | H | 0.5 | -190 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 52 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 189 | MLB | Kyle Karros 10 games | COL vs PIT@COL | H | 1.5 | +360 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.7 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 190 | MLB | Lane Thomas 10 games | KC vs STL@KCR | H | 0.5 | -180 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 52 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 191 | MLB | Lane Thomas 10 games | KC vs STL@KCR | R | 0.5 | +130 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.6 | 52 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 192 | MLB | Lane Thomas 10 games | KC vs STL@KCR | RBI | 0.5 | +213 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.7 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 193 | MLB | Logan O'Hoppe 10 games | LAA vs LAA@Athlet | H | 0.5 | -165 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 52 | F | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 194 | MLB | Luke Keaschall 10 games | MIN vs MIN@ARI | H | 0.5 | -152 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.3 | 52 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 195 | MLB | Matt Shaw 10 games | CHC vs TOR@CHC | R | 0.5 | +190 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +0.7 | 52 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 196 | MLB | Mookie Betts 10 games | LAD vs BAL@LAD | H | 0.5 | -210 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | -0.4 | 52 | F | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 197 | MLB | Mookie Betts 10 games | LAD vs BAL@LAD | TB | 1.5 | +130 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | -0.6 | 52 | F | 7.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 198 | MLB | Nathan Church 10 games | STL vs STL@KCR | H | 0.5 | -158 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | -0.3 | 52 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 199 | MLB | Roki Sasaki 8 games | LAD vs BAL@LAD | K | 6.5 | +128 | 6.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +1.1 | 52 | F | 6.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 200 | MLB | Samuel Basallo 10 games | BAL vs BAL@LAD | H | 0.5 | -160 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.