Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLB | Dillon Dingler 10 games | DET vs KCR@DET | TB | 1.5 | +115 | 3.8 | +2.3 | 3/5 | +3.5 | 76 | B | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2 | MLB | Fernando Tatis Jr. 10 games | SD vs SDP@ATL | TB | 1.5 | +140 | 3.8 | +2.3 | 4/5 | +0.9 | 76 | B | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 3 | MLB | Troy Melton 9 games | DET vs KCR@DET | K | 5.5 | -105 | 7.2 | +1.7 | 4/5 | +2.8 | 72 | C | 5.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 4 | MLB | Taj Bradley 10 games | MIN vs MIN@CLE | K | 5.5 | -155 | 8 | +2.5 | 5/5 | +0.8 | 71 | C | 5.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 5 | MLB | Fernando Tatis Jr. 10 games | SD vs SDP@ATL | RBI | 0.5 | +252 | 2 | +1.5 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 70 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 6 | MLB | Ian Seymour 10 games | TB vs TBR@TOR | K | 4.5 | -115 | 6.8 | +2.3 | 3/5 | +1.5 | 70 | C | 7.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 7 | MLB | Jackson Merrill 10 games | SD vs SDP@ATL | TB | 1.5 | +175 | 4 | +2.5 | 3/5 | +1 | 70 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 8 | MLB | Ty France 10 games | SD vs SDP@ATL | TB | 1.5 | +155 | 4 | +2.5 | 4/5 | -0.7 | 70 | C | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 9 | MLB | Victor Mesa Jr. 10 games | TB vs TBR@TOR | TB | 1.5 | +142 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 70 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 10 | MLB | Corbin Carroll 10 games | AZ vs ARI@STL | TB | 1.5 | +113 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +1.8 | 67 | C | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 11 | MLB | Michael Harris II 10 games | ATL vs SDP@ATL | TB | 1.5 | +105 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +0.1 | 67 | C | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 12 | MLB | Nolan Arenado 10 games | AZ vs ARI@STL | TB | 1.5 | +155 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 67 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 13 | MLB | Chase DeLauter 10 games | CLE vs MIN@CLE | H | 0.5 | -200 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +0.8 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 14 | MLB | Ildemaro Vargas 10 games | AZ vs ARI@STL | H | 0.5 | -180 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.7 | 65 | C | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 15 | MLB | Ketel Marte 10 games | AZ vs ARI@STL | R | 0.5 | -105 | 1 | +0.5 | 5/5 | +0.4 | 64 | D | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 16 | MLB | Ketel Marte 10 games | AZ vs ARI@STL | RBI | 0.5 | +181 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 64 | D | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 17 | MLB | Salvador Perez 10 games | KC vs KCR@DET | TB | 1.5 | +165 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +1 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 18 | MLB | Taj Bradley 10 games | MIN vs MIN@CLE | K | 6.5 | +120 | 8 | +1.5 | 3/5 | +0.8 | 64 | D | 5.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 19 | MLB | Chandler Simpson 10 games | TB vs TBR@TOR | H | 0.5 | -242 | 2 | +1.5 | 5/5 | +0.4 | 62 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 20 | MLB | Gavin Williams 9 games | CLE vs MIN@CLE | K | 6.5 | -125 | 8.4 | +1.9 | 3/5 | +2.6 | 62 | D | 11.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 21 | MLB | Brewer Hicklen 5 games | ATL vs SDP@ATL | TB | 1.5 | +185 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | -0.2 | 61 | D | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 22 | MLB | Dillon Dingler 10 games | DET vs KCR@DET | H | 0.5 | -235 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +1.2 | 61 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 23 | MLB | Fernando Tatis Jr. 10 games | SD vs SDP@ATL | R | 0.5 | +135 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 24 | MLB | Nolan Arenado 10 games | AZ vs ARI@STL | RBI | 0.5 | +241 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | -0.2 | 61 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 25 | MLB | Steven Kwan 10 games | CLE vs MIN@CLE | TB | 1.5 | +150 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +-0 | 61 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 26 | MLB | Victor Mesa Jr. 10 games | TB vs TBR@TOR | RBI | 0.5 | +192 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 27 | MLB | Vinnie Pasquantino 10 games | KC vs KCR@DET | R | 0.5 | +145 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.1 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 28 | MLB | Manny Machado 10 games | SD vs SDP@ATL | TB | 1.5 | +150 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 2/5 | +1.9 | 60 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 29 | MLB | Petey Halpin 10 games | CLE vs MIN@CLE | TB | 1.5 | +210 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 2/5 | +2.1 | 60 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 30 | MLB | Brooks Lee 10 games | MIN vs MIN@CLE | H | 0.5 | -155 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 5/5 | +0.6 | 59 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 31 | MLB | Petey Halpin 10 games | CLE vs MIN@CLE | H | 0.5 | -130 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 59 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 32 | MLB | Ryan Waldschmidt 10 games | AZ vs ARI@STL | H | 0.5 | -130 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 59 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 33 | MLB | Brayan Rocchio 10 games | CLE vs MIN@CLE | TB | 1.5 | +155 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | +0.5 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 34 | MLB | Dillon Dingler 10 games | DET vs KCR@DET | R | 0.5 | +110 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.7 | 58 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 35 | MLB | Ildemaro Vargas 10 games | AZ vs ARI@STL | R | 0.5 | +200 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.7 | 58 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 36 | MLB | Ildemaro Vargas 10 games | AZ vs ARI@STL | TB | 1.5 | +175 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 3/5 | +0.6 | 58 | D | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 37 | MLB | Ketel Marte 10 games | AZ vs ARI@STL | TB | 1.5 | +110 | 2 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +1.1 | 58 | D | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 38 | MLB | Luis Rengifo 10 games | SD vs SDP@ATL | TB | 1.5 | +170 | 2 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.8 | 58 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 39 | MLB | Michael McGreevy 9 games | STL vs ARI@STL | K | 3.5 | +142 | 4 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.9 | 58 | D | 3.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 40 | MLB | Patrick Bailey 10 games | CLE vs MIN@CLE | H | 0.5 | -116 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 58 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 41 | MLB | Riley Greene 10 games | DET vs KCR@DET | RBI | 0.5 | +125 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.5 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 42 | MLB | Riley Greene 10 games | DET vs KCR@DET | TB | 1.5 | +110 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | +0.7 | 58 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 43 | MLB | Salvador Perez 10 games | KC vs KCR@DET | R | 0.5 | +165 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 44 | MLB | Salvador Perez 10 games | KC vs KCR@DET | RBI | 0.5 | +197 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | +0.6 | 58 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 45 | MLB | Steven Kwan 10 games | CLE vs MIN@CLE | H | 0.5 | -210 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 58 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 46 | MLB | Trevor Larnach 10 games | MIN vs MIN@CLE | RBI | 0.5 | +273 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.6 | 58 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 47 | MLB | Ty France 10 games | SD vs SDP@ATL | H | 0.5 | -165 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | -0.2 | 58 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 48 | MLB | Junior Caminero 10 games | TB vs TBR@TOR | TB | 1.5 | -110 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | +0.6 | 57 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 49 | MLB | Taylor Walls 10 games | TB vs TBR@TOR | H | 0.5 | -140 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 57 | D | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 50 | MLB | Brayan Rocchio 10 games | CLE vs MIN@CLE | H | 0.5 | -180 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 5/5 | +0.3 | 56 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.