Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | MLB | Ryan Kreidler 10 games | MIN vs Athletics@ | H | 0.5 | -135 | 0 | -0.5 | 0/5 | -0.3 | 24 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2002 | MLB | Shohei Ohtani 10 games | LAD vs LAD@NYM | R | 0.5 | -125 | 0 | -0.5 | 0/5 | -0.3 | 24 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2003 | MLB | Andre Pallante 9 games | STL vs CIN@STL | K | 4.5 | +118 | 2.6 | -1.9 | 0/5 | -1.2 | 23 | F | 8.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2004 | MLB | Andre Pallante 9 games | STL vs CIN@STL | K | 5.5 | +225 | 2.6 | -2.9 | 0/5 | -1.2 | 23 | F | 8.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2005 | MLB | Austin Riley 10 games | ATL vs ATL@BAL | R | 1.5 | +1000 | 0 | -1.5 | 0/5 | -0.6 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2006 | MLB | Brandon Lowe 10 games | PIT vs CHC@PIT | H | 1.5 | +340 | 0.2 | -1.3 | 0/5 | -0.8 | 23 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 2007 | MLB | Brandon Lowe 10 games | PIT vs CHC@PIT | R | 1.5 | +1000 | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0/5 | -0.6 | 23 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 2008 | MLB | Brandon Lowe 10 games | PIT vs CHC@PIT | TB | 1.5 | +140 | 0.2 | -1.3 | 0/5 | -1.2 | 23 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 2009 | MLB | Brice Turang 10 games | MIL vs COL@MIL | RBI | 1.5 | +500 | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0/5 | -0.6 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2010 | MLB | Cam Smith 10 games | HOU vs HOU@CHW | H | 0.5 | -155 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.1 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2011 | MLB | Colby Thomas 10 games | ATH vs Athletics@ | H | 0.5 | -165 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.1 | 23 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 2012 | MLB | Colson Montgomery 10 games | CWS vs HOU@CHW | R | 1.5 | +900 | 0.2 | -1.3 | 0/5 | -0.6 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2013 | MLB | Curtis Mead 10 games | WSH vs ARI@WSN | RBI | 1.5 | +500 | 0.2 | -1.3 | 0/5 | -0.6 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2014 | MLB | Heliot Ramos 10 games | SF vs LAA@SFG | H | 1.5 | +220 | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0/5 | -0.8 | 23 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2015 | MLB | Hunter Brown 6 games | HOU vs HOU@CHW | K | 6.5 | +145 | 3.8 | -2.7 | 0/5 | -0.7 | 23 | F | 7.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2016 | MLB | Jackson Chourio 10 games | MIL vs COL@MIL | R | 1.5 | +475 | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0/5 | -1 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2017 | MLB | Jake Mangum 10 games | PIT vs CHC@PIT | R | 1.5 | +1000 | 0 | -1.5 | 0/5 | -0.6 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2018 | MLB | Kazuma Okamoto 10 games | TOR vs TOR@BOS | H | 0.5 | -163 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1/5 | +0.3 | 23 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2019 | MLB | Masataka Yoshida 10 games | BOS vs TOR@BOS | TB | 1.5 | +150 | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0/5 | -0.7 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2020 | MLB | Masyn Winn 10 games | STL vs CIN@STL | H | 0.5 | -165 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.1 | 23 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2021 | MLB | Mike Yastrzemski 10 games | ATL vs ATL@BAL | RBI | 1.5 | +600 | 0 | -1.5 | 0/5 | -0.6 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2022 | MLB | Royce Lewis 10 games | MIN vs Athletics@ | TB | 1.5 | +130 | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0/5 | -0.8 | 23 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2023 | MLB | Ryan O'Hearn 10 games | PIT vs CHC@PIT | RBI | 1.5 | +600 | 0 | -1.5 | 0/5 | -1.2 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2024 | MLB | Spencer Steer 10 games | CIN vs CIN@STL | H | 1.5 | +260 | 0.2 | -1.3 | 0/5 | -0.8 | 23 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 2025 | MLB | Tanner Bibee 9 games | CLE vs CLE@TBR | K | 5.5 | +240 | 2.8 | -2.7 | 0/5 | -1.1 | 23 | F | 5.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2026 | MLB | Trent Grisham 10 games | NYY vs NYY@PHI | TB | 1.5 | +128 | 0 | -1.5 | 0/5 | -0.9 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2027 | MLB | Ty France 10 games | SD vs SDP@MIA | R | 1.5 | +1000 | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0/5 | -0.6 | 23 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2028 | MLB | Yainer Diaz 10 games | HOU vs HOU@CHW | RBI | 1.5 | +800 | 0 | -1.5 | 0/5 | -0.6 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2029 | MLB | Yandy Diaz 10 games | TB vs CLE@TBR | RBI | 1.5 | +800 | 0 | -1.5 | 0/5 | -0.6 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2030 | MLB | Brandon Lowe 10 games | PIT vs CHC@PIT | H | 0.5 | -145 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.8 | 22 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 2031 | MLB | Colson Montgomery 10 games | CWS vs HOU@CHW | H | 0.5 | -140 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1/5 | -0.8 | 22 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2032 | MLB | Colton Cowser 10 games | BAL vs ATL@BAL | H | 0.5 | -150 | 0 | -0.5 | 0/5 | -0.1 | 22 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2033 | MLB | Nick Martinez 10 games | TB vs CLE@TBR | K | 2.5 | -250 | 1.6 | -0.9 | 2/5 | -2 | 22 | F | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2034 | MLB | Andre Pallante 9 games | STL vs CIN@STL | K | 3.5 | -220 | 2.6 | -0.9 | 1/5 | -1.2 | 20 | F | 8.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2035 | MLB | Byron Buxton 10 games | MIN vs Athletics@ | R | 0.5 | -155 | 0 | -0.5 | 0/5 | -0.3 | 20 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2036 | MLB | Garrett Mitchell 10 games | MIL vs COL@MIL | H | 0.5 | -180 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1/5 | -1 | 20 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2037 | MLB | Nick Martinez 10 games | TB vs CLE@TBR | K | 3.5 | +115 | 1.6 | -1.9 | 0/5 | -2 | 20 | F | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2038 | MLB | Nick Martinez 10 games | TB vs CLE@TBR | K | 4.5 | +240 | 1.6 | -2.9 | 0/5 | -2 | 20 | F | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2039 | MLB | Spencer Steer 10 games | CIN vs CIN@STL | H | 0.5 | -200 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.8 | 20 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 2040 | MLB | Tanner Bibee 9 games | CLE vs CLE@TBR | K | 3.5 | -200 | 2.8 | -0.7 | 1/5 | -1.1 | 20 | F | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2041 | MLB | Trent Grisham 10 games | NYY vs NYY@PHI | H | 0.5 | -200 | 0 | -0.5 | 0/5 | -0.5 | 20 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2042 | MLB | Hunter Brown 6 games | HOU vs HOU@CHW | K | 5.5 | -130 | 3.8 | -1.7 | 0/5 | -0.7 | 18 | F | 7.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2043 | MLB | Hunter Brown 6 games | HOU vs HOU@CHW | K | 4.5 | -350 | 3.8 | -0.7 | 0/5 | -0.7 | 17 | F | 7.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2044 | MLB | Andre Pallante | STL vs CIN@STL | Outs | 17.5 | -110 | — | — | — | — | 0 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 2045 | MLB | Andres Gimenez | TOR vs TOR@BOS | H | 0.5 | -134 | — | — | — | — | 0 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 2046 | MLB | Andres Gimenez | TOR vs TOR@BOS | H | 1.5 | +380 | — | — | — | — | 0 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 2047 | MLB | Andres Gimenez | TOR vs TOR@BOS | HR | 0.5 | +1000 | — | — | — | — | 0 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 2048 | MLB | Andres Gimenez | TOR vs TOR@BOS | R | 0.5 | +180 | — | — | — | — | 0 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 2049 | MLB | Andres Gimenez | TOR vs TOR@BOS | R | 1.5 | +1500 | — | — | — | — | 0 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 2050 | MLB | Andres Gimenez | TOR vs TOR@BOS | RBI | 0.5 | +322 | — | — | — | — | 0 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.