Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLB | Ceddanne Rafaela 10 games | BOS vs CHW@BOS | TB | 1.5 | +110 | 4.8 | +3.3 | 5/5 | +1.7 | 88 | A | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2 | MLB | George Lombard Jr. 1 games | NYY vs STL@NYY | TB | 1.5 | +160 | 4 | +2.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 77 | B | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 3 | MLB | Sean Burke 10 games | CWS vs CHW@BOS | K | 4.5 | -425 | 9 | +4.5 | 5/5 | +0.3 | 77 | B | 4.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 4 | MLB | Matt Olson 10 games | ATL vs MIA@ATL | TB | 1.5 | +125 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 4/5 | +1.4 | 76 | B | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 5 | MLB | Royce Lewis 10 games | MIN vs MIN@KCR | TB | 1.5 | +120 | 3.4 | +1.9 | 4/5 | +1.6 | 73 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 6 | MLB | Sean Burke 10 games | CWS vs CHW@BOS | K | 6.5 | +130 | 9 | +2.5 | 4/5 | +0.3 | 73 | C | 4.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 7 | MLB | Wilyer Abreu 10 games | BOS vs CHW@BOS | TB | 1.5 | +125 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 3/5 | +2.2 | 73 | C | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 8 | MLB | Ceddanne Rafaela 10 games | BOS vs CHW@BOS | RBI | 0.5 | +190 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +0.3 | 71 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 9 | MLB | Sean Burke 10 games | CWS vs CHW@BOS | K | 5.5 | -142 | 9 | +3.5 | 4/5 | +0.3 | 71 | C | 4.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 10 | MLB | Ceddanne Rafaela 10 games | BOS vs CHW@BOS | R | 0.5 | +110 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +1.1 | 70 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 11 | MLB | Jac Caglianone 10 games | KC vs MIN@KCR | TB | 1.5 | +110 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +1.2 | 70 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 12 | MLB | Spencer Torkelson 10 games | DET vs DET@SEA | H | 0.5 | -110 | 2 | +1.5 | 5/5 | +0.4 | 70 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 13 | MLB | Yainer Diaz 10 games | HOU vs TOR@HOU | TB | 1.5 | +155 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 4/5 | -0.8 | 70 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 14 | MLB | Alec Burleson 10 games | STL vs STL@NYY | TB | 1.5 | +110 | 3.4 | +1.9 | 3/5 | +2 | 67 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 15 | MLB | Cam Smith 10 games | HOU vs TOR@HOU | H | 0.5 | -150 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +0.9 | 67 | C | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 16 | MLB | Cole Young 10 games | SEA vs DET@SEA | TB | 1.5 | +148 | 3 | +1.5 | 4/5 | +0 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 17 | MLB | James McCann 9 games | AZ vs SDP@ARI | TB | 1.5 | +190 | 3.2 | +1.7 | 4/5 | +0.1 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 18 | MLB | Jung Hoo Lee 10 games | SF vs SFG@TEX | TB | 1.5 | +130 | 3 | +1.5 | 3/5 | +2 | 67 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 19 | MLB | Luke Keaschall 10 games | MIN vs MIN@KCR | TB | 1.5 | +150 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +1.7 | 67 | C | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 20 | MLB | Osleivis Basabe 6 games | SF vs SFG@TEX | RBI | 0.5 | +286 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +0 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 21 | MLB | Sean Burke 10 games | CWS vs CHW@BOS | K | 7.5 | +225 | 9 | +1.5 | 4/5 | +0.3 | 67 | C | 4.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 22 | MLB | Spencer Torkelson 10 games | DET vs DET@SEA | TB | 1.5 | +190 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0.3 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 23 | MLB | Chandler Simpson 10 games | TB vs TBR@COL | H | 0.5 | -500 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +0.8 | 65 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 24 | MLB | Christian Franklin 1 games | BAL vs LAA@BAL | R | 0.5 | +180 | 1 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 25 | MLB | Dillon Dingler 10 games | DET vs DET@SEA | H | 0.5 | -160 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.6 | 65 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 26 | MLB | George Lombard Jr. 1 games | NYY vs STL@NYY | HR | 0.5 | +550 | 1 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 27 | MLB | George Lombard Jr. 1 games | NYY vs STL@NYY | R | 0.5 | +155 | 1 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 28 | MLB | George Lombard Jr. 1 games | NYY vs STL@NYY | RBI | 0.5 | +225 | 1 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 29 | MLB | James McCann 9 games | AZ vs SDP@ARI | RBI | 0.5 | +230 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 5/5 | +0 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 30 | MLB | Jordan Walker 10 games | STL vs STL@NYY | H | 0.5 | -180 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.9 | 65 | C | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 31 | MLB | Justin Crawford 10 games | PHI vs WSN@PHI | H | 0.5 | -190 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.7 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 32 | MLB | Luis Campusano 10 games | SD vs SDP@ARI | H | 0.5 | -180 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +0.9 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 33 | MLB | Royce Lewis 10 games | MIN vs MIN@KCR | H | 0.5 | -210 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +1 | 65 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 34 | MLB | Yordan Alvarez 10 games | HOU vs TOR@HOU | H | 0.5 | -260 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +0.8 | 65 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 35 | MLB | Zach McKinstry 10 games | DET vs DET@SEA | R | 0.5 | +229 | 1 | +0.5 | 5/5 | +0.3 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 36 | MLB | Cal Raleigh 10 games | SEA vs DET@SEA | RBI | 0.5 | +188 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 37 | MLB | Chase DeLauter 10 games | CLE vs NYM@CLE | R | 0.5 | +130 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.7 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 38 | MLB | Christian Scott 7 games | NYM vs NYM@CLE | K | 4.5 | -150 | 6.4 | +1.9 | 5/5 | +0.4 | 64 | D | 7.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 39 | MLB | Dillon Dingler 10 games | DET vs DET@SEA | TB | 1.5 | +155 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +1 | 64 | D | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 40 | MLB | Geraldo Perdomo 10 games | AZ vs SDP@ARI | TB | 1.5 | +140 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | -0.5 | 64 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 41 | MLB | James McCann 9 games | AZ vs SDP@ARI | H | 0.5 | -140 | 2.2 | +1.7 | 5/5 | +0 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 42 | MLB | Junior Caminero 10 games | TB vs TBR@COL | TB | 1.5 | -160 | 3.2 | +1.7 | 4/5 | +1.7 | 64 | D | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 43 | MLB | Kyle Karros 10 games | COL vs TBR@COL | R | 0.5 | +106 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 44 | MLB | Noah Cameron 10 games | KC vs MIN@KCR | K | 3.5 | -400 | 6.4 | +2.9 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 64 | D | 9.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 45 | MLB | Osleivis Basabe 6 games | SF vs SFG@TEX | TB | 1.5 | +175 | 3 | +1.5 | 3/5 | +0.5 | 64 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 46 | MLB | Randy Arozarena 10 games | SEA vs DET@SEA | R | 0.5 | +103 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 64 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 47 | MLB | Willi Castro 10 games | COL vs TBR@COL | TB | 1.5 | +133 | 3 | +1.5 | 3/5 | +0.6 | 64 | D | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 48 | MLB | Wilyer Abreu 10 games | BOS vs CHW@BOS | R | 0.5 | +110 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 64 | D | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 49 | MLB | Zach McKinstry 10 games | DET vs DET@SEA | TB | 1.5 | +240 | 2 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.9 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 50 | MLB | Yordan Alvarez 10 games | HOU vs TOR@HOU | TB | 1.5 | -109 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +1.1 | 63 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.