Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLB | Dillon Dingler 10 games | DET vs DET@SFG | TB | 1.5 | +110 | 3.8 | +2.3 | 4/5 | +2.5 | 79 | B | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2 | MLB | Junior Caminero 10 games | TB vs TBR@SEA | TB | 1.5 | +115 | 3.2 | +1.7 | 4/5 | +2.2 | 73 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 3 | MLB | Matt Olson 10 games | ATL vs ATL@NYY | TB | 1.5 | +135 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 4/5 | +0.3 | 73 | C | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 4 | MLB | Wilyer Abreu 10 games | BOS vs Athletics@ | TB | 1.5 | +100 | 3.8 | +2.3 | 3/5 | +2.2 | 73 | C | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 5 | MLB | Gleyber Torres 10 games | DET vs DET@SFG | R | 0.5 | +115 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +0.3 | 71 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 6 | MLB | Jordan Beck 2 games | COL vs COL@STL | TB | 1.5 | +200 | 2.5 | +1 | 2/2 | +0 | 71 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 7 | MLB | Merrill Kelly 10 games | AZ vs LAD@ARI | K | 2.5 | -425 | 4.6 | +2.1 | 5/5 | +0.8 | 71 | C | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 8 | MLB | Zach Thornton 2 games | NYM vs NYM@PIT | K | 4.5 | +110 | 6 | +1.5 | 2/2 | +0 | 71 | C | 3.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 9 | MLB | Austin Riley 10 games | ATL vs ATL@NYY | TB | 1.5 | +190 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +1.1 | 70 | C | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 10 | MLB | Brandon Nimmo 10 games | TEX vs BAL@TEX | TB | 1.5 | +130 | 3.2 | +1.7 | 4/5 | +0.8 | 70 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 11 | MLB | Jake McCarthy 10 games | COL vs COL@STL | TB | 1.5 | +121 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 70 | C | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 12 | MLB | Roki Sasaki 8 games | LAD vs LAD@ARI | K | 3.5 | -450 | 5.8 | +2.3 | 4/5 | +1.9 | 70 | C | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 13 | MLB | Royce Lewis 10 games | MIN vs MIN@MIL | TB | 1.5 | +140 | 3.4 | +1.9 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 70 | C | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 14 | MLB | Cam Smith 10 games | HOU vs HOU@SDP | H | 0.5 | -135 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +0.9 | 69 | C | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 15 | MLB | Payton Tolle 10 games | BOS vs Athletics@ | K | 5.5 | -260 | 7.2 | +1.7 | 5/5 | +1.8 | 68 | C | 14.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 16 | MLB | Zach Thornton 2 games | NYM vs NYM@PIT | K | 3.5 | -240 | 6 | +2.5 | 2/2 | +0 | 68 | C | 3.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 17 | MLB | Alec Burleson 10 games | STL vs COL@STL | TB | 1.5 | +105 | 3.4 | +1.9 | 3/5 | +2.6 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 18 | MLB | Carson Benge 10 games | NYM vs NYM@PIT | TB | 1.5 | +146 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +2.2 | 67 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 19 | MLB | Jose Altuve 10 games | HOU vs HOU@SDP | TB | 1.5 | +150 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +1.7 | 67 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 20 | MLB | Osleivis Basabe 7 games | SF vs DET@SFG | RBI | 0.5 | +278 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 21 | MLB | Shane Drohan 9 games | MIL vs MIN@MIL | K | 5.5 | +115 | 6 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +1.6 | 67 | C | 4.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 22 | MLB | Tim Tawa 10 games | AZ vs LAD@ARI | H | 0.5 | -115 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 67 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 23 | MLB | Wilyer Abreu 10 games | BOS vs Athletics@ | R | 0.5 | -120 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +0.9 | 67 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 24 | MLB | Roki Sasaki 8 games | LAD vs LAD@ARI | K | 4.5 | -148 | 5.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +1.9 | 66 | C | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 25 | MLB | Dillon Dingler 10 games | DET vs DET@SFG | H | 0.5 | -250 | 2 | +1.5 | 5/5 | +0.7 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 26 | MLB | Jake McCarthy 10 games | COL vs COL@STL | H | 0.5 | -260 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.7 | 65 | C | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 27 | MLB | Jordan Walker 10 games | STL vs COL@STL | H | 0.5 | -300 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.9 | 65 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 28 | MLB | Royce Lewis 10 games | MIN vs MIN@MIL | H | 0.5 | -165 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +0.6 | 65 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 29 | MLB | Sean Murphy 1 games | ATL vs ATL@NYY | H | 0.5 | +105 | 1 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 30 | MLB | Andrew Vaughn 10 games | MIL vs MIN@MIL | RBI | 0.5 | +180 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 64 | D | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 31 | MLB | Austin Riley 10 games | ATL vs ATL@NYY | RBI | 0.5 | +241 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 64 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 32 | MLB | Caleb Durbin 10 games | BOS vs Athletics@ | RBI | 0.5 | +184 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +1.3 | 64 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 33 | MLB | Dillon Dingler 10 games | DET vs DET@SFG | R | 0.5 | +115 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +0.8 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 34 | MLB | Jackson Merrill 10 games | SD vs HOU@SDP | R | 0.5 | +135 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 64 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 35 | MLB | Jarren Duran 10 games | BOS vs Athletics@ | R | 0.5 | +120 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.7 | 64 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 36 | MLB | Jarren Duran 10 games | BOS vs Athletics@ | TB | 1.5 | +120 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +1 | 64 | D | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 37 | MLB | Jung Hoo Lee 10 games | SF vs DET@SFG | TB | 1.5 | +115 | 3.2 | +1.7 | 3/5 | +1.2 | 64 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 38 | MLB | Luke Keaschall 10 games | MIN vs MIN@MIL | TB | 1.5 | +190 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +0.7 | 64 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 39 | MLB | Payton Tolle 10 games | BOS vs Athletics@ | K | 6.5 | -111 | 7.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +1.8 | 64 | D | 14.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 40 | MLB | Pete Crow-Armstrong 10 games | CHC vs CHC@KCR | TB | 1.5 | -115 | 3 | +1.5 | 3/5 | +2.1 | 64 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 41 | MLB | Sal Stewart 10 games | CIN vs CIN@WSN | R | 0.5 | +115 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 42 | MLB | Shane Drohan 9 games | MIL vs MIN@MIL | K | 4.5 | -225 | 6 | +1.5 | 4/5 | +1.6 | 64 | D | 4.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 43 | MLB | Tyler Stephenson 10 games | CIN vs CIN@WSN | TB | 1.5 | +140 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +1.3 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 44 | MLB | Willi Castro 10 games | COL vs COL@STL | TB | 1.5 | +175 | 3 | +1.5 | 3/5 | +0.6 | 64 | D | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 45 | MLB | Wilyer Abreu 10 games | BOS vs Athletics@ | RBI | 0.5 | +123 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.9 | 64 | D | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 46 | MLB | Chandler Simpson 10 games | TB vs TBR@SEA | H | 0.5 | -197 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +0.3 | 62 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 47 | MLB | Ronel Blanco 3 games | HOU vs HOU@SDP | K | 3.5 | -325 | 5.3 | +1.8 | 3/3 | +0 | 62 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 48 | MLB | Ryan Feltner 9 games | COL vs COL@STL | K | 2.5 | -240 | 4.4 | +1.9 | 5/5 | -0.4 | 62 | D | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 49 | MLB | Shohei Ohtani 10 games | LAD vs LAD@ARI | H | 0.5 | -350 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.4 | 62 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 50 | MLB | Steven Kwan 10 games | CLE vs CLE@CHW | H | 0.5 | -209 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | -0.4 | 62 | D | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.