Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 | MLB | Taylor Ward 10 games | SEA vs TBR@SEA | H | 0.5 | -110 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +0.3 | 48 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 302 | MLB | Tim Tawa 10 games | AZ vs LAD@ARI | RBI | 0.5 | +315 | 1 | +0.5 | 2/5 | +0.1 | 48 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 303 | MLB | Victor Mesa Jr. 10 games | TB vs TBR@SEA | TB | 1.5 | +180 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +1.9 | 48 | F | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 304 | MLB | Yordan Alvarez 10 games | HOU vs HOU@SDP | R | 0.5 | -105 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +-0 | 48 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 305 | MLB | Luis Arraez 10 games | PHI vs TOR@PHI | TB | 2.5 | +260 | 2 | -0.5 | 3/5 | +0.6 | 47 | F | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 306 | MLB | A.J. Ewing 10 games | NYM vs NYM@PIT | H | 0.5 | -220 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | +0.1 | 46 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 307 | MLB | Alec Bohm 10 games | PHI vs TOR@PHI | H | 0.5 | -235 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 4/5 | -0.2 | 46 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 308 | MLB | Alejandro Kirk 10 games | TOR vs TOR@PHI | H | 0.5 | -235 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | +0.1 | 46 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 309 | MLB | Bobby Witt Jr. 10 games | KC vs CHC@KCR | H | 0.5 | -300 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 3/5 | +0.4 | 46 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 310 | MLB | Bryan Reynolds 10 games | PIT vs NYM@PIT | H | 0.5 | -175 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0 | 46 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 311 | MLB | Bryce Harper 10 games | PHI vs TOR@PHI | H | 0.5 | -275 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.2 | 46 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 312 | MLB | Bryce Harper 10 games | PHI vs TOR@PHI | TB | 1.5 | -111 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | -0.4 | 46 | F | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 313 | MLB | Ceddanne Rafaela 10 games | BOS vs Athletics@ | RBI | 0.5 | +145 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | -0.7 | 46 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 314 | MLB | Cedric Mullins 10 games | TB vs TBR@SEA | H | 0.5 | -120 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.2 | 46 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 315 | MLB | Corey Seager 10 games | TEX vs BAL@TEX | H | 0.5 | -175 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.3 | 46 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 316 | MLB | Dansby Swanson 10 games | CHC vs CHC@KCR | H | 0.5 | -200 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | -0.3 | 46 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 317 | MLB | Heliot Ramos 10 games | NYY vs ATL@NYY | H | 0.5 | -154 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 4/5 | -0.3 | 46 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 318 | MLB | Jackson Chourio 10 games | MIL vs MIN@MIL | H | 0.5 | -250 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | -0.4 | 46 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 319 | MLB | Jake Cronenworth 10 games | SD vs HOU@SDP | H | 0.5 | -165 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | -0.2 | 46 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 320 | MLB | Luis Arraez 10 games | PHI vs TOR@PHI | H | 0.5 | -375 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | -0.2 | 46 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 321 | MLB | Luis Rengifo 10 games | SD vs HOU@SDP | H | 0.5 | -164 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.1 | 46 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 322 | MLB | Marcus Semien 10 games | NYM vs NYM@PIT | H | 0.5 | -153 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.3 | 46 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 323 | MLB | Max Clark 7 games | DET vs DET@SFG | H | 0.5 | -152 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 4/5 | -0.3 | 46 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 324 | MLB | Michael Busch 10 games | CHC vs CHC@KCR | H | 0.5 | -260 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | +0.3 | 46 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 325 | MLB | Myles Straw 10 games | TOR vs TOR@PHI | H | 0.5 | -155 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | -0.5 | 46 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 326 | MLB | Rhys Hoskins 10 games | CLE vs CLE@CHW | H | 0.5 | -120 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +0 | 46 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 327 | MLB | Riley Greene 10 games | DET vs DET@SFG | H | 0.5 | -188 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.1 | 46 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 328 | MLB | Salvador Perez 10 games | KC vs CHC@KCR | H | 0.5 | -200 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 4/5 | -0.4 | 46 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 329 | MLB | TJ Rumfield 10 games | COL vs COL@STL | H | 0.5 | -185 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.2 | 46 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 330 | MLB | Willi Castro 10 games | COL vs COL@STL | R | 0.5 | +160 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | -0.6 | 46 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 331 | MLB | Willson Contreras 10 games | BOS vs Athletics@ | H | 0.5 | -275 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.4 | 46 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 332 | MLB | Xander Bogaerts 10 games | SD vs HOU@SDP | H | 0.5 | -160 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | -0.2 | 46 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 333 | MLB | Zach McKinstry 10 games | DET vs DET@SFG | TB | 1.5 | +195 | 1.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | -1.1 | 46 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 334 | MLB | Braden Montgomery 10 games | CWS vs CLE@CHW | R | 0.5 | +190 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.6 | 45 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 335 | MLB | CJ Abrams 10 games | WSH vs CIN@WSN | R | 0.5 | +101 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.5 | 45 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 336 | MLB | CJ Abrams 10 games | WSH vs CIN@WSN | TB | 1.5 | +121 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +0.6 | 45 | F | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 337 | MLB | Colt Emerson 10 games | SEA vs TBR@SEA | TB | 1.5 | +275 | 1.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +1 | 45 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 338 | MLB | David Hamilton 10 games | MIL vs MIN@MIL | R | 0.5 | +191 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.5 | 45 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 339 | MLB | Hunter Goodman 10 games | COL vs COL@STL | RBI | 0.5 | +136 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 2/5 | -0.8 | 45 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 340 | MLB | Jacob Young 10 games | WSH vs CIN@WSN | R | 0.5 | +222 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.5 | 45 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 341 | MLB | Jacob Young 10 games | WSH vs CIN@WSN | TB | 1.5 | +260 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +1.3 | 45 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 342 | MLB | Jake McCarthy 10 games | COL vs COL@STL | H | 1.5 | +200 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +1.1 | 45 | F | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 343 | MLB | Jake McCarthy 10 games | COL vs COL@STL | RBI | 0.5 | +257 | 1 | +0.5 | 2/5 | -0.6 | 45 | F | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 344 | MLB | Jared Young 10 games | NYM vs NYM@PIT | RBI | 0.5 | +226 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.7 | 45 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 345 | MLB | Jared Young 10 games | NYM vs NYM@PIT | TB | 1.5 | +160 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +1.1 | 45 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 346 | MLB | Kyle Freeland 9 games | COL vs COL@STL | K | 4.5 | +190 | 5 | +0.5 | 2/5 | -0.7 | 45 | F | 3.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 347 | MLB | Luke Keaschall 10 games | MIN vs MIN@MIL | TB | 1.5 | +180 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 2/5 | -0.7 | 45 | F | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 348 | MLB | Michael Harris II 10 games | ATL vs ATL@NYY | R | 0.5 | +131 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +0.8 | 45 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 349 | MLB | Nolan Arenado 10 games | AZ vs LAD@ARI | RBI | 0.5 | +282 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.5 | 45 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 350 | MLB | Nolan Arenado 10 games | AZ vs LAD@ARI | TB | 1.5 | +200 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +0.9 | 45 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.