Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLB | Ivan Herrera 10 games | STL vs PHI@STL | TB | 1.5 | +140 | 3.8 | +2.3 | 5/5 | +2.1 | 83 | B | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 2 | MLB | Jackson Merrill 10 games | SD vs MIL@SDP | TB | 1.5 | +165 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 5/5 | +1.4 | 80 | B | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 3 | MLB | Gabriel Moreno 10 games | AZ vs COL@ARI | TB | 1.5 | +105 | 3 | +1.5 | 5/5 | +1 | 74 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 4 | MLB | Cam Smith 10 games | HOU vs HOU@SFG | TB | 1.5 | +150 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 3/5 | +2.1 | 73 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 5 | MLB | Jac Caglianone 10 games | KC vs KCR@LAD | TB | 1.5 | +165 | 4.4 | +2.9 | 3/5 | +2.9 | 73 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 6 | MLB | Jake McCarthy 10 games | COL vs COL@ARI | TB | 1.5 | +110 | 3.8 | +2.3 | 3/5 | +1.6 | 73 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 7 | MLB | Kyle Schwarber 10 games | PHI vs PHI@STL | TB | 1.5 | +120 | 3.2 | +1.7 | 4/5 | +2.4 | 73 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 8 | MLB | Paul Skenes 10 games | PIT vs PIT@MIA | K | 5.5 | -375 | 7.8 | +2.3 | 5/5 | +0.7 | 71 | C | 4.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 9 | MLB | Nathaniel Lowe 10 games | CLE vs CLE@DET | RBI | 0.5 | +174 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +1 | 70 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 10 | MLB | Tyler Soderstrom 10 games | ATH vs TBR@Athlet | TB | 1.5 | +109 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0.8 | 70 | C | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 11 | MLB | Ivan Herrera 10 games | STL vs PHI@STL | H | 0.5 | -220 | 2.2 | +1.7 | 5/5 | +1.7 | 68 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 12 | MLB | Jackson Chourio 10 games | MIL vs MIL@SDP | TB | 1.5 | +117 | 3 | +1.5 | 4/5 | -0.2 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 13 | MLB | Nolan McLean 10 games | NYM vs NYM@ATL | K | 5.5 | -145 | 7.6 | +2.1 | 5/5 | -0.7 | 67 | C | 3.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 14 | MLB | Andrew Pinckney 1 games | WSH vs CHC@WSN | HR | 0.5 | +450 | 1 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 15 | MLB | Andrew Pinckney 1 games | WSH vs CHC@WSN | R | 0.5 | +163 | 1 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 16 | MLB | Andrew Pinckney 1 games | WSH vs CHC@WSN | RBI | 0.5 | +269 | 1 | +0.5 | 1/1 | +0 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 17 | MLB | Jac Caglianone 10 games | KC vs KCR@LAD | H | 0.5 | -160 | 2 | +1.5 | 5/5 | +0.8 | 65 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 18 | MLB | Jackson Merrill 10 games | SD vs MIL@SDP | R | 0.5 | +179 | 1 | +0.5 | 5/5 | +0.1 | 65 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 19 | MLB | Jackson Merrill 10 games | SD vs MIL@SDP | RBI | 0.5 | +269 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 5/5 | +0.4 | 65 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 20 | MLB | Jakob Marsee 10 games | MIA vs PIT@MIA | H | 0.5 | -115 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 5/5 | +0.8 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 21 | MLB | Kyle Schwarber 10 games | PHI vs PHI@STL | H | 0.5 | -200 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.9 | 65 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 22 | MLB | Tyler Soderstrom 10 games | ATH vs TBR@Athlet | RBI | 0.5 | +164 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 5/5 | +0.4 | 65 | C | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 23 | MLB | Braden Montgomery 10 games | CWS vs CIN@CHW | R | 0.5 | +141 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 24 | MLB | Brandon Young 9 games | BAL vs BAL@MIN | K | 3.5 | -150 | 5.4 | +1.9 | 5/5 | -0.2 | 64 | D | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 25 | MLB | Bryson Stott 10 games | PHI vs PHI@STL | TB | 1.5 | +143 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 64 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 26 | MLB | Carson Benge 10 games | NYM vs NYM@ATL | TB | 1.5 | +155 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | -1 | 64 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 27 | MLB | Coby Mayo 10 games | BAL vs BAL@MIN | TB | 1.5 | +150 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +0.9 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 28 | MLB | Francisco Lindor 10 games | NYM vs NYM@ATL | R | 0.5 | +100 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +0.8 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 29 | MLB | Ivan Herrera 10 games | STL vs PHI@STL | R | 0.5 | +146 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.9 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 30 | MLB | Jac Caglianone 10 games | KC vs KCR@LAD | RBI | 0.5 | +199 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +1.1 | 64 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 31 | MLB | Jakob Marsee 10 games | MIA vs PIT@MIA | TB | 1.5 | +240 | 2 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.7 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 32 | MLB | Jose Siri 10 games | LAA vs TEX@LAA | TB | 1.5 | +200 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +0.6 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 33 | MLB | Nathaniel Lowe 10 games | CLE vs CLE@DET | TB | 1.5 | +150 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +0.9 | 64 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 34 | MLB | Owen Caissie 10 games | MIA vs PIT@MIA | R | 0.5 | +210 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 35 | MLB | Victor Mesa Jr. 10 games | TB vs TBR@Athlet | TB | 1.5 | +120 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +0.9 | 64 | D | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 36 | MLB | Coby Mayo 10 games | BAL vs BAL@MIN | H | 0.5 | -140 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +0.9 | 63 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 37 | MLB | Paul Skenes 10 games | PIT vs PIT@MIA | K | 6.5 | -145 | 7.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0.7 | 63 | D | 4.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 38 | MLB | Francisco Lindor 10 games | NYM vs NYM@ATL | H | 0.5 | -247 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.4 | 62 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 39 | MLB | Pete Crow-Armstrong 10 games | CHC vs CHC@WSN | R | 0.5 | -135 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +0 | 62 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 40 | MLB | Steven Kwan 10 games | CLE vs CLE@DET | H | 0.5 | -248 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.4 | 62 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 41 | MLB | Alex Bregman 10 games | CHC vs CHC@WSN | RBI | 0.5 | +165 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 61 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 42 | MLB | Bo Bichette 10 games | NYM vs NYM@ATL | H | 0.5 | -270 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0.7 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 43 | MLB | Bobby Witt Jr. 10 games | KC vs KCR@LAD | R | 0.5 | +122 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +-0 | 61 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 44 | MLB | Brandon Nimmo 10 games | TEX vs TEX@LAA | TB | 1.5 | +100 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | -0.1 | 61 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 45 | MLB | Brandon Young 9 games | BAL vs BAL@MIN | K | 4.5 | +124 | 5.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | -0.2 | 61 | D | 4.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 46 | MLB | Bryson Stott 10 games | PHI vs PHI@STL | H | 0.5 | -212 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +0.7 | 61 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 47 | MLB | Carson Benge 10 games | NYM vs NYM@ATL | R | 0.5 | +140 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 48 | MLB | Carson Benge 10 games | NYM vs NYM@ATL | RBI | 0.5 | +200 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 49 | MLB | Cedric Mullins 10 games | TB vs TBR@Athlet | R | 0.5 | +110 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.1 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 50 | MLB | CJ Abrams 10 games | WSH vs CHC@WSN | R | 0.5 | +135 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.4 | 61 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.