Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLB | Jackson Merrill 10 games | SD vs MIL@SDP | TB | 1.5 | +145 | 3.8 | +2.3 | 5/5 | +1 | 80 | B | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 2 | MLB | Pete Alonso 10 games | BAL vs BAL@MIN | TB | 1.5 | +110 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 3/5 | +3.2 | 76 | B | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 3 | MLB | Victor Mesa Jr. 10 games | TB vs TBR@Athlet | TB | 1.5 | +120 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 4/5 | +1.1 | 76 | B | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 4 | MLB | Jac Caglianone 10 games | KC vs KCR@LAD | TB | 1.5 | +124 | 4.6 | +3.1 | 4/5 | -0.6 | 75 | B | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 5 | MLB | Zach Thornton 2 games | NYM vs NYM@ATL | K | 3.5 | -117 | 6 | +2.5 | 2/2 | +0 | 74 | C | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 6 | MLB | Drew Rasmussen 10 games | TB vs TBR@Athlet | K | 4.5 | -160 | 6.6 | +2.1 | 4/5 | +3.6 | 73 | C | 3.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 7 | MLB | Zach Thornton 2 games | NYM vs NYM@ATL | K | 2.5 | -375 | 6 | +3.5 | 2/2 | +0 | 73 | C | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 8 | MLB | Zach Thornton 2 games | NYM vs NYM@ATL | K | 4.5 | +190 | 6 | +1.5 | 2/2 | +0 | 71 | C | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 9 | MLB | Drew Rasmussen 10 games | TB vs TBR@Athlet | K | 5.5 | +120 | 6.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +3.6 | 70 | C | 3.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 10 | MLB | Tyler Soderstrom 10 games | ATH vs TBR@Athlet | TB | 1.5 | +140 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | +0.8 | 70 | C | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 11 | MLB | Freddy Fermin 10 games | SD vs MIL@SDP | TB | 1.5 | +220 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 4/5 | +-0 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 12 | MLB | Harry Ford 10 games | WSH vs CHC@WSN | TB | 1.5 | +180 | 2 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +1.6 | 67 | C | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 13 | MLB | Ivan Herrera 10 games | STL vs PHI@STL | TB | 1.5 | +165 | 3.4 | +1.9 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 67 | C | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 14 | MLB | Kyle Leahy 9 games | STL vs PHI@STL | K | 2.5 | -525 | 5.2 | +2.7 | 4/5 | +1.4 | 67 | C | 6.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 15 | MLB | Kyle Schwarber 10 games | PHI vs PHI@STL | TB | 1.5 | +125 | 3 | +1.5 | 3/5 | +2.3 | 67 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 16 | MLB | Austin Wells 10 games | NYY vs SEA@NYY | H | 0.5 | +105 | 1 | +0.5 | 5/5 | +0.2 | 65 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 17 | MLB | Jackson Merrill 10 games | SD vs MIL@SDP | R | 0.5 | +141 | 1 | +0.5 | 5/5 | +0 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 18 | MLB | Jackson Merrill 10 games | SD vs MIL@SDP | RBI | 0.5 | +199 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 5/5 | +0.1 | 65 | C | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 19 | MLB | Tyler Soderstrom 10 games | ATH vs TBR@Athlet | RBI | 0.5 | +223 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 5/5 | +0.4 | 65 | C | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 20 | MLB | Alex Bregman 10 games | CHC vs CHC@WSN | R | 0.5 | +110 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.8 | 64 | D | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 21 | MLB | Alex Bregman 10 games | CHC vs CHC@WSN | TB | 1.5 | +125 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +0.7 | 64 | D | 12.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 22 | MLB | Chandler Simpson 10 games | TB vs TBR@Athlet | H | 1.5 | +170 | 2 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.8 | 64 | D | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 23 | MLB | Chandler Simpson 10 games | TB vs TBR@Athlet | TB | 1.5 | +119 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +1 | 64 | D | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 24 | MLB | Fernando Tatis Jr. 10 games | SD vs MIL@SDP | TB | 1.5 | +120 | 3.2 | +1.7 | 3/5 | +0.9 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 25 | MLB | Freddy Fermin 10 games | SD vs MIL@SDP | H | 0.5 | -150 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | +0.1 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 26 | MLB | Gabriel Moreno 10 games | AZ vs COL@ARI | TB | 1.5 | +110 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +1 | 64 | D | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 27 | MLB | Jacob Young 10 games | WSH vs CHC@WSN | RBI | 0.5 | +276 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.8 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 28 | MLB | Masyn Winn 10 games | STL vs PHI@STL | TB | 1.5 | +200 | 2 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +1 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 29 | MLB | Munetaka Murakami 10 games | CWS vs CIN@CHW | TB | 1.5 | +125 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 30 | MLB | Nolan Arenado 10 games | AZ vs COL@ARI | TB | 1.5 | +140 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +0.6 | 64 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 31 | MLB | Ian Happ 10 games | CHC vs CHC@WSN | TB | 1.5 | +140 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 2/5 | +3 | 63 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 32 | MLB | Jac Caglianone 10 games | KC vs KCR@LAD | H | 0.5 | -200 | 2.2 | +1.7 | 5/5 | +-0 | 62 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 33 | MLB | Kevin McGonigle 10 games | DET vs CLE@DET | H | 0.5 | -225 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | +0 | 62 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 34 | MLB | Spencer Torkelson 10 games | DET vs CLE@DET | H | 0.5 | -180 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 5/5 | -0.3 | 62 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 35 | MLB | Steven Kwan 10 games | CLE vs CLE@DET | H | 0.5 | -220 | 1.8 | +1.3 | 5/5 | -0.1 | 62 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 36 | MLB | Alex Bregman 10 games | CHC vs CHC@WSN | RBI | 0.5 | +162 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.3 | 61 | D | 7.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 37 | MLB | Braden Montgomery 10 games | CWS vs CIN@CHW | R | 0.5 | +130 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 38 | MLB | Brooks Lee 10 games | MIN vs BAL@MIN | TB | 1.5 | +160 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 3/5 | +1.8 | 61 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 39 | MLB | Chandler Simpson 10 games | TB vs TBR@Athlet | H | 0.5 | -350 | 2 | +1.5 | 4/5 | +0.8 | 61 | D | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 40 | MLB | Chase DeLauter 10 games | CLE vs CLE@DET | R | 0.5 | +137 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | -0.2 | 61 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 41 | MLB | Colton Cowser 10 games | BAL vs BAL@MIN | H | 0.5 | -114 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.6 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 42 | MLB | Fernando Tatis Jr. 10 games | SD vs MIL@SDP | R | 0.5 | +110 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0 | 61 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 43 | MLB | Isaac Paredes 10 games | HOU vs HOU@SFG | TB | 1.5 | +130 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.5 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 44 | MLB | Ivan Herrera 10 games | STL vs PHI@STL | H | 0.5 | -190 | 2 | +1.5 | 4/5 | +0.7 | 61 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 45 | MLB | Ivan Herrera 10 games | STL vs PHI@STL | R | 0.5 | +148 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.2 | 61 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 46 | MLB | Jac Caglianone 10 games | KC vs KCR@LAD | H | 1.5 | +240 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +-0 | 61 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 47 | MLB | Jac Caglianone 10 games | KC vs KCR@LAD | RBI | 0.5 | +158 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | +0 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 48 | MLB | Jake Mangum 10 games | PIT vs PIT@MIA | TB | 1.5 | +124 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 3/5 | +1.7 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 49 | MLB | Jake McCarthy 10 games | COL vs COL@ARI | TB | 1.5 | +105 | 3.6 | +2.1 | 3/5 | -1.8 | 61 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 50 | MLB | Javier Sanoja 10 games | MIA vs PIT@MIA | TB | 1.5 | +160 | 2 | +0.5 | 4/5 | -0.2 | 61 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.