Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1001 | NFL | Dak Prescott 10 games | vs DAL | PASS YDS | 261.50 | -113 | 258.2 | -3.3 | 3/5 | -60.1 | 32 | F | 175.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1002 | NFL | Dak Prescott 10 games | vs DAL | PASS YDS | 262.50 | -115 | 258.2 | -4.3 | 3/5 | -60.1 | 32 | F | 175.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1003 | NFL | Dak Prescott 10 games | vs DAL | PASS YDS | 263.50 | -113 | 258.2 | -5.3 | 3/5 | -60.1 | 32 | F | 175.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1004 | NFL | Dak Prescott 10 games | vs DAL | PASS YDS | 264.50 | -115 | 258.2 | -6.3 | 3/5 | -60.1 | 32 | F | 175.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1005 | NFL | Dalton Schultz 10 games | vs BUF | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +360 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.2 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1006 | NFL | Daniel Bellinger 10 games | vs NYJ | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +900 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.1 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1007 | NFL | Daniel Jones 10 games | vs BAL | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +500 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.2 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1008 | NFL | Darren Waller 8 games | vs CHI | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +525 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1/5 | -0.1 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1009 | NFL | David Montgomery 10 games | vs BUF | REC | 1.50 | +100 | 0.8 | -0.7 | 1/5 | -0.3 | 32 | F | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1010 | NFL | Dawson Knox 10 games | vs BUF | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +750 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1011 | NFL | Devaughn Vele 8 games | vs NO@ | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +450 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.1 | 32 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1012 | NFL | DeVonta Smith 10 games | vs WSH | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +185 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.2 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1013 | NFL | Devontez Walker 7 games | vs BAL | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +1050 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.1 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1014 | NFL | DK Metcalf 10 games | vs ATL | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +230 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1015 | NFL | Dontayvion Wicks 10 games | vs WSH | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +340 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1/5 | -0.2 | 32 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1016 | NFL | Drew Ogletree 9 games | vs BAL | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +2500 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.1 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1017 | NFL | Dylan Sampson 10 games | vs CLE | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +800 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.1 | 32 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 1018 | NFL | Garrett Wilson 6 games | vs NYJ | REC YDS | 54.50 | -120 | 50 | -4.5 | 3/5 | -22 | 32 | F | 79.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1019 | NFL | Garrett Wilson 6 games | vs NYJ | REC YDS | 60.50 | -115 | 50 | -10.5 | 3/5 | -22 | 32 | F | 79.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1020 | NFL | Garrett Wilson 6 games | vs NYJ | REC YDS | 61.50 | -113 | 50 | -11.5 | 3/5 | -22 | 32 | F | 79.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1021 | NFL | Garrett Wilson 6 games | vs NYJ | REC YDS | 62.50 | -115 | 50 | -12.5 | 3/5 | -22 | 32 | F | 79.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1022 | NFL | Garrett Wilson 6 games | vs NYJ | REC YDS | 63.50 | -113 | 50 | -13.5 | 3/5 | -22 | 32 | F | 79.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1023 | NFL | George Pickens 10 games | vs DAL | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +180 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1024 | NFL | Greg Dulcich 9 games | vs MIA | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +450 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.2 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1025 | NFL | Gunnar Helm 10 games | vs NYJ | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +450 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.1 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1026 | NFL | Hollywood Brown 10 games | vs WSH | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +800 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.2 | 32 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 1027 | NFL | Hunter Long 6 games | vs ARI | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +2500 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.2 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1028 | NFL | Isaiah Davis 10 games | vs NYJ | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +1100 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.2 | 32 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 1029 | NFL | Isaiah Likely 10 games | vs DAL | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +330 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.2 | 32 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1030 | NFL | Ja'Tavion Sanders 10 games | vs CHI | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +1000 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.2 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1031 | NFL | Jackson Hawes 10 games | vs BUF | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +1800 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.2 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1032 | NFL | Jake Ferguson 10 games | vs DAL | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +310 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.1 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1033 | NFL | Jalen Nailor 10 games | vs MIA | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +380 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1/5 | -0.3 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1034 | NFL | Jalen Tolbert 10 games | vs MIA | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +1050 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.1 | 32 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 1035 | NFL | Jameson Williams 10 games | vs NO@ | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +210 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.5 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1036 | NFL | Javonte Williams 10 games | vs DAL | REC | 1.50 | -190 | 1.4 | -0.1 | 3/5 | -0.6 | 32 | F | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1037 | NFL | Jaxson Dart 10 games | vs DAL | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +230 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1/5 | -0.1 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1038 | NFL | Jayden Reed 5 games | vs GB@ | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +325 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.1 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1039 | NFL | Jaylen Warren 10 games | vs ATL | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +175 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1/5 | -0.5 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1040 | NFL | Jaylin Noel 10 games | vs BUF | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +700 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.1 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1041 | NFL | Jaylin Noel 10 games | vs BUF | REC | 1.50 | +100 | 0.8 | -0.7 | 1/5 | -0.5 | 32 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1042 | NFL | Jerry Jeudy 10 games | vs CLE | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +500 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.2 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1043 | NFL | Joe Burrow 7 games | vs TB@ | RUSH YDS | 7.50 | -113 | 6 | -1.5 | 1/5 | +2.9 | 32 | F | 20.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1044 | NFL | John Bates 9 games | vs WSH | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +2250 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.2 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1045 | NFL | Jonathon Brooks 5 games | vs CHI | REC | 1.50 | +120 | 0.6 | -0.9 | 1/5 | -0.3 | 32 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1046 | NFL | Jonnu Smith 10 games | vs GB@ | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +1050 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.1 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1047 | NFL | Jordan Addison 10 games | vs GB@ | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +265 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | +0.1 | 32 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1048 | NFL | Jordan Love 10 games | vs GB@ | RUSH ATT | 2.50 | -128 | 2.4 | -0.1 | 2/5 | -0.4 | 32 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1049 | NFL | Jordan Mason 10 games | vs GB@ | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +155 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.2 | 32 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1050 | NFL | Jordan Mason 10 games | vs GB@ | RUSH ATT | 10.50 | -125 | 8.6 | -1.9 | 2/5 | +1.2 | 32 | F | 15.0 | WIN | LOSS |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.