Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1001 | MLB | Tristan Peters 10 games | CWS vs CHW@CLE | RBI | 1.5 | +1000 | 0.2 | -1.3 | 0/5 | +0.1 | 26 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1002 | MLB | Turner Hill 10 games | SF vs SFG@STL | H | 1.5 | +360 | 0.2 | -1.3 | 0/5 | -0.4 | 26 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1003 | MLB | Turner Hill 10 games | SF vs SFG@STL | RBI | 1.5 | +800 | 0 | -1.5 | 0/5 | -0.3 | 26 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1004 | MLB | Tyler Stephenson 10 games | CIN vs LAD@CIN | RBI | 1.5 | +900 | 0.2 | -1.3 | 0/5 | -0.1 | 26 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1005 | MLB | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10 games | TOR vs DET@TOR | RBI | 1.5 | +550 | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0/5 | +0.4 | 26 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1006 | MLB | Walker Jenkins 10 games | MIN vs NYY@MIN | H | 1.5 | +450 | 0.2 | -1.3 | 0/5 | -0.1 | 26 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1007 | MLB | Weston Wilson 10 games | SEA vs SEA@LAA | RBI | 1.5 | +900 | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0/5 | +0.5 | 26 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1008 | MLB | Will Smith 10 games | LAD vs LAD@CIN | RBI | 1.5 | +475 | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0/5 | -0.1 | 26 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1009 | MLB | Xavier Edwards 10 games | MIA vs MIA@ARI | RBI | 1.5 | +800 | 0.2 | -1.3 | 0/5 | -0.4 | 26 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1010 | MLB | Zach McKinstry 9 games | DET vs DET@TOR | H | 1.5 | +400 | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0/5 | -0.4 | 26 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1011 | MLB | Zach McKinstry 9 games | DET vs DET@TOR | RBI | 1.5 | +1000 | 0 | -1.5 | 0/5 | +0 | 26 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1012 | NFL | Bo Nix 10 games | vs DEN | PASS ATT | 34.50 | -105 | 0 | -34.5 | 0/5 | +0 | 25 | F | 28.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1013 | NFL | Bo Nix 10 games | vs DEN | PASS CMP | 21.50 | -110 | 0 | -21.5 | 0/5 | +0 | 25 | F | 17.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1014 | NFL | Courtland Sutton 10 games | vs DEN | REC YDS | 42.50 | -113 | 40.2 | -2.3 | 2/5 | -27.1 | 25 | F | 11.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1015 | NFL | Patrick Mahomes 10 games | vs DEN | PASS CMP | 20.50 | -109 | 0 | -20.5 | 0/5 | +0 | 25 | F | 15.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1016 | NFL | Travis Kelce 10 games | vs DEN | REC | 3.50 | -158 | 3.4 | -0.1 | 2/5 | -1.5 | 25 | F | 3.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1017 | MLB | Ian Happ 10 games | CHC vs ATL@CHC | H | 0.5 | -148 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.2 | 25 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1018 | MLB | Ivan Herrera 10 games | STL vs SFG@STL | H | 0.5 | -200 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 2/5 | -1.1 | 25 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1019 | MLB | Oswald Peraza 10 games | LAA vs SEA@LAA | H | 0.5 | -140 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1/5 | +0.2 | 25 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 1020 | MLB | Turner Hill 10 games | SF vs SFG@STL | H | 0.5 | -140 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.4 | 25 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1021 | MLB | Brett Harris 3 games | SF vs SFG@STL | H | 0.5 | -128 | 0 | -0.5 | 0/3 | +0 | 24 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1022 | NFL | Jaylen Waddle 10 games | vs DEN | REC YDS | 62.50 | +105 | 37.6 | -24.9 | 1/5 | -19.3 | 23 | F | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1023 | NFL | Jaylen Waddle 10 games | vs DEN | REC YDS | 67.50 | +130 | 37.6 | -29.9 | 1/5 | -19.3 | 23 | F | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1024 | NFL | Patrick Mahomes 10 games | vs DEN | PASS ATT | 32.50 | -120 | 0 | -32.5 | 0/5 | +0 | 23 | F | 27.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1025 | NFL | Travis Kelce 10 games | vs DEN | REC YDS | 46.50 | +115 | 26.4 | -20.1 | 1/5 | -29.6 | 23 | F | 71.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1026 | NFL | Travis Kelce 10 games | vs DEN | REC YDS | 51.50 | +145 | 26.4 | -25.1 | 1/5 | -29.6 | 23 | F | 71.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1027 | NFL | Xavier Worthy 10 games | vs DEN | REC | 3.50 | +125 | 2.2 | -1.3 | 1/5 | -1.6 | 23 | F | 3.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1028 | MLB | Angel Genao 10 games | CLE vs CHW@CLE | H | 0.5 | -152 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1/5 | +0.3 | 23 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 1029 | MLB | Bo Bichette 10 games | NYM vs BAL@NYM | RBI | 1.5 | +700 | 0.2 | -1.3 | 0/5 | -0.7 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1030 | MLB | Cal Raleigh 10 games | SEA vs SEA@LAA | H | 1.5 | +380 | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0/5 | -0.7 | 23 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1031 | MLB | Freddie Freeman 10 games | LAD vs LAD@CIN | H | 0.5 | -213 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.5 | 23 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 1032 | MLB | Freddy Fermin 10 games | SD vs SDP@COL | H | 0.5 | -220 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1/5 | +0.4 | 23 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1033 | MLB | Hector Rodriguez 10 games | CIN vs LAD@CIN | H | 1.5 | +400 | 0.2 | -1.3 | 0/5 | -0.6 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1034 | MLB | Ivan Herrera 10 games | STL vs SFG@STL | H | 1.5 | +260 | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0/5 | -1.1 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1035 | MLB | Ivan Herrera 10 games | STL vs SFG@STL | RBI | 1.5 | +700 | 0 | -1.5 | 0/5 | -0.8 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1036 | MLB | Jordan Walker 10 games | STL vs SFG@STL | H | 0.5 | -220 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1/5 | +0.1 | 23 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1037 | MLB | Josh Bell 10 games | MIN vs NYY@MIN | H | 0.5 | -180 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 1/5 | -0.2 | 23 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1038 | MLB | Osleivis Basabe 10 games | SF vs SFG@STL | H | 0.5 | -167 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1/5 | -0.4 | 23 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 1039 | MLB | Ryan Jeffers 10 games | MIN vs NYY@MIN | RBI | 1.5 | +600 | 0.2 | -1.3 | 0/5 | -1.2 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1040 | MLB | TJ Rumfield 10 games | COL vs SDP@COL | RBI | 1.5 | +600 | 0 | -1.5 | 0/5 | -0.6 | 23 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1041 | MLB | Tommy Edman 10 games | LAD vs LAD@CIN | H | 1.5 | +200 | 0 | -1.5 | 0/5 | -0.7 | 23 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1042 | NFL | Jaylen Waddle 10 games | vs DEN | REC YDS | 57.50 | -110 | 37.6 | -19.9 | 1/5 | -19.3 | 22 | F | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1043 | NFL | Travis Kelce 10 games | vs DEN | REC YDS | 44.50 | -105 | 26.4 | -18.1 | 1/5 | -29.6 | 22 | F | 71.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1044 | MLB | Alex Call 10 games | LAD vs LAD@CIN | H | 0.5 | -150 | 0 | -0.5 | 0/5 | -0.2 | 22 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 1045 | NFL | Bo Nix 10 games | vs DEN | PASS ATT | 33.50 | -135 | 0 | -33.5 | 0/5 | +0 | 21 | F | 28.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1046 | NFL | Jaylen Waddle 10 games | vs DEN | REC YDS | 55.50 | -114 | 37.6 | -17.9 | 1/5 | -19.3 | 20 | F | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1047 | NFL | Jaylen Waddle 10 games | vs DEN | REC YDS | 56.50 | -116 | 37.6 | -18.9 | 1/5 | -19.3 | 20 | F | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1048 | NFL | Jaylen Waddle 10 games | vs DEN | REC YDS | 58.50 | -113 | 37.6 | -20.9 | 1/5 | -19.3 | 20 | F | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1049 | NFL | Jaylen Waddle 10 games | vs DEN | REC YDS | 59.50 | -120 | 37.6 | -21.9 | 1/5 | -19.3 | 20 | F | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1050 | NFL | Travis Kelce 10 games | vs DEN | REC YDS | 41.50 | -112 | 26.4 | -15.1 | 1/5 | -29.6 | 20 | F | 71.0 | WIN | LOSS |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.