Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 951 | NFL | Brock Purdy 10 games | vs SF@SEA | PASS YDS | 228.50 | +100 | 229.4 | +0.9 | 2/5 | +24.4 | 57 | D | 189.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 952 | NFL | Carnell Tate 4 games | vs HOU@TEN | REC | 4.50 | +110 | 5.5 | +1 | 2/4 | +0.5 | 57 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 953 | NFL | Dohnte Meyers 4 games | vs CIN@MIA | REC | 1.50 | +105 | 2.8 | +1.3 | 2/4 | +0.6 | 57 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 954 | NFL | Justice Hill 9 games | vs BAL@ATL | RUSH YDS | 11.50 | +100 | 12 | +0.5 | 2/5 | +5 | 57 | D | 73.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 955 | NFL | Juwan Johnson 10 games | vs MIN@NO | REC | 3.50 | -147 | 4.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | +1.1 | 57 | D | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 956 | NFL | Sam Darnold 10 games | vs SF@SEA | PASS TDS | 1.50 | -110 | 2 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.6 | 57 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 957 | NFL | Woody Marks 10 games | vs HOU@TEN | REC YDS | 9.50 | +110 | 10 | +0.5 | 2/5 | +4 | 57 | D | 23.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 958 | NFL | Chase Brown 10 games | vs CIN@MIA | REC YDS | 20.50 | -113 | 24.2 | +3.7 | 2/5 | -1.8 | 56 | D | 21.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 959 | NFL | Chase Brown 10 games | vs CIN@MIA | RUSH YDS | 54.50 | -130 | 55.8 | +1.3 | 4/5 | -9.7 | 56 | D | 39.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 960 | NFL | Deshaun Watson 4 games | vs CLE@NYJ | RUSH YDS | 24.50 | -140 | 31.8 | +7.3 | 2/4 | -2.1 | 56 | D | 40.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 961 | NFL | Eli Raridon 3 games | vs LV@NE | REC | 0.50 | -175 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/3 | +0 | 56 | D | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 962 | NFL | Gunnar Helm 10 games | vs HOU@TEN | REC YDS | 9.50 | -125 | 12.2 | +2.7 | 3/5 | -9.4 | 56 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 963 | NFL | Harold Fannin Jr. 10 games | vs CLE@NYJ | REC YDS | 33.50 | -113 | 36.6 | +3.1 | 2/5 | -2.2 | 56 | D | 4.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 964 | NFL | Justice Hill 9 games | vs BAL@ATL | RUSH YDS | 10.50 | -140 | 12 | +1.5 | 2/5 | +5 | 56 | D | 73.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 965 | NFL | Justin Herbert 10 games | vs DEN@LAC | PASS ATT | 25.50 | +100 | 23.8 | -1.7 | 4/5 | +18.8 | 56 | D | 24.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 966 | NFL | Michael Mayer 10 games | vs LV@NE | REC | 3.50 | -105 | 4.6 | +1.1 | 2/5 | +1 | 56 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 967 | NFL | Mike Washington Jr. 4 games | vs LV@NE | RUSH YDS | 26.50 | -113 | 30 | +3.5 | 2/4 | -3.7 | 56 | D | 5.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 968 | NFL | Noah Fant 10 games | vs MIN@NO | REC YDS | 13.50 | -105 | 14.2 | +0.7 | 2/5 | +5.8 | 56 | D | 7.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 969 | NFL | Samaje Perine 10 games | vs CIN@MIA | RUSH YDS | 13.50 | -111 | 16.8 | +3.3 | 2/5 | -15.3 | 56 | D | 68.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 970 | NFL | Tony Pollard 10 games | vs HOU@TEN | RUSH YDS | 50.50 | -113 | 53.8 | +3.3 | 2/5 | -16.1 | 56 | D | 52.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 971 | NFL | Trevor Lawrence 10 games | vs PHI@JAX | RUSH YDS | 9.50 | -114 | 13 | +3.5 | 2/5 | -8.6 | 56 | D | 25.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 972 | NFL | Tyjae Spears 10 games | vs HOU@TEN | RUSH YDS | 14.50 | -105 | 16.6 | +2.1 | 2/5 | -1.2 | 56 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 973 | NFL | Xavier Hutchinson 10 games | vs HOU@TEN | REC | 2.50 | -155 | 3.2 | +0.7 | 5/5 | +0.3 | 56 | D | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 974 | MLB | Christian Yelich 10 games | MIL vs LAD@MIL | H | 0.5 | -130 | 1 | +0.5 | 4/5 | +0.3 | 56 | D | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 975 | NFL | Aaron Rodgers 10 games | vs IND@PIT | PASS ATT | 33.50 | -105 | 30.6 | -2.9 | 4/5 | +22.4 | 55 | D | 31.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 976 | NFL | Amon-Ra St. Brown 10 games | vs DET@ARI | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +290 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.3 | 55 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 977 | NFL | Antonio Williams 4 games | vs NYG@WSH | REC | 2.50 | +400 | 3 | +0.5 | 3/4 | -0.3 | 55 | D | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 978 | NFL | Bhayshul Tuten 10 games | vs PHI@JAX | REC | 0.50 | -240 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +1.1 | 55 | D | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 979 | NFL | Bhayshul Tuten 10 games | vs PHI@JAX | RUSH YDS | 65.50 | -113 | 65.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +30.6 | 55 | D | 72.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 980 | NFL | Bijan Robinson 10 games | vs BAL@ATL | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +130 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.3 | 55 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 981 | NFL | Bo Nix 10 games | vs DEN@LAC | INT | 0.50 | +210 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 4/5 | +0.1 | 55 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 982 | NFL | Brock Bowers 10 games | vs LV@NE | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +138 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 4/5 | +0.1 | 55 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 983 | NFL | Brock Purdy 10 games | vs SF@SEA | RUSH ATT | 4.50 | +100 | 5 | +0.5 | 3/5 | -0.1 | 55 | D | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 984 | NFL | Derrick Henry 10 games | vs BAL@ATL | REC | 0.50 | -165 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | +1.1 | 55 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 985 | NFL | Ian Thomas 10 games | vs LV@NE | REC | 0.50 | +120 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | -0.3 | 55 | D | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 986 | NFL | Jahmyr Gibbs 10 games | vs DET@ARI | REC | 4.50 | -120 | 5 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.6 | 55 | D | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 987 | NFL | Jaxon Smith-Njigba 10 games | vs SF@SEA | REC | 5.50 | -160 | 7.2 | +1.7 | 3/5 | +0.8 | 55 | D | 5.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 988 | NFL | Jaxon Smith-Njigba 10 games | vs SF@SEA | REC YDS | 101.50 | -115 | 101.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +26.5 | 55 | D | 102.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 989 | NFL | Jayden Daniels 6 games | vs NYG@WSH | PASS YDS | 127.50 | +122 | 129.4 | +1.9 | 3/5 | -30.3 | 55 | D | 199.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 990 | NFL | Jerry Jeudy 10 games | vs CLE@NYJ | REC YDS | 14.50 | +115 | 15.8 | +1.3 | 3/5 | -14.9 | 55 | D | 19.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 991 | NFL | Jonathan Taylor 10 games | vs IND@PIT | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +1500 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | +0.4 | 55 | D | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 992 | NFL | Josh Downs 10 games | vs IND@PIT | REC YDS | 52.50 | -111 | 52.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | +10.8 | 55 | D | 47.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 993 | NFL | MarShawn Lloyd 4 games | vs CHI@GB | REC YDS | 10.50 | -120 | 12.3 | +1.8 | 1/4 | +4.1 | 55 | D | 6.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 994 | NFL | Raheim Sanders 7 games | vs CLE@NYJ | REC | 1.50 | +390 | 2.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | +0.5 | 55 | D | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 995 | NFL | Rhamondre Stevenson 10 games | vs LV@NE | REC | 2.50 | -120 | 3.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | -0.8 | 55 | D | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 996 | NFL | Sam Darnold 10 games | vs SF@SEA | RUSH YDS | 4.50 | -115 | 5 | +0.5 | 4/5 | -1.1 | 55 | D | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 997 | NFL | Sam LaPorta 8 games | vs DET@ARI | REC YDS | 54.50 | -115 | 56.2 | +1.7 | 1/5 | +4 | 55 | D | 88.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 998 | MLB | Garrett Mitchell 6 games | MIL vs LAD@MIL | R | 0.5 | +250 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 4/5 | +0 | 55 | D | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 999 | MLB | Max Muncy 5 games | LAD vs LAD@MIL | R | 0.5 | +400 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 55 | D | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 1000 | NFL | C.J. Stroud 10 games | vs HOU@TEN | PASS TDS | 0.50 | -150 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | -0.4 | 54 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.