Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1001 | NFL | Chase Brown 10 games | vs CIN@MIA | REC YDS | 21.50 | +550 | 24.2 | +2.7 | 2/5 | -1.8 | 54 | F | 21.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1002 | NFL | Christian McCaffrey 10 games | vs SF@SEA | RUSH YDS | 49.50 | -110 | 50.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | -15.4 | 54 | F | 68.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1003 | NFL | Dareke Young 10 games | vs LV@NE | REC YDS | 6.50 | -114 | 7.2 | +0.7 | 2/5 | +8.4 | 54 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1004 | NFL | Deshaun Watson 4 games | vs CLE@NYJ | RUSH YDS | 29.50 | +155 | 31.8 | +2.3 | 2/4 | -2.1 | 54 | F | 40.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1005 | NFL | Isaiah Likely 10 games | vs NYG@WSH | REC YDS | 40.50 | -125 | 44.4 | +3.9 | 2/5 | -2.1 | 54 | F | 94.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1006 | NFL | Jacoby Brissett 10 games | vs DET@ARI | INT | 0.50 | -105 | 1 | +0.5 | 3/5 | +0.4 | 54 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1007 | NFL | Jaylen Warren 10 games | vs IND@PIT | RUSH YDS | 69.50 | -113 | 70.4 | +0.9 | 2/5 | +20.6 | 54 | F | 101.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1008 | NFL | Kayshon Boutte 10 games | vs HOU@TEN | REC YDS | 24.50 | -115 | 27.2 | +2.7 | 2/5 | -1 | 54 | F | 38.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1009 | NFL | Luther Burden III 10 games | vs CHI@GB | REC YDS | 47.50 | -110 | 48.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | -8.9 | 54 | F | 47.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1010 | NFL | Malik Taylor 10 games | vs CLE@NYJ | REC | 1.50 | -140 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | -0.3 | 54 | F | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1011 | NFL | Mason Taylor 10 games | vs CLE@NYJ | REC | 1.50 | -138 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | -0.3 | 54 | F | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1012 | NFL | Mason Taylor 10 games | vs CLE@NYJ | REC YDS | 16.50 | -110 | 18.2 | +1.7 | 3/5 | -2.9 | 54 | F | 24.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1013 | NFL | Pat Freiermuth 10 games | vs IND@PIT | REC YDS | 27.50 | -109 | 28.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | -6.8 | 54 | F | 44.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1014 | NFL | Rashod Bateman 10 games | vs BAL@ATL | REC | 1.50 | -148 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 3/5 | +2 | 54 | F | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1015 | NFL | Brock Purdy 10 games | vs SF@SEA | PASS CMP | 16.50 | +110 | 15.8 | -0.7 | 3/5 | +10.1 | 53 | F | 19.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1016 | NFL | Jameson Williams 10 games | vs DET@ARI | REC | 3.50 | -135 | 4.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | -1 | 53 | F | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1017 | NFL | Jared Goff 10 games | vs DET@ARI | PASS ATT | 32.50 | +100 | 32.2 | -0.3 | 3/5 | +24.6 | 53 | F | 30.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1018 | NFL | Josh Downs 10 games | vs IND@PIT | REC | 3.50 | -125 | 4.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | +1.3 | 53 | F | 3.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1019 | NFL | Justin Herbert 10 games | vs DEN@LAC | RUSH ATT | 4.50 | -135 | 5.6 | +1.1 | 3/5 | -1.4 | 53 | F | 6.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1020 | NFL | Samaje Perine 10 games | vs CIN@MIA | RUSH YDS | 14.50 | -107 | 16.8 | +2.3 | 2/5 | -15.3 | 53 | F | 68.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1021 | NFL | Tony Pollard 10 games | vs HOU@TEN | RUSH YDS | 51.50 | -109 | 53.8 | +2.3 | 2/5 | -16.1 | 53 | F | 52.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1022 | MLB | Teoscar Hernandez 10 games | LAD vs LAD@MIL | H | 0.5 | -125 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | -0.5 | 53 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 1023 | NFL | Bo Nix 10 games | vs DEN@LAC | PASS ATT | 27.50 | -140 | 27 | -0.5 | 4/5 | +22.2 | 52 | F | 27.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1024 | NFL | Brenton Strange 10 games | vs PHI@JAX | REC YDS | 34.50 | +100 | 35.2 | +0.7 | 1/5 | +10.6 | 52 | F | 68.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1025 | NFL | Darnell Mooney 10 games | vs NYG@WSH | REC | 1.50 | +160 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 4/5 | -0.6 | 52 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1026 | NFL | Derrick Henry 10 games | vs BAL@ATL | RUSH ATT | 21.50 | +100 | 21.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.8 | 52 | F | 24.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1027 | NFL | Deshaun Watson 4 games | vs CLE@NYJ | PASS CMP | 18.50 | -127 | 20 | +1.5 | 2/4 | +1.3 | 52 | F | 15.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1028 | NFL | DK Metcalf 10 games | vs IND@PIT | REC YDS | 49.50 | -120 | 51 | +1.5 | 1/5 | +2.3 | 52 | F | 12.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1029 | NFL | George Kittle 10 games | vs SF@SEA | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +500 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.7 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1030 | NFL | George Kittle 10 games | vs SF@SEA | REC | 2.50 | -120 | 3.4 | +0.9 | 3/5 | +-0 | 52 | F | 5.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1031 | NFL | Greg Dulcich 10 games | vs CIN@MIA | REC | 1.50 | -155 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | -0.4 | 52 | F | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1032 | NFL | Gunnar Helm 10 games | vs HOU@TEN | REC YDS | 10.50 | -118 | 12.2 | +1.7 | 3/5 | -9.4 | 52 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1033 | NFL | Jonathan Taylor 10 games | vs IND@PIT | REC | 1.50 | -155 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 52 | F | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1034 | NFL | Malik Washington 10 games | vs CIN@MIA | REC YDS | 45.50 | -110 | 45 | -0.5 | 3/5 | +25.1 | 52 | F | 43.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1035 | NFL | Malik Willis 8 games | vs CIN@MIA | RUSH YDS | 32.50 | -111 | 34.4 | +1.9 | 3/5 | -5 | 52 | F | 74.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1036 | NFL | Najee Harris 3 games | vs NYG@WSH | RUSH YDS | 28.50 | -115 | 29.3 | +0.8 | 2/3 | +0 | 52 | F | 9.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1037 | NFL | Terry McLaurin 10 games | vs NYG@WSH | REC YDS | 50.50 | -111 | 52.2 | +1.7 | 3/5 | -10.4 | 52 | F | 62.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1038 | NFL | Tyler Shough 10 games | vs MIN@NO | PASS ATT | 36.50 | -105 | 36 | -0.5 | 3/5 | +23.3 | 52 | F | 25.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1039 | MLB | Jackson Chourio 10 games | MIL vs LAD@MIL | H | 0.5 | -200 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | -0.4 | 52 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 1040 | MLB | William Contreras 10 games | MIL vs LAD@MIL | H | 0.5 | -165 | 1.2 | +0.7 | 4/5 | +0.3 | 52 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 1041 | NFL | Alvin Kamara 9 games | vs MIN@NO | REC YDS | 14.50 | -120 | 16.6 | +2.1 | 2/5 | -1.7 | 51 | F | -6.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1042 | NFL | Alvin Kamara 9 games | vs MIN@NO | RUSH YDS | 31.50 | -113 | 33.6 | +2.1 | 2/5 | -4.4 | 51 | F | 12.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1043 | NFL | Cole Kmet 10 games | vs CHI@GB | REC YDS | 13.50 | -115 | 15.8 | +2.3 | 2/5 | -11 | 51 | F | 8.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1044 | NFL | Colston Loveland 10 games | vs CHI@GB | REC | 2.50 | -105 | 3 | +0.5 | 3/5 | -0.9 | 51 | F | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1045 | NFL | Gunnar Helm 10 games | vs HOU@TEN | REC | 1.50 | -105 | 2 | +0.5 | 3/5 | -1.2 | 51 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1046 | NFL | Harold Fannin Jr. 10 games | vs CLE@NYJ | REC YDS | 34.50 | -111 | 36.6 | +2.1 | 2/5 | -2.2 | 51 | F | 4.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1047 | NFL | Isaiah Likely 10 games | vs NYG@WSH | REC | 4.50 | -108 | 4.8 | +0.3 | 3/5 | +0.8 | 51 | F | 11.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1048 | NFL | Isaiah Likely 10 games | vs NYG@WSH | REC YDS | 41.50 | -113 | 44.4 | +2.9 | 2/5 | -2.1 | 51 | F | 94.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1049 | NFL | Jakobi Meyers 10 games | vs PHI@JAX | REC YDS | 33.50 | -115 | 35.4 | +1.9 | 2/5 | +0.2 | 51 | F | 37.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1050 | NFL | Jared Goff 10 games | vs DET@ARI | PASS CMP | 24.50 | -125 | 21.8 | -2.7 | 4/5 | +16.8 | 51 | F | 19.0 | LOSS | WIN |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.