Pre-game prop analysis powered by recent player performance. Every prop graded before tipoff.
| # | Sport | Player | Matchup | Stat | Line | Odds | L5 Avg | Edge | Hit | Trend | Score | Grade | Final | Over | Under | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1151 | NFL | Jacory Croskey-Merritt 10 games | vs NYG@WSH | RUSH ATT | 13.50 | -105 | 13.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +1.6 | 47 | F | 11.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1152 | NFL | Jared Goff 10 games | vs DET@ARI | PASS ATT | 34.50 | -117 | 32.2 | -2.3 | 3/5 | +24.6 | 47 | F | 30.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1153 | NFL | Jared Goff 10 games | vs DET@ARI | PASS ATT | 35.50 | -111 | 32.2 | -3.3 | 3/5 | +24.6 | 47 | F | 30.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1154 | NFL | Jaxon Smith-Njigba 10 games | vs SF@SEA | REC | 7.50 | +125 | 7.2 | -0.3 | 3/5 | +0.8 | 47 | F | 5.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1155 | NFL | Jaylen Waddle 10 games | vs DEN@LAC | REC | 2.50 | -140 | 3.2 | +0.7 | 2/5 | +1.6 | 47 | F | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1156 | NFL | Jaylen Wright 10 games | vs CIN@MIA | RUSH YDS | 17.50 | -110 | 19.2 | +1.7 | 2/5 | -20.3 | 47 | F | 11.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1157 | NFL | Joe Burrow 10 games | vs CIN@MIA | PASS ATT | 32.50 | -120 | 31.4 | -1.1 | 3/5 | +25 | 47 | F | 32.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1158 | NFL | Joe Burrow 10 games | vs CIN@MIA | PASS CMP | 23.50 | -120 | 22.4 | -1.1 | 3/5 | +17.8 | 47 | F | 23.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1159 | NFL | Jonathan Taylor 10 games | vs IND@PIT | RUSH YDS | 83.50 | -114 | 75.8 | -7.7 | 3/5 | +10.9 | 47 | F | 45.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1160 | NFL | Jonathan Taylor 10 games | vs IND@PIT | RUSH YDS | 85.50 | -114 | 75.8 | -9.7 | 3/5 | +10.9 | 47 | F | 45.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1161 | NFL | Jonathan Taylor 10 games | vs IND@PIT | RUSH YDS | 86.50 | -113 | 75.8 | -10.7 | 3/5 | +10.9 | 47 | F | 45.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1162 | NFL | Josh Downs 10 games | vs IND@PIT | REC YDS | 54.50 | -114 | 52.6 | -1.9 | 3/5 | +10.8 | 47 | F | 47.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1163 | NFL | Josh Downs 10 games | vs IND@PIT | REC YDS | 55.50 | -112 | 52.6 | -2.9 | 3/5 | +10.8 | 47 | F | 47.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1164 | NFL | Kirk Cousins 10 games | vs LV@NE | PASS TDS | 2.50 | +175 | 2.4 | -0.1 | 3/5 | +0.8 | 47 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1165 | NFL | Malik Washington 10 games | vs CIN@MIA | REC YDS | 46.50 | -115 | 45 | -1.5 | 3/5 | +25.1 | 47 | F | 43.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1166 | NFL | Samaje Perine 10 games | vs CIN@MIA | RUSH YDS | 15.50 | -106 | 16.8 | +1.3 | 2/5 | -15.3 | 47 | F | 68.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1167 | NFL | Tre Harris 10 games | vs DEN@LAC | REC YDS | 48.50 | -114 | 45.8 | -2.7 | 3/5 | +24.4 | 47 | F | 16.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1168 | NFL | Tre Harris 10 games | vs DEN@LAC | REC YDS | 51.50 | -112 | 45.8 | -5.7 | 3/5 | +24.4 | 47 | F | 16.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1169 | NFL | Tre Harris 10 games | vs DEN@LAC | REC YDS | 52.50 | -115 | 45.8 | -6.7 | 3/5 | +24.4 | 47 | F | 16.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1170 | NFL | Tre Tucker 10 games | vs LV@NE | REC | 3.50 | +105 | 3.4 | -0.1 | 3/5 | +1.2 | 47 | F | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1171 | NFL | Brock Purdy 10 games | vs SF@SEA | PASS YDS | 229.50 | +100 | 229.4 | -0.1 | 2/5 | +24.4 | 46 | F | 189.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1172 | NFL | Cam Ward 10 games | vs HOU@TEN | PASS TDS | 0.50 | -115 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | -0.4 | 46 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1173 | NFL | Daniel Jones 10 games | vs IND@PIT | PASS TDS | 0.50 | +325 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | -0.5 | 46 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1174 | NFL | DK Metcalf 10 games | vs IND@PIT | REC YDS | 50.50 | -114 | 51 | +0.5 | 1/5 | +2.3 | 46 | F | 12.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1175 | NFL | Geno Smith 10 games | vs CLE@NYJ | PASS CMP | 17.50 | -140 | 17 | -0.5 | 3/5 | +13.5 | 46 | F | 17.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1176 | NFL | Joe Burrow 10 games | vs CIN@MIA | PASS TDS | 1.50 | -180 | 2 | +0.5 | 3/5 | -0.2 | 46 | F | 4.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1177 | NFL | Josh Cameron 4 games | vs PHI@JAX | REC | 0.50 | -215 | 1.3 | +0.8 | 3/4 | -0.3 | 46 | F | 3.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1178 | NFL | Justin Herbert 10 games | vs DEN@LAC | PASS TDS | 0.50 | -300 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 4/5 | -0.1 | 46 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1179 | NFL | Matthew Hibner 4 games | vs BAL@ATL | REC | 0.50 | -215 | 1.3 | +0.8 | 3/4 | +0.1 | 46 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1180 | NFL | Michael Wilson 10 games | vs DET@ARI | REC | 5.50 | -130 | 6 | +0.5 | 2/5 | +1.1 | 46 | F | 4.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1181 | NFL | Noah Fant 10 games | vs MIN@NO | REC YDS | 14.50 | +100 | 14.2 | -0.3 | 2/5 | +5.8 | 46 | F | 7.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1182 | NFL | Terry McLaurin 10 games | vs NYG@WSH | REC YDS | 51.50 | -115 | 52.2 | +0.7 | 3/5 | -10.4 | 46 | F | 62.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1183 | MLB | Luis Lara 10 games | MIL vs LAD@MIL | H | 0.5 | -120 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 3/5 | -0.3 | 46 | F | — | PENDING | PENDING | |
| 1184 | NFL | Alvin Kamara 9 games | vs MIN@NO | RUSH YDS | 32.50 | -113 | 33.6 | +1.1 | 2/5 | -4.4 | 45 | F | 12.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1185 | NFL | Braelon Allen 4 games | vs CLE@NYJ | REC | 1.50 | +245 | 1.5 | +0 | 2/4 | +0.5 | 45 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1186 | NFL | Brian Robinson Jr. 10 games | vs BAL@ATL | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +650 | 0.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +0.9 | 45 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1187 | NFL | Brock Purdy 10 games | vs SF@SEA | PASS ATT | 26.50 | -125 | 22.6 | -3.9 | 3/5 | +15 | 45 | F | 29.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1188 | NFL | Cam Skattebo 6 games | vs NYG@WSH | REC | 1.50 | +235 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +0.7 | 45 | F | 2.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1189 | NFL | Cam Ward 10 games | vs HOU@TEN | PASS CMP | 18.50 | -125 | 15 | -3.5 | 3/5 | +11.2 | 45 | F | 23.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1190 | NFL | Chris Rodriguez Jr. 10 games | vs PHI@JAX | RUSH ATT | 6.50 | -118 | 8.4 | +1.9 | 2/5 | -3.2 | 45 | F | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1191 | NFL | Christian Watson 10 games | vs CHI@GB | REC | 4.50 | +130 | 4.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.6 | 45 | F | 6.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1192 | NFL | Cody White 10 games | vs LV@NE | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +2200 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.7 | 45 | F | 0.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1193 | NFL | Cooper Kupp 10 games | vs SF@SEA | REC | 2.50 | +125 | 3 | +0.5 | 2/5 | -0.7 | 45 | F | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1194 | NFL | Darius Cooper 10 games | vs PHI@JAX | ANYTIME TD | 0.50 | +650 | 0.6 | +0.1 | 2/5 | +0.7 | 45 | F | 1.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1195 | NFL | DeMario Douglas 10 games | vs LV@NE | REC YDS | 24.50 | -120 | 25.4 | +0.9 | 2/5 | +0.2 | 45 | F | 65.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1196 | NFL | Dohnte Meyers 4 games | vs CIN@MIA | REC | 2.50 | +600 | 2.8 | +0.3 | 2/4 | +0.6 | 45 | F | 2.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1197 | NFL | Geno Smith 10 games | vs CLE@NYJ | RUSH YDS | 7.50 | -110 | 7.4 | -0.1 | 2/5 | +4 | 45 | F | 7.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1198 | NFL | Harold Fannin Jr. 10 games | vs CLE@NYJ | REC | 3.50 | +130 | 3.8 | +0.3 | 2/5 | +0.5 | 45 | F | 1.0 | LOSS | WIN | |
| 1199 | NFL | Isaiah Likely 10 games | vs NYG@WSH | REC YDS | 42.50 | -113 | 44.4 | +1.9 | 2/5 | -2.1 | 45 | F | 94.0 | WIN | LOSS | |
| 1200 | NFL | Jakobi Meyers 10 games | vs PHI@JAX | REC YDS | 34.50 | -115 | 35.4 | +0.9 | 2/5 | +0.2 | 45 | F | 37.0 | WIN | LOSS |
Every prop scored on a 0–100 scale before tipoff — built to separate high-confidence plays from coin flips.
The Prop Grader analyzes every available player prop before games begin. It pulls recent performance data — the last 5 to 10 games — and runs each prop through a multi-factor scoring model. The result is a composite score and letter grade that tells you how confident the data is behind any given prop.
Scoring Factors
Edge vs Line (up to 35 pts) — How far the player's recent average sits above or below the prop line. A large positive edge means the player has been consistently clearing this number.
Hit Rate (up to 25 pts) — Out of the last 5 games, how many times did the player actually beat this line? A 5/5 hit rate earns full marks.
Trend (up to 15 pts) — Is the player trending up or down? Compares the last 3 games against the last 10 to detect momentum shifts.
Role Stability (up to 15 pts) — For NBA, this checks minutes consistency. A starter playing 34+ minutes with low variance is more predictable than someone fluctuating between 20 and 35.
Odds Value (up to 10 pts) — Props with plus-money or short juice are more valuable than heavily juiced lines. Better odds mean better expected value.
Grade Scale
A (85–100) — Elite. Strong edge, near-perfect hit rate, positive trend, stable role. These are the highest-confidence props on the board.
B (75–84) — Strong. Most factors are favorable. Solid plays with data backing them up.
C (65–74) — Average. The numbers lean positive but there may be a weak factor pulling the score down.
D (55–64) — Below average. The edge is thin or the recent track record is inconsistent.
F (below 55) — Weak. The data doesn't support this prop. Proceed with caution or skip entirely.
Grades are computed before tipoff using data available at that time. After games complete, each prop is matched against the actual box score and marked as a win, loss, or push.