Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-09 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

344

Total Found

225

Shown

225

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Freddy Fermin ELITE	3/3	CIN @ SD	C	Chase Burns RHB vs RHP Average 65% ERA 2.14	Home Runs	0.5	+1000	140.9	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	9.1%	90.9%	0	CIN @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final/11 L
2	Freddy Fermin ELITE	3/3	CIN @ SD	C	Chase Burns RHB vs RHP Average 65% ERA 2.14	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	140.0	2, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	10.0%	90.0%	0	CIN @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final/11 L
3	Brice Turang ELITE	3/3	MIL @ OAK	2B	J.T. Ginn LHB vs RHP Average 49% ERA 3.15	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	132.6	3, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	17.4%	82.6%	0	MIL @ ATH 10:05 PM ET Final L
4	Zach Neto ELITE	3/3	HOU @ LAA	DH	Kai-Wei Teng RHB vs RHP ERA 3.71	Home Runs	0.5	+425	131.0	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	19.0%	81.0%	0	HOU @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
5	Blaze Alexander ELITE	3/3	SEA @ BAL		Logan Gilbert RHB vs RHP Average 45% ERA 3.62	Runs Batted In	0.5	+284	124.0	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	26.0%	74.0%	0	SEA @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final/10 L
6	Tristan Peters ELITE	3/3	ATL @ CWS	CF	Grant Holmes LHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 4.05	Runs Batted In	0.5	+245	121.0	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	29.0%	71.0%	0	ATL @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Final/10 L
7	Jordan Walker ELITE	3/3	STL @ NYM	RF	Freddy Peralta RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.04	Hits	1.5	+200	116.7	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	33.3%	66.7%	1	STL @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
8	Ryan Ward ELITE	3/3	LAD @ PIT		Paul Skenes LHB vs RHP Weak 25% ERA 2.84	Runs Batted In	0.5	+195	116.1	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	33.9%	66.1%	1	LAD @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final W
9	William Contreras ELITE	3/3	MIL @ OAK	C	J.T. Ginn RHB vs RHP Average 49% ERA 3.15	Hits	1.5	+165	112.3	3, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	37.7%	62.3%	0	MIL @ ATH 10:05 PM ET Final L
10	Jake Bauers ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ OAK	1B	J.T. Ginn LHB vs RHP Average 49% ERA 3.15	Runs Batted In	0.5	+106	101.5	3, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	48.5%	51.5%	0	MIL @ ATH 10:05 PM ET Final L
11	Ryan Ward ELITE	3/3	LAD @ PIT		Paul Skenes LHB vs RHP Weak 25% ERA 2.84	Hits	0.5	-125	94.4	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	55.6%	44.4%	1	LAD @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final W
12	Brett Baty ELITE	3/3	STL @ NYM	1B	Dustin May LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.21	Hits	0.5	-132	93.1	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	56.9%	43.1%	0	STL @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
13	Drew Millas ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ SF		Adrian Houser S vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 5.54	Hits	0.5	-133	92.9	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	57.1%	42.9%	0	WSH @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
14	Nathan Lukes ELITE	3/3	PHI @ TOR	RF	Zack Wheeler LHB vs RHP Average 68% ERA 2.22	Hits	0.5	-135	92.6	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	57.4%	42.6%	1	PHI @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final W
15	Ernie Clement	3/3	PHI @ TOR	2B	Zack Wheeler RHB vs RHP Average 68% ERA 2.22	Home Runs	0.5	+1200	92.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	7.7%	59.0%	0	PHI @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
16	Blaze Alexander ELITE	3/3	SEA @ BAL		Logan Gilbert RHB vs RHP Average 45% ERA 3.62	Hits	0.5	-140	91.7	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	58.3%	41.7%	0	SEA @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final/10 L
17	Jose Fermin ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ NYM	LF	Freddy Peralta RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.04	Hits	0.5	-143	91.2	1, 3, 1	3/3 100.0%	58.8%	41.2%	N/A	STL @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final
18	Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ TOR	PH	Dylan Cease LHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.91	Home Runs	0.5	+1000	90.9	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	0	PHI @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
19	Freddy Fermin ELITE	3/3	CIN @ SD	C	Chase Burns RHB vs RHP Average 65% ERA 2.14	Hits	0.5	-150	90.0	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.0%	40.0%	0	CIN @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final/11 L
20	Esmerlyn Valdez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ PIT		Eric Lauer RHB vs LHP ERA 5.47	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	LAD @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final
21	Josh Lowe ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	HOU @ LAA	RF	Kai-Wei Teng LHB vs RHP ERA 3.71	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	HOU @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final
22	Matt McLain	3/3	CIN @ SD	2B	Lucas Giolito RHB vs RHP ERA 4.35	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	CIN @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final/11 L
23	Enrique Hernandez ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ PIT	3B	Paul Skenes RHB vs RHP Weak 25% ERA 2.84	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	LAD @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final
24	A.J. Ewing ELITE	3/3	STL @ NYM	CF	Dustin May LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.21	Hits	0.5	-156	89.1	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.9%	39.1%	2	STL @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final W
25	Matt McLain	3/3	CIN @ SD	2B	Lucas Giolito RHB vs RHP ERA 4.35	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	CIN @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final/11 L

Showing 1–25 of 225 plays

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