Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-11 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

210

Total Found

144

Shown

144

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Ryan Ward ELITE	3/3	LAD @ PIT		Mitch Keller LHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 5.14	Runs Batted In	0.5	+195	116.1	4, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	33.9%	66.1%	0	LAD @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
2	Otto Lopez ELITE	3/3	ARI @ MIA	SS	TBD	Hits	1.5	+190	115.5	2, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	34.5%	65.5%	2	ARI @ MIA 1:10 PM ET Final W
3	Kyle Tucker ELITE	3/3	LAD @ PIT	RF	Mitch Keller LHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 5.14	Runs Batted In	0.5	+161	111.7	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	38.3%	61.7%	2	LAD @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final W
4	Evan Carter ELITE	3/3	TEX @ KC	CF	Michael Wacha LHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.58	Hits	0.5	-104	99.0	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	51.0%	49.0%	1	TEX @ KC 2:10 PM ET Final W
5	Francisco Alvarez ELITE	3/3	STL @ NYM	C	Hunter Dobbins RHB vs RHP ERA 3.63	Hits	0.5	-120	95.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	54.5%	45.5%	1	STL @ NYM 1:10 PM ET Final W
6	Ryan Ward ELITE	3/3	LAD @ PIT		Mitch Keller LHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 5.14	Hits	0.5	-125	94.4	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	55.6%	44.4%	0	LAD @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
7	Max Muncy ELITE	3/3	LAD @ PIT	PH	Mitch Keller LHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 5.14	Hits	0.5	-135	92.6	1, 3, 1	3/3 100.0%	57.4%	42.6%	0	LAD @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
8	Tyler O'Neill ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ BAL		Bryan Woo RHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 4.28	Hits	0.5	-140	91.7	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	58.3%	41.7%	N/A	SEA @ BAL 7:00 PM ET Final
9	Jose Fermin ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ NYM	LF	Christian Scott RHB vs RHP ERA 3.10	Hits	0.5	-143	91.2	2, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	58.8%	41.2%	N/A	STL @ NYM 1:10 PM ET Final
10	Esmerlyn Valdez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ PIT		Justin Wrobleski RHB vs LHP Ace 99% ERA 2.95	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	LAD @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
11	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	ARI @ MIA	DH	Tyler Phillips RHB vs RHP ERA 1.86	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	ARI @ MIA 1:10 PM ET Final L
12	Enrique Hernandez ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ PIT	3B	Mitch Keller RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 5.14	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	LAD @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final
13	LuJames Groover ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ MIA		Tyler Phillips RHB vs RHP ERA 1.86	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	1	ARI @ MIA 1:10 PM ET Final W
14	Heriberto Hernandez ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ MIA	LF	TBD	Hits	0.5	-160	88.5	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	61.5%	38.5%	0	ARI @ MIA 1:10 PM ET Final L
15	Seiya Suzuki ELITE	3/3	CHC @ COL	RF	Ryan Feltner RHB vs RHP ERA 5.20	Hits	0.5	-162	88.2	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	61.8%	38.2%	1	CHC @ COL 3:10 PM ET Final W
16	Spencer Horwitz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ PIT	1B	Justin Wrobleski LHB vs LHP Ace 99% ERA 2.95	Home Runs	0.5	+700	87.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	LAD @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
17	Carter Jensen ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ KC	C	Kumar Rocker LHB vs RHP ERA 3.56	Hits	0.5	-175	86.4	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	63.6%	36.4%	1	TEX @ KC 2:10 PM ET Final W
18	Colson Montgomery ELITE	3/3	ATL @ CWS	SS	Martín Pérez LHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.90	Hits	0.5	-175	86.4	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	63.6%	36.4%	N/A	ATL @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Postponed
19	Royce Lewis ELITE	3/3	MIN @ DET	1B	Keider Montero RHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.61	Hits	0.5	-178	86.0	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	64.0%	36.0%	2	MIN @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final W
20	Drake Baldwin ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ CWS	DH	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	N/A	ATL @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Postponed
21	Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ DET	DH	Keider Montero S vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.61	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	MIN @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final L
22	Kyle Stowers	3/3	ARI @ MIA		TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	3, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	ARI @ MIA 1:10 PM ET Final L
23	Michael Busch ELITE	3/3	CHC @ COL	1B	Ryan Feltner LHB vs RHP ERA 5.20	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	2	CHC @ COL 3:10 PM ET Final W
24	Ryan Jeffers ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ DET	C	Keider Montero RHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.61	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	MIN @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final
25	Chase Meidroth ELITE	3/3	ATL @ CWS	2B	Martín Pérez RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.90	Hits	0.5	-200	83.3	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	66.7%	33.3%	N/A	ATL @ CHW 7:40 PM ET Postponed

Showing 1–25 of 144 plays

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