Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-15 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

245

Total Found

151

Shown

151

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Noelvi Marte ELITE	3/3	NYM @ CIN		Tobias Myers RHB vs RHP ERA 5.71	Home Runs	0.5	+650	136.7	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	13.3%	86.7%	0	NYM @ CIN 7:10 PM ET Final L
2	Troy Johnston ELITE	3/3	COL @ CHC	1B	Shota Imanaga LHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 4.26	Runs Batted In	0.5	+286	124.1	4, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	25.9%	74.1%	0	COL @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final L
3	Byron Buxton ELITE	3/3	MIN @ TEX		MacKenzie Gore RHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.07	Hits	1.5	+280	123.7	3, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	26.3%	73.7%	1	MIN @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
4	TJ Rumfield ELITE	3/3	COL @ CHC	1B	Shota Imanaga LHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 4.26	Hits	1.5	+280	123.7	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	26.3%	73.7%	0	COL @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final L
5	Juan Soto ELITE	3/3	NYM @ CIN	LF	Chase Burns LHB vs RHP Average 65% ERA 2.01	Hits	1.5	+260	122.2	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	27.8%	72.2%	0	NYM @ CIN 7:10 PM ET Final L
6	Bo Bichette ELITE	3/3	NYM @ CIN	3B	Chase Burns RHB vs RHP Average 65% ERA 2.01	Hits	1.5	+200	116.7	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	33.3%	66.7%	3	NYM @ CIN 7:10 PM ET Final W
7	Connor Norby ELITE	3/3	MIA @ PHI		Zack Wheeler RHB vs RHP Average 68% ERA 2.01	Hits	0.5	-110	97.6	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	52.4%	47.6%	0	MIA @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
8	Nasim Nunez	3/3	KC @ WSH		Mitch Spence S vs RHP ERA 13.50	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1000	90.9	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	0	KC @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
9	Josh Lowe ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAA @ ARI	RF	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	LAA @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final
10	Rodolfo Duran	3/3	SD @ STL		Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.75	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	SD @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
11	Enrique Hernandez ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ LAD	3B	Nick Martinez RHB vs RHP Good 82% ERA 2.60	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	TB @ LAD 10:00 PM ET Final
12	Vaughn Grissom ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAA @ ARI	1B	TBD	Hits	0.5	-160	88.5	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	61.5%	38.5%	N/A	LAA @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final
13	Donovan Walton ELITE	3/3	LAA @ ARI		TBD	Hits	0.5	-165	87.7	1, 3, 1	3/3 100.0%	62.3%	37.7%	2	LAA @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final W
14	Brice Matthews	3/3	DET @ HOU		Drew Anderson RHB vs RHP ERA 3.78	Home Runs	0.5	+700	87.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	DET @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
15	Kody Clemens ELITE	3/3	MIN @ TEX	2B	MacKenzie Gore LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.07	Hits	0.5	-185	85.1	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	64.9%	35.1%	0	MIN @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
16	Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ TEX	1B	MacKenzie Gore RHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.07	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	MIN @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
17	Brady House ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	KC @ WSH		Mitch Spence RHB vs RHP ERA 13.50	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	KC @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final
18	Ryan Jeffers ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ TEX	C	MacKenzie Gore RHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.07	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	MIN @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final
19	Kameron Misner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ WSH		Andrew Alvarez LHB vs LHP ERA 3.49	Hits	1.5	+475	82.6	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	N/A	KC @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final
20	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ HOU	1B	Kai-Wei Teng RHB vs RHP ERA 4.31	Home Runs	0.5	+475	82.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	1	DET @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final W
21	Max Muncy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ OAK		Jared Jones LHB vs RHP ERA 6.23	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	81.8	3, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	N/A	PIT @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final
22	Alec Burleson	3/3	SD @ STL	1B	Wandy Peralta LHB vs LHP ERA 1.96	Home Runs	0.5	+400	80.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	0	SD @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
23	Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ LAD	PH	Eric Lauer LHB vs LHP ERA 5.37	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	0	TB @ LAD 10:00 PM ET Final L
24	Christian Walker	3/3	DET @ HOU	1B	Drew Anderson RHB vs RHP ERA 3.78	Home Runs	0.5	+375	78.9	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	21.1%	45.6%	0	DET @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
25	James Wood	3/3	KC @ WSH		Mitch Spence LHB vs RHP ERA 13.50	Home Runs	0.5	+375	78.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	21.1%	45.6%	0	KC @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 151 plays

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