Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-15 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

245

Total Found

151

Shown

151

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ LAD	C	Eric Lauer RHB vs LHP ERA 5.37	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	1, 4, 2	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	0	TB @ LAD 10:00 PM ET Final L
27	Alika Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ OAK		Jared Jones RHB vs RHP ERA 6.23	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	N/A	PIT @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final
28	Blaze Jordan	3/3	SD @ STL		Wandy Peralta RHB vs LHP ERA 1.96	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	0	SD @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
29	Denzer Guzman	3/3	LAA @ ARI	3B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	1	LAA @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
30	Ezequiel Tovar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CHC	SS	Shota Imanaga RHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 4.26	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	3, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	0	COL @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final L
31	Kyle Karros	3/3	COL @ CHC	3B	Shota Imanaga RHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 4.26	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	4, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	0	COL @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final L
32	Lawrence Butler	3/3	PIT @ OAK		Jared Jones LHB vs RHP ERA 6.23	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	2	PIT @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final W
33	Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ TEX		MacKenzie Gore RHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.07	Home Runs	0.5	+325	76.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	23.5%	43.1%	1	MIN @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final W
34	Michael Massey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ WSH	2B	Andrew Alvarez LHB vs LHP ERA 3.49	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	N/A	KC @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final
35	Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ TEX	1B	MacKenzie Gore RHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.07	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	MIN @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
36	Wyatt Langford	3/3	MIN @ TEX	LF	Mike Paredes RHB vs RHP ERA 4.20	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	1, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	MIN @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
37	Zack Gelof	3/3	PIT @ OAK		Jared Jones RHB vs RHP ERA 6.23	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	PIT @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
38	Evan Carter ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ TEX	CF	Mike Paredes LHB vs RHP ERA 4.20	Runs Batted In	0.5	+293	74.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	25.4%	41.2%	N/A	MIN @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final
39	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ LAD	1B	Eric Lauer LHB vs LHP ERA 5.37	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	2	TB @ LAD 10:00 PM ET Final W
40	Konnor Griffin ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PIT @ OAK	SS	J.T. Ginn RHB vs RHP Average 49% ERA 2.91	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	N/A	PIT @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final
41	Liam Hicks	3/3	MIA @ PHI		Zack Wheeler LHB vs RHP Average 68% ERA 2.01	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	2	MIA @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final W
42	Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ HOU	C	Kai-Wei Teng RHB vs RHP ERA 4.31	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	2	DET @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final W
43	JJ Wetherholt	3/3	SD @ STL	2B	Wandy Peralta LHB vs LHP ERA 1.96	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	SD @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
44	LaMonte Wade Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	DET @ HOU	PH	Drew Anderson LHB vs RHP ERA 3.78	Runs Batted In	0.5	+231	69.8	1, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	30.2%	36.5%	N/A	DET @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final
45	Mookie Betts	3/3	TB @ LAD	SS	Nick Martinez RHB vs RHP Good 82% ERA 2.60	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	1	TB @ LAD 10:00 PM ET Final L
46	Ivan Herrera	3/3	SD @ STL	DH	Wandy Peralta RHB vs LHP ERA 1.96	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	0	SD @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
47	James Wood	3/3	KC @ WSH		Mitch Spence LHB vs RHP ERA 13.50	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	1	KC @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
48	Jo Adell	3/3	LAA @ ARI		TBD	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	2, 4, 1	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	2	LAA @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final W
49	Ketel Marte	3/3	LAA @ ARI	2B	Walbert Ureña S vs RHP ERA 2.60	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	1	LAA @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
50	Maikel Garcia	3/3	KC @ WSH	3B	Andrew Alvarez RHB vs LHP ERA 3.49	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	3, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	1	KC @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L

Showing 26–50 of 151 plays

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