Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-06-15 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

245

Total Found

151

Shown

151

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
76	Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAA @ ARI		Walbert Ureña RHB vs RHP ERA 2.60	Hits	0.5	-156	39.1	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	60.9%	5.7%	N/A	LAA @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final
77	Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ WSH	C	Andrew Alvarez LHB vs LHP ERA 3.49	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	0, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	1	KC @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
78	Donovan Walton	3/3	LAA @ ARI		TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	1	LAA @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
79	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ STL	RF	Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.75	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0	SD @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
80	Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CHC		Shota Imanaga RHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 4.26	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0	COL @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final L
81	James McCann ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAA @ ARI	C	Walbert Ureña RHB vs RHP ERA 2.60	Hits	0.5	-160	38.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	61.5%	5.1%	N/A	LAA @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final
82	Troy Johnston	3/3	COL @ CHC	1B	Shota Imanaga LHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 4.26	Hits	0.5	-163	38.0	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	62.0%	4.7%	0	COL @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final L
83	Blaze Jordan	3/3	SD @ STL		Wandy Peralta RHB vs LHP ERA 1.96	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	0, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	SD @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
84	Brice Matthews	3/3	DET @ HOU		Drew Anderson RHB vs RHP ERA 3.78	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	DET @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
85	Denzer Guzman	3/3	LAA @ ARI	3B	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	1, 3, 0	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	LAA @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
86	JJ Wetherholt	3/3	SD @ STL	2B	Wandy Peralta LHB vs LHP ERA 1.96	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	3, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	SD @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
87	Jordan Lawlar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ ARI	CF	Walbert Ureña RHB vs RHP ERA 2.60	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	LAA @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
88	TJ Rumfield	3/3	COL @ CHC	1B	Shota Imanaga LHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 4.26	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	COL @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final L
89	Will Smith ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ LAD	C	Nick Martinez RHB vs RHP Good 82% ERA 2.60	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	N/A	TB @ LAD 10:00 PM ET Final
90	Gavin Sheets	3/3	SD @ STL	DH	Dustin May LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.75	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	0	SD @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
91	Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ TEX	1B	MacKenzie Gore RHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.07	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	0	MIN @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
92	Gabriel Gonzalez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ TEX		MacKenzie Gore RHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 4.07	Hits	0.5	-185	35.1	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	64.9%	1.8%	N/A	MIN @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final
93	Michael Massey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ WSH	2B	Andrew Alvarez LHB vs LHP ERA 3.49	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	N/A	KC @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final
94	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ HOU	1B	Kai-Wei Teng RHB vs RHP ERA 4.31	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	1	DET @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
95	Carlos Cortes	3/3	PIT @ OAK		Jared Jones LHB vs RHP ERA 6.23	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0	PIT @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
96	Francisco Lindor ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYM @ CIN	SS	Chase Burns S vs RHP Average 65% ERA 2.01	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	1, 3, 0	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	N/A	NYM @ CIN 7:10 PM ET Final
97	James Wood	3/3	KC @ WSH		Mitch Spence LHB vs RHP ERA 13.50	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0	KC @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
98	Maikel Garcia	3/3	KC @ WSH	3B	Andrew Alvarez RHB vs LHP ERA 3.49	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	3, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	2	KC @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final W
99	Taylor Walls ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ LAD	SS	Eric Lauer S vs LHP ERA 5.37	Hits	1.5	+500	33.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0	TB @ LAD 10:00 PM ET Final L
100	Alec Burleson	3/3	SD @ STL	1B	Wandy Peralta LHB vs LHP ERA 1.96	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	31.8	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	1	SD @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L

Showing 76–100 of 151 plays

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