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Strong Plays Record
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Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-06-17 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
336
Total Found
212
Shown
212
Actionable
11
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
201 Jake McCarthy 3/3 COL @ CHC LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.89
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 1
COL @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
202 Ryan O'Hearn 3/3 PIT @ OAK DH
LHB vs RHP
Average 39%
ERA 4.91
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 3
PIT @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
203 Jackson Merrill 3/3 SD @ STL CF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.63
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 3
SD @ STL
2:15 PM ET
Final
W
204 Jake Mangum 3/3 PIT @ OAK RF
S vs RHP
Average 39%
ERA 4.91
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 1
PIT @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
205 Jung Hoo Lee 3/3 SF @ ATL
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.54
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 0
SF @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
206 Jung Hoo Lee 3/3 SF @ ATL
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.54
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 0
SF @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
207 Junior Caminero 3/3 TB @ LAD 3B
RHB vs RHP
Ace 94%
ERA 1.47
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 1
TB @ LAD
3:10 PM ET
Final
L
208 Ketel Marte 3/3 LAA @ ARI 2B
S vs LHP
ERA 4.50
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 2
LAA @ ARI
3:40 PM ET
Final
W
209 Maikel Garcia
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 KC @ WSH 3B
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 5.45
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% N/A
KC @ WSH
1:05 PM ET
Final
210 Nick Kurtz 3/3 PIT @ OAK
LHB vs RHP
Good 79%
ERA 3.18
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 1
PIT @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
211 Tyler Soderstrom 3/3 PIT @ OAK
LHB vs RHP
Good 79%
ERA 3.18
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 0
PIT @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
212 Yordan Alvarez 3/3 DET @ HOU LF
LHB vs RHP
Average 61%
ERA 2.58
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 1
DET @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 201–212 of 212 plays
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