Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

20%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-02 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

236

Total Found

169

Shown

169

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
126	Matt Vierling ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ TEX		Nathan Eovaldi RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 4.02	Hits	0.5	-150	40.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	60.0%	6.7%	0	DET @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
127	Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ SEA	DH	Bryce Miller RHB vs RHP ERA 1.71	Hits	0.5	-150	40.0	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	60.0%	6.7%	0	LAA @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
128	Kahlil Watson	3/3	CWS @ CLE		TBD	Hits	0.5	-152	39.7	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	60.3%	6.3%	0	CHW @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final L
129	Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ ATL	CF	Hurston Waldrep LHB vs RHP ERA 3.68	Hits	0.5	-152	39.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	60.3%	6.3%	1	STL @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final W
130	Miles Mastrobuoni ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAA @ SEA		Walbert Ureña LHB vs RHP ERA 3.03	Hits	0.5	-155	39.2	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	60.8%	5.9%	N/A	LAA @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final
131	Nick Fortes	3/3	TB @ KC	C	Stephen Kolek RHB vs RHP ERA 4.50	Hits	0.5	-155	39.2	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	60.8%	5.9%	0	TB @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
132	Rafael Marchan ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ PHI		Jared Jones S vs RHP ERA 5.28	Hits	0.5	-155	39.2	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	60.8%	5.9%	0	PIT @ PHI 12:35 PM ET Final L
133	Nolan Schanuel	3/3	LAA @ SEA		Bryce Miller LHB vs RHP ERA 1.71	Hits	0.5	-158	38.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	61.2%	5.4%	2	LAA @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final W
134	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ LAD	CF	Roki Sasaki LHB vs RHP ERA 5.40	Hits	0.5	-159	38.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	61.4%	5.3%	1	SD @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
135	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ CLE	SS	Slade Cecconi LHB vs RHP Replacement 9% ERA 4.44	Hits	0.5	-160	38.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	61.5%	5.1%	1	CHW @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final W
136	Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ LAD	SS	Roki Sasaki RHB vs RHP ERA 5.40	Hits	0.5	-160	38.5	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	61.5%	5.1%	1	SD @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
137	Max Muncy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ LAD	PH	Randy Vásquez LHB vs RHP Weak 15% ERA 4.71	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	2	SD @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
138	Munetaka Murakami ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ CLE	1B	Slade Cecconi LHB vs RHP Replacement 9% ERA 4.44	Hits	0.5	-165	37.7	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	62.3%	4.4%	N/A	CHW @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final
139	Dominic Smith	3/3	STL @ ATL	DH	Dustin May LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.80	Hits	0.5	-167	37.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.5%	4.1%	1	STL @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final W
140	Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ KC	SS	Stephen Kolek S vs RHP ERA 4.50	Hits	0.5	-167	37.5	3, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	62.5%	4.1%	1	TB @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final W
141	Graham Pauley ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIA @ COL	3B	Michael Lorenzen LHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 6.91	Hits	0.5	-172	36.8	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.2%	3.4%	N/A	MIA @ COL 3:10 PM ET Final
142	Carter Jensen	3/3	TB @ KC	C	Ian Seymour LHB vs LHP ERA 4.02	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	0, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	2	TB @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final W
143	Joc Pederson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ TEX		Framber Valdez LHB vs LHP Weak 29% ERA 4.29	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	N/A	DET @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final
144	Will Smith ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SD @ LAD	C	Randy Vásquez RHB vs RHP Weak 15% ERA 4.71	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	N/A	SD @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final
145	Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RF	Slade Cecconi S vs RHP Replacement 9% ERA 4.44	Hits	0.5	-176	36.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	63.8%	2.9%	1	CHW @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final W
146	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ LAD	3B	Roki Sasaki RHB vs RHP ERA 5.40	Hits	0.5	-178	36.0	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	64.0%	2.6%	1	SD @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
147	Kyle Manzardo	3/3	CWS @ CLE		TBD	Hits	0.5	-179	35.8	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	64.2%	2.5%	0	CHW @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final L
148	Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ KC	RF	Stephen Kolek RHB vs RHP ERA 4.50	Hits	0.5	-180	35.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	64.3%	2.4%	N/A	TB @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final
149	Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ CLE	DH	Slade Cecconi LHB vs RHP Replacement 9% ERA 4.44	Hits	0.5	-182	35.5	0, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	64.5%	2.1%	1	CHW @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final W
150	Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ ATL		Hurston Waldrep RHB vs RHP ERA 3.68	Hits	0.5	-185	35.1	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	64.9%	1.8%	3	STL @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final W

Showing 126–150 of 169 plays

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