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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jun 28 – Jul 4 →
Wins
10
Losses
12
Push
14
Win %
45.5%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-04 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
390
Total Found
240
Shown
240
Actionable
21
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Luis Garcia Jr. ELITE 3/3 PIT @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
Good 79%
ERA 3.24
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +450 131.8 3, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 18.2% 81.8% 0
PIT @ WSH
11:05 AM ET
Final
L
2 Dillon Dingler ELITE 3/3 DET @ TEX C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.35
 Hits 1.5 +270 123.0 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 27.0% 73.0% 0
DET @ TEX
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
3 Jake Mangum ELITE 3/3 PIT @ WSH RF
S vs LHP
ERA 8.44
 Hits 1.5 +230 119.7 2, 3, 2
3/3
100.0%
 30.3% 69.7% 0
PIT @ WSH
11:05 AM ET
Final
L
4 James Wood ELITE 3/3 PIT @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
Good 79%
ERA 3.24
 Hits 1.5 +230 119.7 2, 2, 3
3/3
100.0%
 30.3% 69.7% 1
PIT @ WSH
11:05 AM ET
Final
L
5 Nick Gonzales ELITE 3/3 PIT @ WSH 2B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 8.44
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +215 118.3 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 31.7% 68.3% 1
PIT @ WSH
11:05 AM ET
Final
W
6 Ketel Marte ELITE 3/3 MIL @ ARI 2B
S vs RHP
Average 66%
ERA 2.98
 Hits 1.5 +200 116.7 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 33.3% 66.7% 0
MIL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
7 Mickey Moniak ELITE 3/3 SF @ COL RF
LHB vs LHP
Average 36%
ERA 3.45
 Hits 1.5 +185 114.9 2, 3, 3
3/3
100.0%
 35.1% 64.9% 0
SF @ COL
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
8 Bryce Harper ELITE 3/3 PHI @ KC RF
LHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.45
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +123 105.2 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 44.8% 55.2% 0
PHI @ KC
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
9 Nicky Lopez ELITE 3/3 DET @ TEX 2B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 12%
ERA 4.60
 Hits 0.5 -125 94.4 3, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 55.6% 44.4% 0
DET @ TEX
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
10 Jake McCarthy 3/3 SF @ COL LF
LHB vs LHP
Average 36%
ERA 3.45
 Home Runs 0.5 +1000 90.9 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 9.1% 57.6% 0
SF @ COL
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
11 Nathan Church 3/3 STL @ CHC CF
LHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 4.28
 Home Runs 0.5 +1000 90.9 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 9.1% 57.6% 0
STL @ CHC
8:08 PM ET
Final
L
12 Enrique Hernandez ELITE 3/3 SD @ LAD 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 2.33
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% N/A
SD @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
13 Isaac Collins ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 PHI @ KC LF
S vs LHP
Ace 90%
ERA 3.75
 Hits 0.5 -161 88.3 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 61.7% 38.3% 0
PHI @ KC
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
14 Bryan Torres
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 STL @ CHC LF
LHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 4.28
 Home Runs 0.5 +750 88.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 11.8% 54.9% N/A
STL @ CHC
8:08 PM ET
Final
15 Elias Diaz 3/3 DET @ TEX PH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 12%
ERA 4.60
 Home Runs 0.5 +750 88.2 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 11.8% 54.9% 0
DET @ TEX
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
16 Jake McCarthy 3/3 SF @ COL LF
LHB vs LHP
Average 36%
ERA 3.45
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 87.5 6, 4, 0
2/3
66.7%
 12.5% 54.2% 0
SF @ COL
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
17 Nathan Church 3/3 STL @ CHC CF
LHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 4.28
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 87.5 3, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 12.5% 54.2% 0
STL @ CHC
8:08 PM ET
Final
L
18 Miguel Rojas ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 SD @ LAD 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 2.33
 Hits 0.5 -167 87.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 62.5% 37.5% N/A
SD @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
19 Garrett Mitchell 3/3 MIL @ ARI CF TBD Home Runs 0.5 +600 85.7 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 14.3% 52.4% 0
MIL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
20 Jackson Merrill 3/3 SD @ LAD CF
LHB vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.49
 Home Runs 0.5 +600 85.7 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 14.3% 52.4% 0
SD @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
21 Cedric Mullins 3/3 TB @ HOU PH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.38
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 84.6 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
 15.4% 51.3% 0
TB @ HOU
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
22 Cole Carrigg 3/3 SF @ COL CF
S vs LHP
Average 36%
ERA 3.45
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 84.6 3, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 15.4% 51.3% 3
SF @ COL
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
23 David Fry 3/3 CWS @ CLE PH TBD Home Runs 0.5 +550 84.6 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 15.4% 51.3% 0
CHW @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
24 Ozzie Albies 3/3 NYM @ ATL 2B
S vs LHP
ERA 5.16
 Home Runs 0.5 +550 84.6 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 15.4% 51.3% 0
NYM @ ATL
8:08 PM ET
Final
L
25 Brady House ELITE
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 PIT @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
Good 79%
ERA 3.24
 Hits 0.5 -190 84.5 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 65.5% 34.5% N/A
PIT @ WSH
11:05 AM ET
Final
Showing 1–25 of 240 plays
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