Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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← Jun 30 – Jul 6 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

42.9%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-06 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

161

Total Found

101

Shown

101

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Michael Harris II ELITE	3/3	NYM @ ATL	CF	Freddy Peralta LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.68	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	132.6	3, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	17.4%	82.6%	2	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final/10 W
2	Michael Harris II ELITE	3/3	NYM @ ATL	CF	Freddy Peralta LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.68	Hits	1.5	+220	118.8	2, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	31.3%	68.8%	3	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final/10 W
3	Alec Burleson ELITE	3/3	MIL @ STL	1B	Shane Drohan LHB vs LHP ERA 2.97	Hits	1.5	+209	117.6	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	32.4%	67.6%	0	MIL @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
4	Hunter Goodman ELITE	3/3	COL @ LAD	C	Eric Lauer RHB vs LHP ERA 4.81	Hits	1.5	+200	116.7	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	33.3%	66.7%	0	COL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final/11 L
5	Jose Tena ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ WSH		Mike Burrows LHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.99	Hits	0.5	-135	92.6	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	57.4%	42.6%	N/A	HOU @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final
6	Christian Vazquez ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ WSH		Miles Mikolas RHB vs RHP ERA 5.78	Hits	0.5	-148	90.3	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	59.7%	40.3%	N/A	HOU @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final
7	Enrique Hernández ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	COL @ LAD	3B	Kyle Freeland RHB vs LHP ERA 7.46	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	COL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final/11
8	Tyrone Taylor	3/3	NYM @ ATL		Reynaldo López RHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 3.18	Home Runs	0.5	+750	88.2	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	11.8%	54.9%	0	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final/10 L
9	Miguel Rojas ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ LAD	3B	Kyle Freeland RHB vs LHP ERA 7.46	Hits	0.5	-167	87.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	62.5%	37.5%	0	COL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final/11 L
10	Cole Carrigg	3/3	COL @ LAD	CF	Eric Lauer S vs LHP ERA 4.81	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	0, 3, 3	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	2	COL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final/11 W
11	Brady House ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	HOU @ WSH		Mike Burrows RHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.99	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	HOU @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final
12	Bryson Stott ELITE	3/3	PHI @ KC	2B	Noah Cameron LHB vs LHP Average 42% ERA 4.77	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	2	PHI @ KC 2:10 PM ET Final W
13	Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ STL	RF	Dustin May RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.55	Hits	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	N/A	MIL @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final
14	Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ ATL	LF	Reynaldo López LHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 3.18	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	81.8	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	3	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final/10 W
15	Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	HOU @ WSH		Mike Burrows LHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.99	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	81.8	2, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	1	HOU @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
16	Lane Thomas ELITE	3/3	PHI @ KC		Cristopher Sánchez RHB vs LHP Ace 92% ERA 2.62	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	2	PHI @ KC 2:10 PM ET Final W
17	Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	HOU @ WSH		Mike Burrows LHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.99	Home Runs	0.5	+425	81.0	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	19.0%	47.6%	0	HOU @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
18	George Springer ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ SF	DH	Landen Roupp RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.27	Hits	0.5	-227	80.6	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	69.4%	30.6%	N/A	TOR @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final
19	Michael Harris II	3/3	NYM @ ATL	CF	Freddy Peralta LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.68	Home Runs	0.5	+350	77.8	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	22.2%	44.4%	0	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final/10 L
20	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ WSH		Mike Burrows S vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.99	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	N/A	HOU @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final
21	Tyrone Taylor	3/3	NYM @ ATL		Reynaldo López RHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 3.18	Runs Batted In	0.5	+262	72.4	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	27.6%	39.0%	0	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final/10 L
22	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	ARI @ SD	RF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	3, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	ARI @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
23	Rafael Devers	3/3	TOR @ SF		Kevin Gausman LHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.32	Home Runs	0.5	+260	72.2	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	TOR @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
24	Cole Carrigg	3/3	COL @ LAD	CF	Eric Lauer S vs LHP ERA 4.81	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	3	COL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final/11 W
25	Curtis Mead	3/3	HOU @ WSH		Mike Burrows RHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.99	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	3	HOU @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final W

Showing 1–25 of 101 plays

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