Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-07 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

370

Total Found

236

Shown

236

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
226	CJ Abrams	3/3	HOU @ WSH		Tatsuya Imai LHB vs RHP ERA 6.06	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	1	HOU @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
227	Juan Soto	3/3	KC @ NYM	LF	Seth Lugo LHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 4.56	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	1	KC @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
228	TJ Rumfield	3/3	COL @ LAD	1B	Justin Wrobleski LHB vs LHP Ace 99% ERA 2.69	Hits	1.5	+203	17.0	0, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	33.0%	0.3%	1	COL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
229	Adley Rutschman	3/3	CHC @ BAL		Matthew Boyd S vs LHP ERA 4.31	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	2	CHC @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final W
230	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ STL	2B	Matt Svanson LHB vs RHP ERA 6.52	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	2	MIL @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final W
231	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ STL	2B	Matt Svanson LHB vs RHP ERA 6.52	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	2	MIL @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final W
232	Elly De La Cruz	3/3	PHI @ CIN	DH	Zack Wheeler S vs RHP Average 68% ERA 2.28	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	0	PHI @ CIN 7:10 PM ET Final L
233	Masyn Winn	3/3	MIL @ STL		Jacob Misiorowski RHB vs RHP Ace 97% ERA 1.62	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	0	MIL @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final L
234	Masyn Winn	3/3	MIL @ STL		Jacob Misiorowski RHB vs RHP Ace 97% ERA 1.62	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	0	MIL @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
235	Taylor Ward	3/3	CHC @ BAL		Matthew Boyd RHB vs LHP ERA 4.31	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	0	CHC @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final L
236	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ WSH	LF	Andrew Alvarez LHB vs LHP ERA 3.64	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	1, 0, 3	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	0	HOU @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L

Showing 226–236 of 236 plays

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