Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

16.7%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-23 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

130

Total Found

103

Shown

103

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Jonny DeLuca ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ TOR	CF	Shane Bieber RHB vs RHP ERA 5.70	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	1	TB @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final W
27	Chase DeLauter ELITE	3/3	MIN @ CLE	RF	Taj Bradley LHB vs RHP Average 55% ERA 3.85	Hits	0.5	-200	83.3	1, 2, 4	3/3 100.0%	66.7%	33.3%	0	MIN @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final/12 L
28	Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ DET	DH	Troy Melton RHB vs RHP ERA 1.80	Home Runs	0.5	+500	83.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	KC @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final L
29	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ ATL	3B	Chris Sale RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.06	Home Runs	0.5	+450	81.8	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	SD @ ATL 12:15 PM ET Final L
30	Corbin Carroll ELITE	3/3	ARI @ STL	RF	Michael McGreevy LHB vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 2.92	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	1	ARI @ STL 5:15 PM ET Final W
31	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ ATL	CF	Chris Sale LHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.06	Runs Batted In	0.5	+280	73.7	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	0	SD @ ATL 12:15 PM ET Final L
32	Luis Rengifo	3/3	SD @ ATL		Chris Sale S vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.06	Runs Batted In	0.5	+279	73.6	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.4%	40.3%	2	SD @ ATL 12:15 PM ET Final W
33	Petey Halpin	3/3	MIN @ CLE	CF	Taj Bradley LHB vs RHP Average 55% ERA 3.85	Runs Batted In	0.5	+274	73.3	0, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	26.7%	39.9%	0	MIN @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final/12 L
34	Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ CLE		Gavin Williams LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 4.00	Runs Batted In	0.5	+273	73.2	3, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	26.8%	39.9%	1	MIN @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final/12 W
35	Brooks Lee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CLE	3B	Gavin Williams S vs RHP Average 58% ERA 4.00	Runs Batted In	0.5	+271	73.0	4, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	27.0%	39.7%	0	MIN @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final/12 L
36	Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CLE	C	Taj Bradley S vs RHP Average 55% ERA 3.85	Runs Batted In	0.5	+266	72.7	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	27.3%	39.3%	1	MIN @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final/12 W
37	Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	ARI @ STL	PH	Michael McGreevy S vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 2.92	Runs Batted In	0.5	+264	72.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.5%	39.2%	0	ARI @ STL 5:15 PM ET Final L
38	Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ TOR	LF	Shane Bieber LHB vs RHP ERA 5.70	Runs Batted In	0.5	+255	71.8	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	28.2%	38.5%	0	TB @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final L
39	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ ATL	RF	Chris Sale RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.06	Runs Batted In	0.5	+252	71.6	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	28.4%	38.3%	1	SD @ ATL 12:15 PM ET Final W
40	JJ Wetherholt	3/3	ARI @ STL	2B	TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+251	71.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	28.5%	38.2%	0	ARI @ STL 5:15 PM ET Final L
41	Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ TOR	C	Shane Bieber RHB vs RHP ERA 5.70	Runs Batted In	0.5	+250	71.4	0, 4, 1	2/3 66.7%	28.6%	38.1%	N/A	TB @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final
42	Nolan Arenado	3/3	ARI @ STL	3B	Michael McGreevy RHB vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 2.92	Runs Batted In	0.5	+241	70.7	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	29.3%	37.3%	2	ARI @ STL 5:15 PM ET Final W
43	Brewer Hicklen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ ATL	PR	Griffin Canning RHB vs RHP ERA 6.67	Runs Batted In	0.5	+233	70.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	30.0%	36.6%	N/A	SD @ ATL 12:15 PM ET Final
44	Ty France	3/3	SD @ ATL	1B	Chris Sale RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.06	Runs Batted In	0.5	+222	68.9	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	31.1%	35.6%	2	SD @ ATL 12:15 PM ET Final W
45	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ ATL	3B	Chris Sale RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.06	Runs Batted In	0.5	+207	67.4	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	32.6%	34.1%	0	SD @ ATL 12:15 PM ET Final L
46	Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ TOR	C	Ian Seymour RHB vs LHP ERA 4.79	Runs Batted In	0.5	+201	66.8	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	33.2%	33.4%	1	TB @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final W
47	Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ TOR	DH	Shane Bieber RHB vs RHP ERA 5.70	Runs Batted In	0.5	+201	66.8	0, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	33.2%	33.4%	1	TB @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final W
48	Ernie Clement	3/3	TB @ TOR	2B	Ian Seymour RHB vs LHP ERA 4.79	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	1	TB @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final L
49	Max Kepler	3/3	ARI @ STL		Michael McGreevy LHB vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 2.92	Runs Batted In	0.5	+200	66.7	0, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	0	ARI @ STL 5:15 PM ET Final L
50	Dillon Dingler	3/3	KC @ DET	C	Randy Dobnak RHB vs RHP ERA 1.93	Hits	1.5	+198	66.4	1, 2, 4	2/3 66.7%	33.6%	33.1%	2	KC @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final W

Showing 26–50 of 103 plays

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