Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

16.7%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-23 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

130

Total Found

103

Shown

103

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
51	Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ DET	DH	Troy Melton RHB vs RHP ERA 1.80	Runs Batted In	0.5	+197	66.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.7%	33.0%	0	KC @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final L
52	Travis Bazzana	3/3	MIN @ CLE	2B	Taj Bradley LHB vs RHP Average 55% ERA 3.85	Runs Batted In	0.5	+195	66.1	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	33.9%	32.8%	0	MIN @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final/12 L
53	Ozzie Albies	3/3	SD @ ATL	2B	Griffin Canning S vs RHP ERA 6.67	Runs Batted In	0.5	+189	65.4	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	34.6%	32.1%	1	SD @ ATL 12:15 PM ET Final W
54	Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ TOR	DH	Shane Bieber RHB vs RHP ERA 5.70	Hits	1.5	+182	64.5	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	35.5%	31.2%	1	TB @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final L
55	Ketel Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ STL	2B	Michael McGreevy S vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 2.92	Runs Batted In	0.5	+181	64.4	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	35.6%	31.1%	N/A	ARI @ STL 5:15 PM ET Final
56	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	KC @ DET	1B	Randy Dobnak RHB vs RHP ERA 1.93	Runs Batted In	0.5	+180	64.3	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	35.7%	31.0%	0	KC @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final L
57	Dillon Dingler	3/3	KC @ DET	C	Randy Dobnak RHB vs RHP ERA 1.93	Runs Batted In	0.5	+140	58.3	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	41.7%	25.0%	1	KC @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final W
58	Michael Harris II	3/3	SD @ ATL	CF	Griffin Canning LHB vs RHP ERA 6.67	Runs Batted In	0.5	+131	56.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	43.3%	23.4%	1	SD @ ATL 12:15 PM ET Final W
59	Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ ATL	C	Chris Sale RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.06	Hits	0.5	+100	50.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	50.0%	16.7%	1	SD @ ATL 12:15 PM ET Final W
60	Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ ATL	2B	Chris Sale LHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.06	Hits	0.5	-105	48.8	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	51.2%	15.4%	1	SD @ ATL 12:15 PM ET Final W
61	Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CLE	C	Taj Bradley S vs RHP Average 55% ERA 3.85	Hits	0.5	-116	46.3	1, 4, 0	2/3 66.7%	53.7%	13.0%	1	MIN @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final/12 W
62	Kyle Manzardo	3/3	MIN @ CLE		Taj Bradley LHB vs RHP Average 55% ERA 3.85	Hits	0.5	-120	45.5	3, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	54.5%	12.1%	0	MIN @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final/12 L
63	Daniel Schneemann ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CLE	3B	Taj Bradley LHB vs RHP Average 55% ERA 3.85	Hits	0.5	-125	44.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	55.6%	11.1%	0	MIN @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final/12 L
64	Jorge Barrosa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ STL		Michael McGreevy S vs RHP Weak 18% ERA 2.92	Hits	0.5	-128	43.9	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	56.1%	10.5%	N/A	ARI @ STL 5:15 PM ET Final
65	Brewer Hicklen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ ATL	PR	Griffin Canning RHB vs RHP ERA 6.67	Hits	0.5	-130	43.5	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	56.5%	10.1%	N/A	SD @ ATL 12:15 PM ET Final
66	Petey Halpin	3/3	MIN @ CLE	CF	Taj Bradley LHB vs RHP Average 55% ERA 3.85	Hits	0.5	-130	43.5	1, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	56.5%	10.1%	0	MIN @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final/12 L
67	Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ CLE	1B	Gavin Williams RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 4.00	Hits	0.5	-131	43.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	56.7%	10.0%	0	MIN @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final/12 L
68	Taylor Walls ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ TOR	SS	Shane Bieber S vs RHP ERA 5.70	Hits	0.5	-140	41.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	58.3%	8.3%	N/A	TB @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final
69	Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ ATL	SS	Chris Sale RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.06	Hits	0.5	-140	41.7	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	58.3%	8.3%	0	SD @ ATL 12:15 PM ET Final L
70	Kyle Isbel ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	KC @ DET	CF	Troy Melton LHB vs RHP ERA 1.80	Hits	0.5	-143	41.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	58.8%	7.8%	N/A	KC @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final
71	Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ CLE	2B	Gavin Williams LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 4.00	Hits	0.5	-145	40.8	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	59.2%	7.5%	1	MIN @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final/12 W
72	Nathan Lukes	3/3	TB @ TOR	RF	Ian Seymour LHB vs LHP ERA 4.79	Hits	0.5	-145	40.8	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	59.2%	7.5%	0	TB @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final L
73	Blaze Jordan	3/3	ARI @ STL		TBD	Hits	0.5	-147	40.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	59.5%	7.2%	0	ARI @ STL 5:15 PM ET Final L
74	Daulton Varsho	3/3	TB @ TOR		Ian Seymour LHB vs LHP ERA 4.79	Hits	0.5	-150	40.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	60.0%	6.7%	0	TB @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final L
75	Isaac Collins	3/3	KC @ DET	LF	Troy Melton S vs RHP ERA 1.80	Hits	0.5	-150	40.0	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	60.0%	6.7%	1	KC @ DET 6:40 PM ET Final W

Showing 51–75 of 103 plays

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