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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 23 →
Wins
1
Losses
5
Win %
16.7%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-23 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
130
Total Found
103
Shown
103
Actionable
23
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 James McCann ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 ARI @ STL C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 18%
ERA 2.92
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +238 120.4 3, 1, 4
3/3
100.0%
 29.6% 70.4% N/A
ARI @ STL
5:15 PM ET
Final
2 Brayan Rocchio ELITE 3/3 MIN @ CLE SS
S vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 3.85
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +198 116.4 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 33.6% 66.4% 0
MIN @ CLE
1:10 PM ET
Final/12
L
3 Victor Mesa Jr. ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ TOR
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.70
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +192 115.8 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 34.2% 65.8% 0
TB @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
L
4 Jonny DeLuca ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ TOR CF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.70
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +188 115.3 3, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 34.7% 65.3% 0
TB @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
L
5 Junior Caminero ELITE 3/3 TB @ TOR 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.70
 Hits 1.5 +188 115.3 2, 2, 3
3/3
100.0%
 34.7% 65.3% 0
TB @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
L
6 Josh Rojas ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 KC @ DET PH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 1.80
 Hits 0.5 -125 94.4 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 55.6% 44.4% 2
KC @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
7 Starling Marte ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 KC @ DET
RHB vs RHP
ERA 1.80
 Hits 0.5 -125 94.4 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 55.6% 44.4% N/A
KC @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
8 Ryan Waldschmidt ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ARI @ STL
RHB vs RHP
Weak 18%
ERA 2.92
 Hits 0.5 -130 93.5 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 56.5% 43.5% 0
ARI @ STL
5:15 PM ET
Final
L
9 Nick Fortes ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ TOR C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.70
 Hits 0.5 -140 91.7 1, 3, 2
3/3
100.0%
 58.3% 41.7% N/A
TB @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
10 James McCann ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 ARI @ STL C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 18%
ERA 2.92
 Hits 0.5 -144 91.0 3, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 59.0% 41.0% N/A
ARI @ STL
5:15 PM ET
Final
11 James McCann
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 ARI @ STL C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 18%
ERA 2.92
 Home Runs 0.5 +1000 90.9 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
 9.1% 57.6% N/A
ARI @ STL
5:15 PM ET
Final
12 Nick Fortes
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ TOR C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.70
 Home Runs 0.5 +1000 90.9 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 9.1% 57.6% N/A
TB @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
13 Jackson Merrill 3/3 SD @ ATL CF
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.06
 Home Runs 0.5 +900 90.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 10.0% 56.7% 0
SD @ ATL
12:15 PM ET
Final
L
14 Brooks Lee ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIN @ CLE 3B
S vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 4.00
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% 0
MIN @ CLE
1:10 PM ET
Final/12
L
15 Hao-Yu Lee ELITE 3/3 KC @ DET
Unknown
ERA 1.93
 Hits 0.5 -159 88.6 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 61.4% 38.6% 1
KC @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
16 Josh Bell ELITE 3/3 MIN @ CLE DH
S vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 4.00
 Hits 0.5 -159 88.6 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 61.4% 38.6% 0
MIN @ CLE
1:10 PM ET
Final/12
L
17 Nolan Arenado ELITE 3/3 ARI @ STL 3B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 18%
ERA 2.92
 Hits 0.5 -162 88.2 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 61.8% 38.2% 2
ARI @ STL
5:15 PM ET
Final
W
18 Trevor Larnach ELITE 3/3 MIN @ CLE
LHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 4.00
 Hits 0.5 -162 88.2 2, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 61.8% 38.2% 1
MIN @ CLE
1:10 PM ET
Final/12
W
19 Michael Massey ELITE 3/3 KC @ DET 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 1.80
 Hits 0.5 -165 87.7 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 62.3% 37.7% 2
KC @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
20 Victor Mesa Jr. ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ TOR
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.70
 Hits 0.5 -175 86.4 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 63.6% 36.4% 0
TB @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
L
21 Brayan Rocchio ELITE 3/3 MIN @ CLE SS
S vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 3.85
 Hits 0.5 -180 85.7 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 64.3% 35.7% 0
MIN @ CLE
1:10 PM ET
Final/12
L
22 Luis Rengifo ELITE 3/3 SD @ ATL
S vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.06
 Hits 0.5 -180 85.7 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 64.3% 35.7% 2
SD @ ATL
12:15 PM ET
Final
W
23 Dillon Dingler 3/3 KC @ DET C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 1.93
 Home Runs 0.5 +600 85.7 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
 14.3% 52.4% 0
KC @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
24 Victor Mesa Jr.
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ TOR
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.70
 Home Runs 0.5 +575 85.2 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 14.8% 51.9% 0
TB @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
L
25 Byron Buxton ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIN @ CLE
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 4.00
 Hits 0.5 -190 84.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 65.5% 34.5% 1
MIN @ CLE
1:10 PM ET
Final/12
W
Showing 1–25 of 103 plays
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