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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 9 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-09 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
337
Total Found
210
Shown
210
Actionable
19
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
201 Fernando Tatis Jr. 3/3 HOU @ SD RF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.59
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 2
HOU @ SD
8:20 PM ET
Final
W
202 Luis Garcia Jr.
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CIN @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 4.67
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 0, 3
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% N/A
CIN @ WSH
12:15 PM ET
Final
203 Mookie Betts 3/3 LAD @ ARI SS TBD Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 0, 1, 4
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 0
LAD @ ARI
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
204 Brandon Nimmo 3/3 BAL @ TEX RF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.91
Hits 1.5 +201 16.8 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
33.2% 0.1% 1
BAL @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
L
205 Bo Bichette 3/3 NYM @ PIT 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.02
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 5
NYM @ PIT
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
206 CJ Abrams 3/3 CIN @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 4.67
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 1
CIN @ WSH
12:15 PM ET
Final
L
207 Dillon Dingler 3/3 DET @ SF C
RHB vs RHP
Average 43%
ERA 3.74
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 0, 3
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 0
DET @ SF
4:05 PM ET
Final/10
L
208 Jake Mangum 3/3 NYM @ PIT RF
S vs LHP
ERA 4.33
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 2
NYM @ PIT
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
209 Tommy Edman 3/3 LAD @ ARI PH TBD Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 0
LAD @ ARI
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
210 Xavier Edwards 3/3 LAA @ MIA
S vs RHP
ERA 7.24
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 0
LAA @ MIA
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 201–210 of 210 plays
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