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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 29 →
Wins
0
Losses
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Win %
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Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-29 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
381
Total Found
240
Shown
240
Actionable
8
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
26 Tristan Peters 3/3 CWS @ MIN CF
LHB vs RHP
Average 69%
ERA 4.37
Hits 1.5 +400 80.0 1, 3, 3
2/3
66.7%
20.0% 46.7% 0
CHW @ MIN
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
27 Chase Meidroth 3/3 CWS @ MIN 2B
RHB vs RHP
Average 69%
ERA 4.37
Hits 1.5 +380 79.2 1, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
20.8% 45.8% 0
CHW @ MIN
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
28 Marcus Semien 3/3 HOU @ NYM 2B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 5.87
Hits 1.5 +380 79.2 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
20.8% 45.8% 2
HOU @ NYM
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
29 Heriberto Hernandez 3/3 MIA @ WSH LF
RHB vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.12
Home Runs 0.5 +375 78.9 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
21.1% 45.6% 1
MIA @ WSH
4:05 PM ET
Final/10
W
30 Brett Bateman
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SEA @ TOR RF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.40
Hits 1.5 +360 78.3 2, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
21.7% 44.9% 1
SEA @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
L
31 Sal Stewart 3/3 CIN @ CHC 1B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 4.38
Home Runs 0.5 +350 77.8 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
22.2% 44.4% 1
CIN @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
W
32 Brenton Doyle 3/3 CWS @ MIN CF
RHB vs RHP
Average 69%
ERA 4.37
Hits 1.5 +340 77.3 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
22.7% 43.9% 0
CHW @ MIN
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
33 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3/3 BAL @ OAK
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.50
Hits 1.5 +340 77.3 1, 2, 4
2/3
66.7%
22.7% 43.9% 1
BAL @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
L
34 Freddie Freeman 3/3 LAD @ DET 1B
LHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.52
Hits 1.5 +340 77.3 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
22.7% 43.9% 1
LAD @ DET
1:10 PM ET
Final
L
35 George Springer 3/3 SEA @ TOR DH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 5.40
Hits 1.5 +320 76.2 4, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
23.8% 42.9% 1
SEA @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
L
36 Miguel Vargas 3/3 CWS @ MIN 3B
RHB vs RHP
Average 69%
ERA 4.37
Hits 1.5 +320 76.2 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
23.8% 42.9% 0
CHW @ MIN
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
37 Jose Trevino 3/3 CIN @ CHC
RHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 4.38
Runs Batted In 0.5 +318 76.1 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
23.9% 42.7% 0
CIN @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
L
38 Edgar Quero
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CWS @ MIN
S vs RHP
Average 69%
ERA 4.37
Runs Batted In 0.5 +314 75.8 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
24.2% 42.5% N/A
CHW @ MIN
2:10 PM ET
Final
39 Hector Rodriguez 3/3 CIN @ CHC RF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 4.38
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 2, 3, 1
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 0
CIN @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
L
40 Hunter Goodman 3/3 COL @ ATL C
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.05
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 3, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 0
COL @ ATL
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
41 Keibert Ruiz
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIA @ WSH
S vs RHP
Good 75%
ERA 3.54
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 1
MIA @ WSH
4:05 PM ET
Final/10
L
42 Kyle Schwarber 3/3 PHI @ LAA DH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.17
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 1
PHI @ LAA
10:07 PM ET
Final/10
L
43 Trevor Larnach 3/3 CWS @ MIN TBD Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 0
CHW @ MIN
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
44 Bryce Harper 3/3 PHI @ LAA RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.17
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 0
PHI @ LAA
10:07 PM ET
Final/10
L
45 Edmundo Sosa
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 PHI @ LAA 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.17
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% N/A
PHI @ LAA
10:07 PM ET
Final/10
46 Jac Caglianone 3/3 KC @ CLE RF
LHB vs LHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.26
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 5, 0
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 2
KC @ CLE
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
47 Danny Jansen
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TEX @ MIL C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.09
Runs Batted In 0.5 +275 73.3 1, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
26.7% 40.0% 0
TEX @ MIL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
48 Bryce Eldridge 3/3 ARI @ SF TBD Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 4
ARI @ SF
4:05 PM ET
Final
W
49 Bryce Eldridge 3/3 ARI @ SF TBD Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 4
ARI @ SF
10:05 PM ET
Final
W
50 Dylan Crews 3/3 MIA @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
Good 75%
ERA 3.54
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 2
MIA @ WSH
4:05 PM ET
Final/10
W
Showing 26–50 of 240 plays