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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 29 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-29 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
381
Total Found
240
Shown
240
Actionable
8
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
201 Liam Hicks 3/3 SD @ TB C
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.56
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 2
SD @ TB
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
202 Luis Lara 3/3 TEX @ MIL PH
S vs RHP
ERA 2.79
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 2
TEX @ MIL
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
203 Nolan Arenado
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 ARI @ SF 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 6.14
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
ARI @ SF
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
204 Nolan Arenado
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 ARI @ SF 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 6.14
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
ARI @ SF
10:05 PM ET
Final
L
205 Oneil Cruz 3/3 PIT @ STL CF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.13
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 2
PIT @ STL
2:15 PM ET
Final
W
206 Troy Johnston 3/3 COL @ ATL 1B
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.05
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
COL @ ATL
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
207 Vinnie Pasquantino
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 KC @ CLE 1B
LHB vs LHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.26
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
KC @ CLE
4:10 PM ET
Final
208 Yainer Diaz 3/3 HOU @ NYM C
RHB vs RHP
Average 62%
ERA 3.06
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
HOU @ NYM
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
209 Alec Burleson 3/3 PIT @ STL 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.59
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 0
PIT @ STL
2:15 PM ET
Final
L
210 Bryan Reynolds 3/3 PIT @ STL LF
S vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.13
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
PIT @ STL
2:15 PM ET
Final
L
211 Bryson Stott 3/3 PHI @ LAA 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.17
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 0
PHI @ LAA
10:07 PM ET
Final/10
L
212 Byron Buxton
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CWS @ MIN TBD Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% N/A
CHW @ MIN
2:10 PM ET
Final
213 Jonathan Aranda 3/3 SD @ TB 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.56
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
SD @ TB
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
214 Mike Trout 3/3 PHI @ LAA DH
RHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.58
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 0
PHI @ LAA
10:07 PM ET
Final/10
L
215 TJ Rumfield 3/3 COL @ ATL 1B
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.05
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
COL @ ATL
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
216 Dominic Canzone
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SEA @ TOR RF
LHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.52
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 0
SEA @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
L
217 Heriberto Hernandez 3/3 MIA @ WSH LF
RHB vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.12
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
MIA @ WSH
4:05 PM ET
Final/10
L
218 Michael Busch 3/3 CIN @ CHC 1B
LHB vs LHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 4.49
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 0
CIN @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
L
219 Spencer Horwitz 3/3 PIT @ STL 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.13
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 0
PIT @ STL
2:15 PM ET
Final
L
220 Tommy White 3/3 BAL @ OAK
RHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.91
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 0
BAL @ ATH
10:05 PM ET
Final
L
221 Tyler Stephenson 3/3 CIN @ CHC C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 4.38
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
CIN @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
L
222 Vaughn Grissom 3/3 PHI @ LAA 1B
RHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.58
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 0
PHI @ LAA
10:07 PM ET
Final/10
L
223 Willy Adames
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ARI @ SF TBD Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% N/A
ARI @ SF
4:05 PM ET
Final
224 Willy Adames
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ARI @ SF TBD Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% N/A
ARI @ SF
10:05 PM ET
Final
225 Cole Carrigg 3/3 COL @ ATL CF
S vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.05
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 1
COL @ ATL
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 201–225 of 240 plays