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Strong Plays Record
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← Sep 4 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-09-04 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
367
Total Found
234
Shown
234
Actionable
13
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
76 Konnor Griffin
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 LAA @ PIT SS
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.17
Hits 1.5 +196 66.2 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
33.8% 32.9% 0
LAA @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
77 Jackson Chourio 3/3 MIL @ CIN LF
RHB vs RHP
Weak 13%
ERA 5.43
Hits 1.5 +190 65.5 0, 4, 2
2/3
66.7%
34.5% 32.2% 1
MIL @ CIN
6:10 PM ET
Final
L
78 Jake McCarthy 3/3 STL @ COL LF
LHB vs RHP
Average 38%
ERA 3.51
Hits 1.5 +190 65.5 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
34.5% 32.2% 0
STL @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
79 Esmerlyn Valdez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 LAA @ PIT
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.17
Runs Batted In 0.5 +177 63.9 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
36.1% 30.6% N/A
LAA @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
80 Yandy Diaz 3/3 TB @ TEX DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.72
Hits 1.5 +170 63.0 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
37.0% 29.6% 3
TB @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
W
81 Jung Hoo Lee 3/3 SF @ NYM
LHB vs RHP
Average 62%
ERA 3.06
Runs Batted In 0.5 +150 60.0 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
40.0% 26.7% 0
SF @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
82 Christopher Morel
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 SF @ NYM
RHB vs LHP
ERA 6.14
Hits 0.5 -110 47.6 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% 0
SF @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
83 Ha-Seong Kim 3/3 ATL @ PHI SS
RHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.58
Hits 0.5 -114 46.7 1, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
53.3% 13.4% 0
ATL @ PHI
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
84 Alan Roden
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIN @ CWS LF TBD Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% N/A
MIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
85 Lazaro Montes
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 OAK @ SEA RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 10.90
Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% 0
ATH @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
86 Matt Shaw
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CHC @ MIA 3B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 24%
ERA 4.00
Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% N/A
CHC @ MIA
7:10 PM ET
Final
87 Logan O'Hoppe
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 TB @ TEX
RHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 3.04
Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
54.5% 12.1% N/A
TB @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
88 Patrick Bailey 3/3 DET @ CLE C
S vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.52
Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
54.5% 12.1% 0
DET @ CLE
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
89 Patrick Bailey 3/3 DET @ CLE C
S vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.52
Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
54.5% 12.1% 0
DET @ CLE
7:45 PM ET
Final/10
L
90 Drew Cavanaugh 3/3 SF @ NYM C
LHB vs RHP
Average 62%
ERA 3.06
Hits 0.5 -125 44.4 0, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
55.6% 11.1% 1
SF @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
91 Esteury Ruiz
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CHC @ MIA CF
RHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 3.91
Hits 0.5 -129 43.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
56.3% 10.3% 0
CHC @ MIA
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
92 Miguel Amaya
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 CHC @ MIA C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 24%
ERA 4.00
Hits 0.5 -132 43.1 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
56.9% 9.8% N/A
CHC @ MIA
7:10 PM ET
Final
93 Edgar Quero
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIN @ CWS
S vs RHP
ERA 4.69
Hits 0.5 -134 42.7 3, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
57.3% 9.4% N/A
MIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
94 Eliezer Alfonzo
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 WSH @ LAD
S vs LHP
ERA 5.55
Hits 0.5 -135 42.6 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
57.4% 9.2% N/A
WSH @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
95 Justin Foscue 3/3 TB @ TEX PH
RHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 3.04
Hits 0.5 -141 41.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
58.5% 8.2% 1
TB @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
W
96 Mark Vientos 3/3 SF @ NYM 1B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 6.14
Hits 0.5 -143 41.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
58.8% 7.8% 2
SF @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
97 Christian Moore 3/3 LAA @ PIT 2B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.46
Hits 1.5 +1000 40.9 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% 0
LAA @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
98 Jeff McNeil 3/3 OAK @ SEA
LHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.71
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 40.9 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% 2
ATH @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
W
99 Luke Keaschall 3/3 MIN @ CWS RF TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 40.9 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% 0
MIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
100 Nate Furman 3/3 SF @ NYM
LHB vs RHP
Average 62%
ERA 3.06
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 40.9 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% 0
SF @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 76–100 of 234 plays