Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-09-26 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

251

Total Found

186

Shown

186

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
151	Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	COL @ CWS	SS	TBD	Hits	1.5	+500	33.3	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	2	COL @ CHW 7:10 PM ET Final W
152	Jake Bauers	3/3	STL @ MIL	1B	Quinn Mathews LHB vs LHP ERA 3.65	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0	STL @ MIL 7:10 PM ET Final L
153	Miguel Vargas	3/3	COL @ CWS	3B	Jose Quintana RHB vs LHP ERA 5.40	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0	COL @ CHW 7:10 PM ET Final L
154	Austin Hays ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ SD	DH	TBD	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	N/A	ARI @ SD 8:40 PM ET Final
155	Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ PHI	3B	TBD	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	2	TB @ PHI 7:15 PM ET Final W
156	Ketel Marte	3/3	ARI @ SD	2B	Walker Buehler S vs RHP ERA 4.56	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	2	ARI @ SD 8:40 PM ET Final W
157	David Hamilton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIL	PH	Quinn Mathews LHB vs LHP ERA 3.65	Hits	1.5	+475	32.6	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	1	STL @ MIL 7:10 PM ET Final L
158	William Contreras	3/3	STL @ MIL	C	Quinn Mathews RHB vs LHP ERA 3.65	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	32.6	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	0	STL @ MIL 7:10 PM ET Final L
159	Christian Moore	3/3	LAA @ SEA	2B	Kade Anderson RHB vs LHP ERA 4.18	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	1	LAA @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
160	Eugenio Suarez	3/3	CIN @ TOR	DH	Trey Yesavage RHB vs RHP ERA 3.67	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	31.8	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	1	CIN @ TOR 3:07 PM ET Final L
161	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	COL @ CWS	1B	Jose Quintana LHB vs LHP ERA 5.40	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	31.8	3, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	0	COL @ CHW 7:10 PM ET Final L
162	John Rave	3/3	CLE @ KC	CF	Tanner Bibee LHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 4.35	Hits	1.5	+400	30.0	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	1	CLE @ KC 7:10 PM ET Final L
163	Jonah Heim	3/3	HOU @ OAK		Hayden Wesneski S vs RHP ERA 3.50	Hits	1.5	+400	30.0	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	0	HOU @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
164	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	COL @ CWS	1B	Jose Quintana LHB vs LHP ERA 5.40	Hits	1.5	+400	30.0	3, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	0	COL @ CHW 7:10 PM ET Final L
165	Yainer Diaz	3/3	HOU @ OAK	C	Jack Perkins RHB vs RHP ERA 5.90	Runs Batted In	1.5	+400	30.0	1, 0, 3	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	0	HOU @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
166	Jake Bauers	3/3	STL @ MIL	1B	Quinn Mathews LHB vs LHP ERA 3.65	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	0	STL @ MIL 7:10 PM ET Final L
167	Alan Roden ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ MIN	LF	Nathan Eovaldi LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 4.27	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	1	TEX @ MIN 4:10 PM ET Final L
168	Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ CWS	C	TBD	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	2	COL @ CHW 7:10 PM ET Final W
169	Kyle Teel	3/3	COL @ CWS	C	Jose Quintana LHB vs LHP ERA 5.40	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	2	COL @ CHW 7:10 PM ET Final W
170	Trevor Larnach ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TEX @ MIN		Nathan Eovaldi LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 4.27	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	N/A	TEX @ MIN 4:10 PM ET Final
171	Michael Massey	3/3	CLE @ KC	2B	Tanner Bibee LHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 4.35	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	CLE @ KC 7:10 PM ET Final L
172	Randy Arozarena	3/3	LAA @ SEA	LF	Ryan Johnson RHB vs RHP ERA 4.93	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	2	LAA @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final W
173	Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ KC	LF	Michael Wacha S vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.33	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	0	CLE @ KC 7:10 PM ET Final L
174	Bryce Eldridge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAD @ SF		Blake Snell LHB vs LHP ERA 1.86	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	N/A	LAD @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final
175	Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ SEA	DH	Kade Anderson RHB vs LHP ERA 4.18	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	3, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	0	LAA @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L

Showing 151–175 of 186 plays

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