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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Oct 4 →
Wins
3
Losses
3
Win %
50%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-10-04 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
71
Total Found
40
Shown
40
Actionable
5
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
26 Enrique Hernandez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ATL @ LAD 2B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 1.47
Hits 0.5 +115 53.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
46.5% 20.2% N/A
ATL @ LAD
8:00 PM ET
Final
27 Gavin Sheets
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SD @ MIL DH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 40.9 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% 0
SD @ MIL
4:00 PM ET
Final
L
28 Brice Turang 3/3 SD @ MIL 2B
LHB vs RHP
Average 60%
ERA 3.21
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 0
SD @ MIL
4:00 PM ET
Final
L
29 Jackson Chourio 3/3 SD @ MIL LF
RHB vs RHP
Average 60%
ERA 3.21
Runs 1.5 +800 38.9 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 0
SD @ MIL
4:00 PM ET
Final
L
30 Matt Olson 3/3 ATL @ LAD 1B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 1.90
Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 0
ATL @ LAD
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
31 Max Muncy 3/3 ATL @ LAD 3B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 1.47
Hits 1.5 +550 34.6 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% 1
ATL @ LAD
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
32 Sean Murphy
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 ATL @ LAD C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 1.90
Hits 1.5 +550 34.6 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% 0
ATL @ LAD
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
33 David Hamilton
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SD @ MIL PH
LHB vs RHP
Average 60%
ERA 3.21
Hits 1.5 +500 33.3 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% 0
SD @ MIL
4:00 PM ET
Final
L
34 Ethan Salas
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SD @ MIL C
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
Hits 1.5 +450 31.8 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
18.2% 15.2% N/A
SD @ MIL
4:00 PM ET
Final
35 Jake Bauers 3/3 SD @ MIL 1B
LHB vs RHP
Average 60%
ERA 3.21
Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% 0
SD @ MIL
4:00 PM ET
Final
L
36 Joey Ortiz
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 SD @ MIL 3B
RHB vs RHP
Average 60%
ERA 3.21
Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% N/A
SD @ MIL
4:00 PM ET
Final
37 Dustin Harris 3/3 SD @ MIL LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% 0
SD @ MIL
4:00 PM ET
Final
L
38 Drake Baldwin 3/3 ATL @ LAD DH
LHB vs LHP
ERA 1.90
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 0
ATL @ LAD
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
39 Will Smith
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 ATL @ LAD C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 1.47
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 0
ATL @ LAD
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
40 Fernando Tatis Jr. 3/3 SD @ MIL RF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 0
SD @ MIL
4:00 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 26–40 of 40 plays
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