📡 SCORES
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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Sep 7 – Oct 6 →
Wins
13
Losses
4
Push
1
Win %
76.5%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-10-06 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
59
Total Found
32
Shown
32
Actionable
2
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Jackson Chourio ELITE 3/3 MIL @ SD LF
RHB vs RHP
Weak 12%
ERA 2.86
Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 135.7 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
14.3% 85.7% 1
MIL @ SD
9:30 PM ET
Final
L
2 Max Muncy ELITE 3/3 LAD @ ATL 3B
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.16
Total Bases 1.5 +240 120.6 4, 4, 3
3/3
100.0%
29.4% 70.6% 0
LAD @ ATL
6:00 PM ET
Final
L
3 Gavin Sheets
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIL @ SD DH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.70
Home Runs 0.5 +900 90.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
10.0% 56.7% N/A
MIL @ SD
9:30 PM ET
Final
4 Ozzie Albies 3/3 LAD @ ATL 2B
S vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.53
Home Runs 0.5 +850 89.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
10.5% 56.1% 0
LAD @ ATL
6:00 PM ET
Final
L
5 Ozzie Albies 3/3 LAD @ ATL 2B
S vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.53
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 88.9 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
11.1% 55.6% 0
LAD @ ATL
6:00 PM ET
Final
L
6 Max Muncy 3/3 LAD @ ATL 3B
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.16
Home Runs 0.5 +600 85.7 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
14.3% 52.4% 0
LAD @ ATL
6:00 PM ET
Final
L
7 Josue De Paula
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAD @ ATL
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.16
Hits 1.5 +450 81.8 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
18.2% 48.5% N/A
LAD @ ATL
6:00 PM ET
Final
8 Freddy Fermin
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIL @ SD C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.70
Runs Batted In 0.5 +350 77.8 0, 3, 1
2/3
66.7%
22.2% 44.4% N/A
MIL @ SD
9:30 PM ET
Final
9 Gavin Sheets
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIL @ SD DH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.70
Runs Batted In 0.5 +350 77.8 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
22.2% 44.4% N/A
MIL @ SD
9:30 PM ET
Final
10 Freddy Fermin
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIL @ SD C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.70
Hits 0.5 +325 76.5 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
23.5% 43.1% N/A
MIL @ SD
9:30 PM ET
Final
11 Ty France 3/3 MIL @ SD 1B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.70
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 0
MIL @ SD
9:30 PM ET
Final
L
12 Sean Murphy
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 LAD @ ATL C
RHB vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.53
Total Bases 1.5 +250 71.4 0, 4, 2
2/3
66.7%
28.6% 38.1% N/A
LAD @ ATL
6:00 PM ET
Final
13 Gavin Sheets
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIL @ SD DH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.70
Total Bases 1.5 +240 70.6 0, 4, 4
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% N/A
MIL @ SD
9:30 PM ET
Final
14 Ozzie Albies 3/3 LAD @ ATL 2B
S vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.53
Total Bases 1.5 +220 68.7 0, 4, 4
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% 2
LAD @ ATL
6:00 PM ET
Final
W
15 Ty France 3/3 MIL @ SD 1B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.70
Total Bases 1.5 +220 68.7 2, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% 0
MIL @ SD
9:30 PM ET
Final
L
16 Jackson Chourio 3/3 MIL @ SD LF
RHB vs RHP
Weak 12%
ERA 2.86
Total Bases 1.5 +190 65.5 1, 4, 3
2/3
66.7%
34.5% 32.2% 0
MIL @ SD
9:30 PM ET
Final
L
17 Michael Harris II 3/3 LAD @ ATL CF
LHB vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.53
Total Bases 1.5 +160 61.5 6, 0, 4
2/3
66.7%
38.5% 28.2% 1
LAD @ ATL
6:00 PM ET
Final
L
18 Enrique Hernández 3/3 LAD @ ATL 2B
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.16
Hits 0.5 +105 51.2 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
48.8% 17.9% 1
LAD @ ATL
6:00 PM ET
Final
W
19 Matt Olson 3/3 LAD @ ATL 1B
LHB vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.53
Runs 1.5 +1100 41.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
8.3% 25.0% 0
LAD @ ATL
6:00 PM ET
Final
L
20 Michael Harris II 3/3 LAD @ ATL CF
LHB vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.53
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 1, 0, 3
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 0
LAD @ ATL
6:00 PM ET
Final
L
21 Jackson Chourio 3/3 MIL @ SD LF
RHB vs RHP
Weak 12%
ERA 2.86
Runs 1.5 +700 37.5 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
MIL @ SD
9:30 PM ET
Final
L
22 Max Muncy 3/3 LAD @ ATL 3B
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.16
Hits 1.5 +500 33.3 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% 0
LAD @ ATL
6:00 PM ET
Final
L
23 Joey Ortiz
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ SD 3B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 12%
ERA 2.86
Hits 1.5 +475 32.6 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
17.4% 15.9% 1
MIL @ SD
9:30 PM ET
Final
L
24 Ethan Salas
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ SD C
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.70
Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% 0
MIL @ SD
9:30 PM ET
Final
L
25 Kyle Tucker 3/3 LAD @ ATL RF
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.16
Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% 1
LAD @ ATL
6:00 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 1–25 of 32 plays
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