Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-10-15 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

Total Found

Shown

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Patrick Bailey	3/3	TB @ CLE	C	Griffin Jax S vs RHP ERA 3.53	Runs	1.5	+1500	93.7	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	6.3%	60.4%	N/A	TB @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Scheduled
2	Sal Frelick ELITE	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RF	Tyler Glasnow LHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 3.53	Hits	0.5	-140	91.7	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	58.3%	41.7%	N/A	MIL @ LAD 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
3	Steven Kwan	3/3	TB @ CLE	CF	Griffin Jax LHB vs RHP ERA 3.53	Runs	1.5	+1000	90.9	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	N/A	TB @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Scheduled
4	José Ramírez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	3B	Griffin Jax S vs RHP ERA 3.53	Runs	1.5	+900	90.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	TB @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Scheduled
5	Patrick Bailey	3/3	TB @ CLE	C	Griffin Jax S vs RHP ERA 3.53	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	TB @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Scheduled
6	Patrick Bailey	3/3	TB @ CLE	C	Griffin Jax S vs RHP ERA 3.53	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	TB @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Scheduled
7	José Ramírez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	3B	Griffin Jax S vs RHP ERA 3.53	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	0, 3, 3	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	N/A	TB @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Scheduled
8	Freddie Freeman	3/3	MIL @ LAD	1B	TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+700	87.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	N/A	MIL @ LAD 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
9	José Ramírez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	3B	Griffin Jax S vs RHP ERA 3.53	Home Runs	0.5	+600	85.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	N/A	TB @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Scheduled
10	Jo Adell	3/3	TB @ CLE	DH	Griffin Jax RHB vs RHP ERA 3.53	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	N/A	TB @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Scheduled
11	Max Muncy	3/3	MIL @ LAD	3B	TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+500	83.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	N/A	MIL @ LAD 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
12	Patrick Bailey	3/3	TB @ CLE	C	Griffin Jax S vs RHP ERA 3.53	Hits	1.5	+475	82.6	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	N/A	TB @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Scheduled
13	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	TB @ CLE	1B	Griffin Jax LHB vs RHP ERA 3.53	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	N/A	TB @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Scheduled
14	Andy Pages	3/3	MIL @ LAD	CF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	N/A	MIL @ LAD 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
15	José Ramírez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	3B	Griffin Jax S vs RHP ERA 3.53	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	N/A	TB @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Scheduled
16	Christian Yelich	3/3	MIL @ LAD	DH	Tyler Glasnow LHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 3.53	Total Bases	1.5	+210	67.7	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	32.3%	34.4%	N/A	MIL @ LAD 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
17	Sal Frelick	3/3	MIL @ LAD	RF	Tyler Glasnow LHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 3.53	Runs	0.5	+210	67.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	32.3%	34.4%	N/A	MIL @ LAD 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
18	Max Muncy	3/3	MIL @ LAD	3B	TBD	Total Bases	1.5	+180	64.3	4, 0, 4	2/3 66.7%	35.7%	31.0%	N/A	MIL @ LAD 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
19	David Fry ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ CLE	1B	Griffin Jax RHB vs RHP ERA 3.53	Hits	0.5	+175	63.6	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	36.4%	30.3%	N/A	TB @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Scheduled
20	Andy Pages	3/3	MIL @ LAD	CF	TBD	Total Bases	1.5	+170	63.0	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	37.0%	29.6%	N/A	MIL @ LAD 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
21	Freddie Freeman	3/3	MIL @ LAD	1B	TBD	Total Bases	1.5	+145	59.2	0, 4, 5	2/3 66.7%	40.8%	25.9%	N/A	MIL @ LAD 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
22	David Hamilton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ LAD	PH	Tyler Glasnow LHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 3.53	Hits	0.5	+103	50.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	49.3%	17.4%	N/A	MIL @ LAD 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
23	Liam Hicks	3/3	TB @ CLE	C	Gavin Williams LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.76	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1000	40.9	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	N/A	TB @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Scheduled
24	Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	RF	Gavin Williams RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.76	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	N/A	TB @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Scheduled
25	Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ LAD	LF	Tyler Glasnow RHB vs RHP Ace 94% ERA 3.53	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	N/A	MIL @ LAD 8:00 PM ET Scheduled

Showing 1–25 of 34 plays

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