Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-10-16 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

Total Found

Shown

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Patrick Bailey	3/3	TB @ CLE	C	Nick Martinez S vs RHP Good 82% ERA 3.10	Runs	1.5	+2000	95.2	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	4.8%	61.9%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
2	Steven Kwan	3/3	TB @ CLE	CF	Nick Martinez LHB vs RHP Good 82% ERA 3.10	Runs	1.5	+1100	91.7	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	8.3%	58.3%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
3	José Ramírez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	3B	Nick Martinez S vs RHP Good 82% ERA 3.10	Runs	1.5	+1000	90.9	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
4	Patrick Bailey	3/3	TB @ CLE	C	Nick Martinez S vs RHP Good 82% ERA 3.10	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1000	90.9	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
5	Patrick Bailey	3/3	TB @ CLE	C	Nick Martinez S vs RHP Good 82% ERA 3.10	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
6	José Ramírez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	3B	Nick Martinez S vs RHP Good 82% ERA 3.10	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	0, 3, 3	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
7	Jo Adell	3/3	TB @ CLE	DH	Nick Martinez RHB vs RHP Good 82% ERA 3.10	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
8	José Ramírez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	3B	Nick Martinez S vs RHP Good 82% ERA 3.10	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
9	Patrick Bailey	3/3	TB @ CLE	C	Nick Martinez S vs RHP Good 82% ERA 3.10	Hits	1.5	+500	83.3	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
10	Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	TB @ CLE	1B	Nick Martinez LHB vs RHP Good 82% ERA 3.10	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
11	José Ramírez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	3B	Nick Martinez S vs RHP Good 82% ERA 3.10	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
12	David Fry ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ CLE	1B	Nick Martinez RHB vs RHP Good 82% ERA 3.10	Hits	0.5	+175	63.6	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	36.4%	30.3%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
13	Liam Hicks	3/3	TB @ CLE	C	Shawn Armstrong LHB vs RHP ERA 4.58	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	40.0	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	10.0%	23.3%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
14	Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ CLE	RF	Shawn Armstrong RHB vs RHP ERA 4.58	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
15	Jonny DeLuca	3/3	TB @ CLE	CF	Shawn Armstrong RHB vs RHP ERA 4.58	Hits	1.5	+400	30.0	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
16	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ CLE	1B	Shawn Armstrong LHB vs RHP ERA 4.58	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
17	Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ CLE	3B	Shawn Armstrong RHB vs RHP ERA 4.58	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled
18	Steven Kwan	3/3	TB @ CLE	CF	Nick Martinez LHB vs RHP Good 82% ERA 3.10	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	N/A	TB @ CLE 8:00 PM ET Scheduled