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Strong Plays Record
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Win %
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-10-19 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
43
Total Found
17
Shown
17
Actionable
0
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Patrick Bailey 3/3 CLE @ TB C
S vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Runs 1.5 +2000 95.2 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
4.8% 61.9% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
2 Patrick Bailey 3/3 CLE @ TB C
S vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1100 91.7 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
8.3% 58.3% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
3 Steven Kwan 3/3 CLE @ TB CF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Runs 1.5 +1100 91.7 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
8.3% 58.3% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
4 José Ramírez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 CLE @ TB 3B
S vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Runs 1.5 +1000 90.9 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
9.1% 57.6% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
5 Patrick Bailey 3/3 CLE @ TB C
S vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Home Runs 0.5 +1000 90.9 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
9.1% 57.6% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
6 José Ramírez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 CLE @ TB 3B
S vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 88.9 0, 3, 3
2/3
66.7%
11.1% 55.6% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
7 José Ramírez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 CLE @ TB 3B
S vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Home Runs 0.5 +650 86.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
13.3% 53.3% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
8 Jo Adell 3/3 CLE @ TB DH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 85.7 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
14.3% 52.4% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
9 Patrick Bailey 3/3 CLE @ TB C
S vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Hits 1.5 +550 84.6 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
15.4% 51.3% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
10 Nathaniel Lowe 3/3 CLE @ TB 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Hits 1.5 +400 80.0 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
20.0% 46.7% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
11 José Ramírez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 CLE @ TB 3B
S vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Hits 1.5 +340 77.3 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
22.7% 43.9% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
12 Ryan Vilade
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 CLE @ TB RF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.58
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1100 41.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
8.3% 25.0% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
13 Liam Hicks 3/3 CLE @ TB C
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.58
Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 40.0 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
10.0% 23.3% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
14 Jonny DeLuca 3/3 CLE @ TB CF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.58
Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
15 Jonathan Aranda 3/3 CLE @ TB 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.58
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
16 Junior Caminero 3/3 CLE @ TB 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.58
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
17 Steven Kwan 3/3 CLE @ TB CF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled