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Strong Plays Record
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← Oct 24 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-10-24 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
33
Total Found
18
Shown
18
Actionable
1
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 David Hamilton ELITE 3/3 TB @ MIL 3B
LHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
Total Bases 1.5 +300 125.0 2, 5, 2
3/3
100.0%
25.0% 75.0% 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
2 David Hamilton 3/3 TB @ MIL 3B
LHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
Runs 1.5 +1500 93.7 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
6.3% 60.4% 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
3 Garrett Mitchell 3/3 TB @ MIL CF
LHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
Home Runs 0.5 +900 90.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
10.0% 56.7% 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
4 Jake Bauers 3/3 TB @ MIL 1B
LHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 88.9 0, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
11.1% 55.6% 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
5 David Hamilton 3/3 TB @ MIL 3B
LHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
Hits 1.5 +550 84.6 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
15.4% 51.3% 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
6 Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TB @ MIL 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
Total Bases 1.5 +260 72.2 3, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
7 Garrett Mitchell 3/3 TB @ MIL CF
LHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
Total Bases 1.5 +220 68.7 0, 4, 4
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% 1
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
8 Jake Bauers 3/3 TB @ MIL 1B
LHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
Total Bases 1.5 +180 64.3 1, 2, 4
2/3
66.7%
35.7% 31.0% 1
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
9 Chandler Simpson 3/3 TB @ MIL LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
Total Bases 1.5 +155 60.8 2, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
39.2% 27.5% 1
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
10 William Contreras 3/3 TB @ MIL C
RHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
Total Bases 1.5 +150 60.0 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
40.0% 26.7% 2
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
11 Junior Caminero 3/3 TB @ MIL 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
Total Bases 1.5 +140 58.3 2, 5, 0
2/3
66.7%
41.7% 25.0% 1
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
12 Jackson Chourio 3/3 TB @ MIL LF
RHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
Total Bases 1.5 +130 56.5 2, 0, 4
2/3
66.7%
43.5% 23.2% 2
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
13 Yandy Díaz 3/3 TB @ MIL DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
Total Bases 1.5 +130 56.5 0, 4, 2
2/3
66.7%
43.5% 23.2% 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
14 Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TB @ MIL 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
Hits 1.5 +475 32.6 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
17.4% 15.9% 0
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
15 Junior Caminero 3/3 TB @ MIL 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
16 William Contreras 3/3 TB @ MIL C
RHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 2
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
17 Jackson Chourio 3/3 TB @ MIL LF
RHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 2
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
18 Chandler Simpson 3/3 TB @ MIL LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 1
TB @ MIL
8:00 PM ET
Final
L