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Strong Plays Record
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-10-26 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
34
Total Found
18
Shown
18
Actionable
1
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 William Contreras ELITE 3/3 MIL @ TB C TBD Total Bases 1.5 +150 110.0 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
40.0% 60.0% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
2 Liam Hicks 3/3 MIL @ TB C TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 90.0 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
10.0% 56.7% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
3 David Hamilton 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B TBD Total Bases 1.5 +300 75.0 0, 2, 5
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
4 William Contreras 3/3 MIL @ TB C TBD Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
5 Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ TB 2B TBD Total Bases 1.5 +260 72.2 0, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
6 Jackson Chourio 3/3 MIL @ TB LF TBD Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
7 Jonathan Aranda 3/3 MIL @ TB 1B TBD Total Bases 1.5 +160 61.5 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
38.5% 28.2% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
8 Junior Caminero 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B TBD Total Bases 1.5 +140 58.3 1, 2, 5
2/3
66.7%
41.7% 25.0% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
9 Jackson Chourio 3/3 MIL @ TB LF TBD Total Bases 1.5 +130 56.5 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
43.5% 23.2% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
10 David Hamilton 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +1300 42.9 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
7.1% 26.2% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
11 Junior Caminero 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B TBD Runs 1.5 +1000 40.9 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
12 David Hamilton 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B TBD Hits 1.5 +550 34.6 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
13 Junior Caminero 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +475 32.6 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
17.4% 15.9% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
14 Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ TB 2B TBD Hits 1.5 +475 32.6 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
17.4% 15.9% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
15 Sal Frelick 3/3 MIL @ TB RF TBD Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
16 Jonathan Aranda 3/3 MIL @ TB 1B TBD Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
17 Junior Caminero 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B TBD Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
18 Chandler Simpson 3/3 MIL @ TB LF TBD Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled