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Strong Plays Record
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-10-27 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
40
Total Found
18
Shown
18
Actionable
4
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 William Contreras ELITE 3/3 MIL @ TB C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.53
Hits 1.5 +260 122.2 3, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
27.8% 72.2% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
2 Jackson Chourio ELITE 3/3 MIL @ TB LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.53
Hits 1.5 +200 116.7 4, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
33.3% 66.7% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
3 William Contreras ELITE 3/3 MIL @ TB C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.53
Total Bases 1.5 +141 108.5 3, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
41.5% 58.5% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
4 Jackson Chourio ELITE 3/3 MIL @ TB LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.53
Total Bases 1.5 +115 103.5 5, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
46.5% 53.5% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
5 Liam Hicks
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ TB C TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 90.9 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
9.1% 57.6% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
6 Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIL @ TB 2B TBD Total Bases 1.5 +280 73.7 0, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
7 Sal Frelick 3/3 MIL @ TB RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.53
Total Bases 1.5 +200 66.7 2, 5, 1
2/3
66.7%
33.3% 33.3% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
8 Jonathan Aranda 3/3 MIL @ TB PH TBD Total Bases 1.5 +170 63.0 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
37.0% 29.6% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
9 Brice Turang 3/3 MIL @ TB 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.53
Total Bases 1.5 +160 61.5 4, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
38.5% 28.2% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
10 Christian Yelich 3/3 MIL @ TB DH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.53
Total Bases 1.5 +150 60.0 2, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
40.0% 26.7% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
11 Cooper Pratt 3/3 MIL @ TB SS
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.53
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 40.9 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
12 Jackson Chourio 3/3 MIL @ TB LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.53
Runs 1.5 +700 37.5 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
13 Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIL @ TB 2B TBD Hits 1.5 +550 34.6 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
14 Sal Frelick 3/3 MIL @ TB RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.53
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
15 Brice Turang 3/3 MIL @ TB 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.53
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
16 Jonathan Aranda 3/3 MIL @ TB PH TBD Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
17 Christian Yelich 3/3 MIL @ TB DH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.53
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled
18 Chandler Simpson 3/3 MIL @ TB LF TBD Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Scheduled