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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Nov 1 →
Wins
3
Losses
3
Win %
50%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-11-01 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): PASS YDS ≥ 240  ·  RUSH YDS ≥ 55  ·  REC YDS ≥ 45  ·  REC ≥ 4    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
265
Total Found
186
Shown
186
Actionable
26
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
76 Caleb Douglas
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 NE @ MIA REC YDS 39.5 -105 48.8 70, 19, 94
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% 43
NE @ MIA
4:25 PM ET
Final
W
77 Chase Brown 3/3 TEN @ CIN Receptions 3.5 -105 48.8 4, 3, 11
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% 8
TEN @ CIN
1:00 PM ET
Scheduled
W
78 Dak Prescott 3/3 ARI @ DAL PASS ATT 34.5 -105 48.8 27, 54, 42
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% 29
ARI @ DAL
1:00 PM ET
Scheduled
L
79 Daniel Jones 3/3 IND @ JAC PASS ATT 31.5 -105 48.8 22, 42, 44
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% 28
IND @ JAX
1:00 PM ET
Final
L
80 DeMario Douglas 3/3 NE @ MIA REC YDS 39.5 -105 48.8 23, 86, 65
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% 76
NE @ MIA
4:25 PM ET
Final
W
81 Deshaun Watson 3/3 CLE @ PIT PASS ATT 31.5 -105 48.8 36, 26, 33
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% 39
CLE @ PIT
1:00 PM ET
Final
W
82 J.K. Dobbins 3/3 KC @ DEN RUSH ATT 9.5 -105 48.8 6, 17, 18
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% 7
KC @ DEN
4:25 PM ET
Final
L
83 Kyler Murray 3/3 MIN @ DET PASS CMP 20.5 -105 48.8 14, 24, 27
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% 17
MIN @ DET
1:00 PM ET
Final
L
84 Roman Wilson 3/3 CLE @ PIT REC YDS 44.5 -105 48.8 0, 74, 60
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% N/A
CLE @ PIT
1:00 PM ET
Final
85 Tee Higgins 3/3 TEN @ CIN REC YDS 74.5 -105 48.8 148, 22, 157
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% 155
TEN @ CIN
1:00 PM ET
Scheduled
W
86 Terry McLaurin
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 PHI @ WSH REC YDS 49.5 -105 48.8 27, 62, 77
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% N/A
PHI @ WSH
8:20 PM ET
Final
87 Tyquan Thornton
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 KC @ DEN REC YDS 24.5 -105 48.8 111, 22, 86
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% N/A
KC @ DEN
4:25 PM ET
Final
88 Xavier Worthy 3/3 KC @ DEN REC YDS 31.5 -105 48.8 11, 73, 70
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% 13
KC @ DEN
4:25 PM ET
Final
L
89 George Pickens 3/3 ARI @ DAL Receptions 4.5 -106 48.5 4, 6, 9
2/3
66.7%
51.5% 15.2% 2
ARI @ DAL
1:00 PM ET
Scheduled
L
90 Keon Coleman 3/3 BAL @ BUF REC YDS 27.5 -109 47.8 59, 7, 116
2/3
66.7%
52.2% 14.5% 4
BAL @ BUF
1:00 PM ET
Final
L
91 Bucky Irving 3/3 ATL @ TB RUSH YDS 69.5 -110 47.6 106, 46, 165
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% 170
ATL @ TB
1:00 PM ET
Final
W
92 Dallas Goedert 3/3 PHI @ WSH REC YDS 44.5 -110 47.6 48, 61, 38
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% 30
PHI @ WSH
8:20 PM ET
Final
L
93 DK Metcalf 3/3 CLE @ PIT REC YDS 54.5 -110 47.6 56, 93, 12
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% 4
CLE @ PIT
1:00 PM ET
Final
L
94 Jahan Dotson 3/3 ATL @ TB REC YDS 24.5 -110 47.6 6, 87, 54
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% 95
ATL @ TB
1:00 PM ET
Final
W
95 Jahmyr Gibbs 3/3 MIN @ DET RUSH YDS 89.5 -110 47.6 116, 151, 46
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% 153
MIN @ DET
1:00 PM ET
Final
W
96 Jameson Williams 3/3 MIN @ DET REC YDS 52.5 -110 47.6 91, 47, 102
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% 70
MIN @ DET
1:00 PM ET
Final
W
97 Jaylen Warren 3/3 CLE @ PIT RUSH YDS 65.5 -110 47.6 101, 50, 101
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% 143
CLE @ PIT
1:00 PM ET
Final
W
98 Jeremiyah Love
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 ARI @ DAL RUSH YDS 44.5 -110 47.6 22, 63, 90
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% 23
ARI @ DAL
1:00 PM ET
Scheduled
L
99 Joe Burrow 3/3 TEN @ CIN PASS YDS 274.5 -110 47.6 292, 190, 428
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% 462
TEN @ CIN
1:00 PM ET
Scheduled
W
100 Jonathan Taylor 3/3 IND @ JAC RUSH YDS 49.5 -110 47.6 95, 94, 45
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% 23
IND @ JAX
1:00 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 76–100 of 186 plays